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Question for our experts in infections disease, epidemiology and statistics

Posted on 3/15/20 at 7:31 am
Posted by memphis tiger
Memphis, TN
Member since Feb 2006
20720 posts
Posted on 3/15/20 at 7:31 am
This is a novel virus only discovered within the last few months. There is now a test for the virus.

Seems that tests for new viruses would take longer than a matter of weeks to be developed and validated yet here it is.

So my question is:

Is there any data on how accurate the test is? Is it overly sensitive but not specific? Is it very specific but not sensitive?

How do we know any of these tests are reliable?

And I’m not trying to suggest the test isn’t. But is seems to have developed much faster than one would expect.
Posted by No Colors
Sandbar
Member since Sep 2010
10387 posts
Posted on 3/15/20 at 7:34 am to
I'm a Stats guy. What's your Stats related question?
Posted by Lasix
The BEACH
Member since Jan 2014
472 posts
Posted on 3/15/20 at 7:46 am to
Coronavirus has been around for a long time. This strain is new of course and has transferred from animal to humans, so they have had the ability to test for it already.
Posted by GRIZZ
PRAIRIEVILLE
Member since Nov 2009
5214 posts
Posted on 3/15/20 at 9:41 am to
That’s actually a very good question. Recent studies show that the sensitivity of RT-PCR for Covid-19 is only about 70%. Whereas, the sensitivity of a Chest CT is around 98%.
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
22060 posts
Posted on 3/15/20 at 9:43 am to
Are you Brad Pitt? Moneyball?
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