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re: By The Numbers: Hornets will be 11th in the Western Conference
Posted on 8/3/12 at 8:04 pm to Lester Earl
Posted on 8/3/12 at 8:04 pm to Lester Earl
I feel the same, but I think we can sneak in as the 8 seed if Gordon plays like he did his last year with the Clippers. It'll definitely be a fun season to watch.
0
Posted on 8/3/12 at 8:36 pm to TigerinATL
Happy to see that my column from this morning is inspiring some discussion among other avid Hornets fans. Clearly, my work relies on some assumptions, but two months before the season, there isn't that much to go off of, so I simply utilized the tools that I had available to me. I always appreciate suggestions, though! Thanks, guys.
Posted on 8/3/12 at 8:52 pm to tehchampion140
quote:
I'll give you both of those, but again, he's still young
He'll be turning 26 this season. He's not really that young. That has to be like middle age.
It's also weird that nobody ever talks about Vasquez's size. He will be the biggest starting PG in the league. There isn't another starting PG over 6'4. Is that just a coincedence?
Posted on 8/3/12 at 9:20 pm to Jester
Reply to Jester:
I have updated my post since this morning to show the correlation from last season between PER and team performance. You can find it in the "Effectiveness of Method" section.
This obviously does occur, but how could I possibly forecast it? The safest assumption to make is that certain players' improvements will cancel out others' slides, resulting in a neutral outcome. Often, this won't be the case, but as I said, there's no way to predict it.
The simple reason for utilizing his formula is that A) it rates the incoming rookies on the same scale as those currently in the league and B) I trust his formula for rookie performance projection over what would ultimately be guesses from me.
I would love to hear your (or anyone else's) thoughts about ways to better address these assumptions; always looking for insightful critique of my writing. How else could I ever improve?
quote:
1. the analysis assumes that PER is indicative of team performance...
I have updated my post since this morning to show the correlation from last season between PER and team performance. You can find it in the "Effectiveness of Method" section.
quote:
2. The analysis assumes that players do not improve or slide between seasons.
This obviously does occur, but how could I possibly forecast it? The safest assumption to make is that certain players' improvements will cancel out others' slides, resulting in a neutral outcome. Often, this won't be the case, but as I said, there's no way to predict it.
quote:
3. The analysis assumes that Hollinger's draft analysis is indicative of actual NBA performance.
The simple reason for utilizing his formula is that A) it rates the incoming rookies on the same scale as those currently in the league and B) I trust his formula for rookie performance projection over what would ultimately be guesses from me.
I would love to hear your (or anyone else's) thoughts about ways to better address these assumptions; always looking for insightful critique of my writing. How else could I ever improve?
Posted on 8/3/12 at 10:40 pm to TigerinATL
IMHO, it's 82-0 or bust this year. With 16-0 playoff record.
Book it.
Book it.
This post was edited on 8/4/12 at 6:08 am
Posted on 8/9/12 at 5:00 pm to FleuryNipples
quote:
IMHO, it's 82-0 or bust this year.
You may be busted by November 1st, unfortunately!
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