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Message
Posted on 12/21/18 at 6:07 pm to Janky
quote:
Except there is no inflation
Agree, should have stipulated that this is only a theory being perpetrated about why the Fed does what it does.
Posted on 12/21/18 at 6:08 pm to tarzana
If you are going to bash Trump get your shite straight. The vast majority of the loss is since 12/4 when he made his tariff man comment.
Posted on 12/21/18 at 6:10 pm to EA6B
There is actually a little inflation to the producers which is not being past on to the consumer at this time. Not much though.
Posted on 12/21/18 at 6:28 pm to antibarner
quote:
this last hike was unnecessary
I feel the same way. And not for political reasons or stock market reasons.
Inflation has remains low. The global economy is poised for some major shocks this spring between the Trade issues with China, the pound, euro and the European economies being all over the damm place depending on what happens at Westminster, and whatever uncertainty that may come from our domestic issues I.e, Mueller. I don’t understand why any adjustment to the overall situation, much less rate increase was necessary this meeting.
Admittedly I am no economist and know next to nothing on monetary policy. But I don’t understand this latest rate increase at all
ETA/tldr: I understand why the rate is lowered to combat uncontrolled growth and inflation, but were we really seeing signs of these things? Again, not a political question but an economic one. I’ve been under the impression that (stock market’s 4Q aside) we’ve been chugging along nicely.
This post was edited on 12/21/18 at 6:35 pm
Posted on 12/21/18 at 6:32 pm to ILeaveAtHalftime
I am on the fence about the last one. It was so expected that if they would not have gone, I think the market would have freaked out. I think they left enough of an opening for 2019 that they can keep pushing the hikes back if they need to.
Posted on 12/21/18 at 6:37 pm to Janky
quote:
It was so expected that if they would not have gone, I think the market would have freaked out. I think they left enough of an opening for 2019 that they can keep pushing the hikes back if they need to.
Ok. That makes some sense.
If you’re willing to explain, I have an ignorant follow-up: when you say the market would have freaked out, does that imply that Wall Street would have reacted negatively to an unchanged rate or that the market’s level of expectancy was so assured of a rate increase that the market wouldn’t have have a predictable response?
This post was edited on 12/21/18 at 6:39 pm
Posted on 12/21/18 at 6:39 pm to bmy
Did you see who won the House?
Posted on 12/21/18 at 6:42 pm to ILeaveAtHalftime
My opinion is the market would have said things must really be getting bad for them not to raise. Remember they have been saying they would raise in December with 4 more hikes in 2019. If they would have not raised in Dec. and reduced the expected hikes to 2 like they did, then that would have been a negative sign. This all just my opinion, of course.
Posted on 12/21/18 at 8:09 pm to Lou Pai
Wrong.... I'm not melting. I am pointing out truth.
Posted on 12/21/18 at 8:12 pm to EA6B
quote:
To control inflation, if the economy is good and
Nope. There is no evidence of inflation
Posted on 12/21/18 at 8:14 pm to Jjdoc
If the deep state or Fed crushes the economy to run out Trump, I can accept that. I expected it was probably coming. But, I will not tolerate Russian collusion or campaign finance impeachment nonsense.
This post was edited on 12/21/18 at 8:16 pm
Posted on 12/21/18 at 8:20 pm to Jjdoc
quote:
There is no evidence of inflation
Posted on 12/21/18 at 8:45 pm to Yak
quote:
Who appointed Jerome Powell?
Who cares? Janet Yellen was very short in stature. Powell's taller.
Posted on 12/21/18 at 9:25 pm to Jjdoc
quote:What? The most recent CPI-U is at 2.2% YOY and and Core PCE (inflation index the Fed uses) was at 1.9%.
Nope. There is no evidence of inflation
It’s low inflation, but that’s still inflation. If there was no evidence of inflation (0% or deflation), then that would probably be a bad sign for the economy.
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