re: Open AI's own study of jobs safe and at risk from itself

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This list is good for about 10 years, in 20 years, they will all be majorly disrupted.

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The government will never allow it to happen because something like 70% of the economy is consumer spending.

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So basically, learn a trade.

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So, um, 19 out of 20 tax preparers will lose their jobs. That's not really overblown.

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You missed the point. The 1 remaining tax preparer isn't on some magical island by themselves.

These large language models need constant training, annotations, and many other things that we probably haven't thought of.

Of the 19 former tax preparers, 4 may move to oversight of model output, others working on fine tuning annotations on new datasets to law updates, someone has to to manage the group, etc etc.

Sure, a handful might have to be Uber drivers or waiters in the future. But I'd argue those were probably not performing well anyway.

It's just a more efficient allocation of resources with benefits outweighing the downsides as a whole.