re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM

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They have 6 vents and 1 portable

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On the positive side, you’d have to have over 250 Coronavirus cases in that area where the serious cases couldn’t be routed to other hospitals to start exhausting their vent capacity.

To give an idea of how far outside the norm that is, those 41 deaths make up 27% of all deaths to date. Yesterday there were 109, today there are 150.

I would love for the person downvoting to say why... I am literally quoting numbers

Unpopular facts get downvoted all the time.

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I predicted over 100 deaths per day within a week two days ago and was laughed at by most.

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It was still wildly unlikely based on data - case counts are spiking (testing and verifying what we already knew), but even at 2% (which is not holding, closer to 1.5% already), you need 5000 cases to get 100 deaths. Realistically, we're going to need closer to 7k at current CFR pace to generate 100 deaths. We're approaching 10k now, but were at a third of that 2 days ago. We all recognize there is a lag in testing and more cases (and wildly more infections) than are in the current data. I can only assume with so many new deaths reported today, these are folks who were presumptive positive for some time or even passed away over the past couple of days and testing is only coming back positive now.

Saying that we will be over 100 deaths per day within a week of today doesn't sound as wild as it did 2 days ago. I can admit that. Still hoping it stablizes at a lower number before dropping off.

Time is what we have going for us - every day we get better information, better prepared and learn more about the disease. And we've continued downward pressure on the CFR even as case counts spike.

Fingers crossed for everyone out there.

I DONT CARE

We don’t have three generation households like South Korea,Italy, Iran and China. You have less than 150 dead in a country of over 330m people after at least 6-8 weeks of exposure

We are treating this like the bubonic plague. It is not. It is a virus that is not that more deadly than the seasonal flu.

This is the Y2K of this generation

How many flu patients are classified as serious/critical in the United States today as we are wrapping up flu season?

Strangely there seems to be no available data

It’s like the CDC, media etc have no interest in supplying data for a disease that kills 20-50,000 people per year in the US

At least we have a minute by minute update on something that has killed less than 6,000 people globally and about 150 in the US

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If it starts killing more people than the flu daily will you believe that perhaps we should be paying attention to it?

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This won't happen...

Is there a statistical reason you believe this or is this a hunch?