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re: Why are more Cat 4 storms making landfall in the USA?

Posted on 9/29/22 at 10:22 am to
Posted by tterrific
Member since Sep 2022
649 posts
Posted on 9/29/22 at 10:22 am to
quote:

Unless you think a 25% increase is somehow statistically insignificant


It's a total of two small sets. There are zero statistical inferences you can gleam here.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/29/22 at 10:22 am to
Huh. I didnt realize that happened.

Thanks.

I dont know how much it mattered. Basically it would only throw 130 mph storms into the pot of 4 vs 3 previous. I also think, though am not certain, they would also reclassify those storms in the record for apples to apples comparisons.

I also think stout's question is missing the real question here. Its not so much why do we have more Cat 4s hitting. It is why are they intensifying into landfall?

Throw Irma out, it isnt the same as the rest.
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
16382 posts
Posted on 9/29/22 at 10:39 am to
Maybe a shift in climate

There’s fewer and less significant storms in parts of the pacific region so that needs to be highlighted too.

Models predicted this back in the 80’s .
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