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re: Don’t kill the messenger but get ready for the return of Covid lectures in Louisiana
Posted on 7/7/21 at 7:23 pm to mdomingue
Posted on 7/7/21 at 7:23 pm to mdomingue
quote:
with risk of admission particularly increased in those with five or more relevant comorbidities
This seems pretty important when trying to figure out if delta is causing higher rates of hospitalizations and more severe symptoms. I’ll try to find the UK study. Lots of conjecture in that lancet article.
0
Posted on 7/7/21 at 7:24 pm to tigerskin
CASES!!!!!!!!!!!
Posted on 7/7/21 at 7:32 pm to mdomingue
quote:
The lancet material was published Jun 14th. Perhaps you have newer data/conclusions from the UK from a source as reputable as The Lancet (or even The Lancet) you could share. Otherwise it seems you have it backwards.
LINK
From July 1. It seems highly vaccinated countries and areas are not seeing a significant increase in rate of hospitalizations.
Posted on 7/7/21 at 9:02 pm to mdomingue
quote:
as well as the potential for more dangerous outcomes
In the places where the Delta variant has popped up and we have good data, this hasn't played out clearly.
Accounting for a 21 day lag the UK reports a 7-day average of 21 deaths on July 6th. 3 Weeks prior to that (on June 15th) they reported a 7-day average caseload of 7671, resulting CFR of 0.27%. (Source: Worldometer). This is about 10% of their peak CFR.
However, the UK doesn't have the vaccine hesitancy that many in the 65 yr old and up category that the US still has, especially in rural areas.
In Springfield MO (Greene County, MO), there is a vaccine profile more in line with LA. 70% of the over 65 crowd vaccinated and about 35% overall. There, with a caseload of 355/100k, it looks like their fatality rate is about 50% of their prior peak. However, their % of ICU beds occupied by Covid patients looks about the same or maybe slightly above January (45%) [Source:CDC Data Tracker]
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