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NPR: Lower CDC Estimates For Severity Of COVID-19 Are Optimistic

Posted on 6/18/20 at 9:08 am
Posted by goofball
Member since Mar 2015
17356 posts
Posted on 6/18/20 at 9:08 am
quote:

Lower CDC Estimates For Severity Of COVID-19 Are Optimistic

NPR

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention this week revised downward its estimates for future infections and deaths from the coronavirus, painting a picture of the pandemic that some scientists say is overly optimistic — and that plays into fears the agency could be responding to political pressure.

The nation's top public health authority this week posted scientific parameters that show its earlier view of the pandemic — considered too optimistic by some experts — has improved even more, although it still predicts hundreds of thousands of deaths if measures such as social distancing and the wearing of masks to prevent the virus's spread are abandoned.

The CDC expects hospitals to see millions fewer COVID-19 patients than the agency expected in mid-April, according to a comparison between a new modeling document and earlier, internal versions obtained by the Center for Public Integrity in April. The agency, part of the Department of Health and Human Services, also expects roughly 100,000 fewer deaths over the course of the pandemic.


There isn't even consensus on how the infected should be counted - and there are multiple reports of wildly inflated infection and mortality numbers out of nursing homes already.

Politically driven science is screwing us all.
This post was edited on 6/18/20 at 9:09 am
Posted by BrohemAlem11
Ratchet City, LA
Member since Oct 2014
13925 posts
Posted on 6/18/20 at 9:10 am to
And this won't get press anywhere....news outlets will continue to post new cases per day without a shred of context
Posted by BRgetthenet
Member since Oct 2011
118276 posts
Posted on 6/18/20 at 9:10 am to
NPR is for lesbians and butt pirates.



And my mother in law.
Posted by goofball
Member since Mar 2015
17356 posts
Posted on 6/18/20 at 9:11 am to
quote:

And this won't get press anywhere....news outlets will continue to post new cases per day without a shred of context



It's been a couple of weeks and we've defaulted to the inflated numbers. As expected.

The goal of the shutdowns are equal parts "stopping the spread" and "shutting down the economy".
Posted by Team Vote
DFW
Member since Aug 2014
7957 posts
Posted on 6/18/20 at 9:12 am to
quote:

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention this week revised downward its estimates for future infections and deaths from the coronavirus, painting a picture of the pandemic that some scientists say is overly optimistic — and that plays into fears the agency could be responding to political pressure.


Doomers gonna Doom
Posted by Shaun176
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2008
3181 posts
Posted on 6/18/20 at 9:18 am to
Hospitalization rate and mortality rate are dropping due to better treatment, understanding, and protections for nursing homes. I don't understand how so called experts don't understand the changes that have taken place since March. The disease is much less dangerous going forward than it was in the past. The cdc models reflect this.
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