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Started By
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re: Here's some polling data
Posted on 7/24/24 at 1:55 pm to 756
Posted on 7/24/24 at 1:55 pm to 756
quote:
o any of the polls take into consideration the ballot box stuffing that will occur?
I think Wisconsin did with their 103% response.
quote:
Wisconsin:
Civiqs ran a poll on July 13-16 on 514 registered voters. This was before Biden dropped out.
Trump: 48%
Harris: 48%
Kennedy: 2%
Unsure: 3%
MoE: 4.8%
0
Posted on 7/24/24 at 2:04 pm to AUstar
My prediction: When the dust settles and we are 2-3 weeks post Democrat National Convention, Kamala will be polling worse than Joe was before the government tried to kill Trump.
Posted on 7/24/24 at 2:13 pm to deathvalleytiger10
quote:
If you first use registered voters instead of likely voters and then you over sample Dems by a large margin,
This is true. Registered voters does not factor in voter enthusiasm. This is why most legitimate polls start using likely voters toward the end of September.
National polls don’t mean a whole lot. 1,408 registered voters is meaningless if 800 of them came from CA and NY
Posted on 7/24/24 at 2:16 pm to mtb010
quote:
I have lost all faith in humanity. This country does not survive 4 more years of wide open borders, constant printing of money to fund foreign wars, hyper inflation, defunding law enforcement, the DEI agenda being forced on businesses, etc. etc. This is battle of good vrs. evil and people need to wake up.
I don’t know how you have a country where the illegal immigrants get the red carpet treatment and you literally have non existent borders.
Posted on 7/24/24 at 2:21 pm to AUstar
Polls what a load of crap. If people believe this twat is gonna be the next president it shows how fricking stupid people in the USA are and they are gonna be living in the same fricked country as me
I won’t be contributing to this shite
I won’t be contributing to this shite
Posted on 7/24/24 at 2:32 pm to AUstar
I'm surprised the polls haven't switched from "registered" to "likely" voters yet.
At some point, most start doing that as the election nears. Polls not limited to at least registered voters at this point are kind of useless. While it's still possible for an unregistered person to register and vote in this election, it's not very likely.
2020 was a huge turnout year, but only 67% of eligible voters voted. About 90% of registered voters.
By comparison in 2016 was 59% of eligible an 80% of registered.
At some point, most start doing that as the election nears. Polls not limited to at least registered voters at this point are kind of useless. While it's still possible for an unregistered person to register and vote in this election, it's not very likely.
2020 was a huge turnout year, but only 67% of eligible voters voted. About 90% of registered voters.
By comparison in 2016 was 59% of eligible an 80% of registered.
Posted on 7/24/24 at 2:34 pm to 756
quote:
do any of the polls take into consideration the ballot box stuffing that will occur?
All of them do...This is the Big Lie to convince everyone that Harris is ahead so they can drop the fake Ballots on election night
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