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Hedge funds give clear indication about their confidence in the current fiscal environment

Posted on 1/24/26 at 10:06 am
Posted by Bass Tiger
Member since Oct 2014
55732 posts
Posted on 1/24/26 at 10:06 am
From Google AI....

quote:

Hedge funds and institutional investors have significantly increased allocations to gold and silver, driven by inflation fears, geopolitical risks, and high stock market valuations. Bullish wagers on gold reached 16-week highs in early 2026, with investors seeking hard assets amid mounting trade and political tensions.

Key Trends and Reasons:

Massive Inflows: Hedge funds, alongside central banks and, have moved heavily into gold, fueling its rise to near $5,000 an ounce.

Safe Haven Demand: Investors are rotating out of traditional currencies and bonds into precious metals due to concerns over US debt, fiscal policy, and international conflicts.

Silver Surge: Silver has been a particularly strong performer, acting as both a monetary hedge and an industrial input, driving its price over $100/oz.

Investment Vehicles: Exposure is achieved directly through physical, but also notably via ETFs like SPDR Gold Shares GLD +1.38% and iShares Silver Trust SLV +6.63%.

"Debasement" Trade: Large managers, including Ray Dalio, have recommended allocating to gold to hedge against a potential currency crisis and, according to Yahoo Finance, have expressed preference for it over other alternative assets.

These moves are part of a broader trend of, as noted in The Wall Street Journal, hedge funds having a successful year in 2025, with many leveraging commodities.


As a side note, Hedge funds have also increased their crypto holdings but not to the degree they have with gold and silver.

You know what would not only reverse this trend but could cause a severe pullback in gold, silver and crypto?

A balanced budget amendment, congressional term limits, banning of stock trading by members of congress, ending all federal government social programs, (any and all social programs will be administered at the state level) and legislation to secure federal elections that would drastically reduce Democratic Socialist election rigging.

If this things ^^^ were to happen, I think gold, silver and crypto all drop by at least 50%

But don't worry, if you own gold, silver and crypto rest assured, this^^^ will never happen.
This post was edited on 1/24/26 at 10:11 am
Posted by jrobic4
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2011
13261 posts
Posted on 1/24/26 at 10:09 am to
A lot to unpack in your post... Stock valuations are not at an absurd point though, especially for non-technology companies. Furthermore, American companies have been very profitable, and a weak dollar offsets some of the "tariff fears".

At the end of the day, markets do not dictate the long-term direction of the economy. They typically only reflect what traders think the market will do in the next 3 to 6 months
This post was edited on 1/24/26 at 10:11 am
Posted by Timeoday
Easter Island
Member since Aug 2020
22979 posts
Posted on 1/24/26 at 10:15 am to
quote:

But don't worry, if you own gold, silver and crypto rest assured, this^^^ will never happen. n.


Even if it were to happen, it is still more valuable than paper.
Posted by Bass Tiger
Member since Oct 2014
55732 posts
Posted on 1/24/26 at 11:30 am to
quote:

A lot to unpack in your post... Stock valuations are not at an absurd point though, especially for non-technology companies. Furthermore, American companies have been very profitable, and a weak dollar offsets some of the "tariff fears".

At the end of the day, markets do not dictate the long-term direction of the economy. They typically only reflect what traders think the market will do in the next 3 to 6 months


I think hedge fund mangers have been paying close attention to global central banks and their massive purchases of gold and other precious metals over the past 15 years, it's obvious Central Banks are not confident in the reversal of the current fiat money debt spiral in the US and other nations. Central banks are still the largest purchasers of gold and other precious metals and that's a signal to hedge fund managers of a potential fiscal calamity that awaits in the not too distant future.
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