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re: Tropical Storm Colin - Earliest 3rd Storm on Record

Posted on 6/5/16 at 10:25 am to
Posted by crazycubes
Member since Jan 2016
5256 posts
Posted on 6/5/16 at 10:25 am to
quote:

evac non-essentia

Typically yes, they don't want to take any chances . They will play it ultra safe. The main reason being how many helicopter trips you need to fully evac.

250 people on board
18 people per helicopter
Posted by Flanders
Member since May 2008
9964 posts
Posted on 6/5/16 at 10:51 am to
I'm leaving for cozumel, belize and honduras today from new orleans.

This should be a decent cruise... I'm excited.
Posted by BigB0882
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2014
5422 posts
Posted on 6/5/16 at 11:33 am to
Just got home from a cruise that went to Cozumel, Jamaica and the Caymans. Glad we went when we did.
Posted by SATNIGHTS
Red Stick
Member since Jan 2008
2515 posts
Posted on 6/5/16 at 11:43 am to
Disney will be awesome this week
This post was edited on 6/5/16 at 11:44 am
Posted by Jtigers99
Holly Beach, USA
Member since Dec 2014
1841 posts
Posted on 6/5/16 at 1:10 pm to
Looks right for a June storm in the Gulf. Steering currents always push them into Florida.
Posted by Pettifogger
I don't really care, Margaret
Member since Feb 2012
87735 posts
Posted on 6/5/16 at 1:11 pm to
If one were going to, say, Punta Cana, would this impact such a trip?

Asking for a friend.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21675 posts
Posted on 6/5/16 at 1:32 pm to
quote:

If one were going to, say, Punta Cana, would this impact such a trip?

Asking for a friend.



What is the Punta Cana you speak of
Posted by rmnldr
Member since Oct 2013
40398 posts
Posted on 6/5/16 at 2:02 pm to
That thread was hilarious
Posted by CelticDog
Member since Apr 2015
42867 posts
Posted on 6/5/16 at 2:17 pm to
quote:

The curve off the West Coast is the raging +PDO and the curve in the Atlantic shows the potentially developing -AMO.


what is +PDO?

quote:

The "Pacific Decadal Oscillation" (PDO) is a long-lived El Niño-like pattern of Pacific climate variability.


This post was edited on 6/5/16 at 2:19 pm
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
80823 posts
Posted on 6/5/16 at 4:56 pm to
quote:

quote:
quote:
The curve off the West Coast is the raging +PDO and the curve in the Atlantic shows the potentially developing -AMO. Another early test for the models is on the table.


Speak English Doc, we ain't rocket scientists.


Like ENSO (La Nina & El Nino (which are spanish for The Nina and The Nino) the PDO and AMO are indices used to describe the spacial SSTs distributions across the Atlantic (AMO) and Pacific (PDO). Simple put, negative phase is cold and positive phase is warm.

The PDO has been in record warm territory lately but was just in an extended negative phase. We have been in an extended -PDO/+AMO combo and that was a major player in driving the widespread Western drought from Texas to California. As anyone that lives in Texas knows, the drought switch got flipped to "Flood" as the PDO flipped to positive.

The +AMO phase is often times associated with active Atlantic hurricane seasons but there are signs that the AMO is in the process of flipping negative (there is a good bit of debate on this topic). It appears that we have been moving out of an active Atlantic hurricane period and towards an inactive period and the AMO flipping could be a driver for that.

A +PDO/-AMO setup could be very good for American (MAGA?). Research suggest that this combo could produce less drought and less hurricanes.



My cat's breath smells like cat food.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21675 posts
Posted on 6/5/16 at 5:04 pm to
Upgraded to TS Colin
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21675 posts
Posted on 6/5/16 at 5:04 pm to
quote:


My cat's breath smells like cat food.


Thanks for playing.
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
80823 posts
Posted on 6/5/16 at 5:33 pm to
Actually, thanks for the explanation.
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