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The Road to the 2012 Kentucky Derby

Posted on 1/26/12 at 5:18 pm
Posted by Rohan2Reed
Member since Nov 2003
75674 posts
Posted on 1/26/12 at 5:18 pm


The 2012 Kentucky Derby is 100 days away. Let's delve in.

This year's crop of 3 y/o thoroughbreds is starting to get into some key prep races across the country. So far this month we've kicked things off with the Sham Stakes, the Count Fleet, and the Lecompte Stakes at the Fairgrounds.

Here's a look at an early Top Contenders List - with Hansen, Union Rags and Creative Cause (1/2/3 in the '11 Breeders Cup Juvenile, respectively) atop the poll. A couple others I will be keeping an eye on going forward are:

Algorithms (a bay colt sired by 2006 Preakness winner Bernardini.

He will be racing Sunday afternoon, along with juvenile champ Hansen, in the G3 Holy Bull Stakes at Gulfstream Park.

quote:

On the far outside is Starlight Racing's undefeated Algorithms, who gets a class test after winning his first two starts for trainer Todd Pletcher. The $170,000 Keeneland September yearling is a son of Bernardini out of the stakes-placed Cryptoclearance mare Ava Knowsthecode. He is a half-brother to graded stakes winners Justin Phillip and Successful Mission.

Algorithms, who will be ridden by Javier Castellano, broke his maiden in June by 5 1/4 lengths. He returned at Gulfstream Dec. 16 in an optional claiming race at 6 1/2 furlongs and prevailed with a late rally by one length. He is the only entrant in the Holy Bull to have won over the Gulfstream main track.


The other I'm interested in is So Brilliant, a gray whose sire Medaglia d'Oro produced 2009 Horse of the Year Rachel Alexandra in his first crop of foals. He was impressive in late November when he was game down the stretch in the G3 Hollywood Prevue.

- Here's a nice little read in Forbes from a couple of weeks ago about gearing up for the Derby season.

- In this article the writer takes a look at female jockey Rosie Napravnik and her quest to become the first woman jockey to win the Kentucky Derby.

I'm looking forward to the upcoming races leading up to the first weekend in May!

Posted by LSU fan 246
Member since Oct 2005
90567 posts
Posted on 1/26/12 at 5:28 pm to
quote:

The 2012 Kentucky Derby is 100 days away


damn didnt realize it was so close
Posted by HT713
Galations 4:16
Member since Jan 2011
10028 posts
Posted on 1/26/12 at 5:29 pm to
quote:

The Road to the 2012 Kentucky Derby
is paved with rednecks.
Posted by Marciano1
Marksville, LA
Member since Jun 2009
20086 posts
Posted on 1/26/12 at 8:37 pm to
Horse racing

I've been hearing Union Rags hype since the Breeders' Cup.
Posted by Rohan2Reed
Member since Nov 2003
75674 posts
Posted on 1/26/12 at 8:56 pm to
I like that UR isn't beginning his spring campaign until the Fountain of Youth in late February. A lot of star 2 year-olds get burnt out and fade from the ranks during their 3 y/o season, so giving him a bit of a breather could be a good move.

In other horse racing news, Black Caviar is racing tomorrow in Australia. Going for her 17th straight win. If she wins I could see her taking her undefeated record to Dubai.
Posted by Fusaichi Pegasus
Meh He Co
Member since Oct 2010
14710 posts
Posted on 1/26/12 at 8:57 pm to
IN
Posted by DelU249
Austria
Member since Dec 2010
77625 posts
Posted on 1/26/12 at 9:56 pm to
I'll be there, just tell me who to bet on.
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
105453 posts
Posted on 1/26/12 at 10:48 pm to
Thanks for the links
Posted by Interception
Member since Nov 2008
11089 posts
Posted on 1/27/12 at 12:28 am to
Great thread and links.

Keep us posted...
Posted by BluegrassBelle
RIP Hefty Lefty - 1981-2019
Member since Nov 2010
108372 posts
Posted on 1/27/12 at 4:42 am to
God I love Derby time.
Posted by Rohan2Reed
Member since Nov 2003
75674 posts
Posted on 1/27/12 at 4:01 pm to
Workout reports going into the weekend:

Stat - 5f breeze in 1:02.41 (4/8) at Palm Meadows

Isn't He Clever - 5f bullet in 1:00.80 (1/9) at Sunland Park

Groovin' Solo - 5f bullet in :58.40 (1/67) at Santa Anita

Trinniberg - Breezed 5f in 1:03.40 (2/10) at Calder

Smart Ellis - 5f in 1:00.40 (17/67) at Santa Anita

Sky Kingdom - 5f bullet in :58.40 (1/67) at Santa Anita -- this colt out of Empire Maker is a Baffert trainee. he's pointed toward the G2 Robert B. Lewis on Feb. 4 along with Real Quiet Stakes and CashCall Futurity winner Liaison (son of Indian Charlie).

Also, the 7th race at Gulfstream Park on Sunday, an optional claiming event at 1 1/16m, has attracted highly regarded colts Casual Trick, El Padrino and Take Charge Indy. Casual Trick is the 5-2 ML favorite.
Posted by Rohan2Reed
Member since Nov 2003
75674 posts
Posted on 1/30/12 at 9:02 am to
Well that didn't last long. Hansen, the early odds-on favorite to win the Kentucky Derby, was bested in the slop Sunday by an upstart colt. Algorithms, a son of Bernardini and trained by Todd Pletcher, cruised by Hansen down the muddy stretch at Gulfstream Park to win by five lengths and end the short-lived reign of the 2-year-old champ.

replay: Holy Bull Stakes

After a slight stumble out of the gate Hansen gathered himself and bolted out to a quick lead in this mile-long affair. But after being stalked by Algorithms and a handful of also-rans, Hansen didn't have the motor to keep pace once the field turned from home. Algorithms was under a smooth hand ride when Javier Castellano cruised across the finish line, leaving fans and media members to wonder what exactly happened to the Eclipse Award winner. If this early upset is anything, perhaps it's a foreshadowing of the rest of the 3 year old season - an up and down affair where no one horse establishes himself as the dominant runner.

Thoughts from Pletcher after the race: per ESPN

quote:

"We knew we were going to find out where we stood with this horse running against the 2-year-old champ," said Pletcher, who trains Algorithms for Starlight Racing. "We had the benefit of a good post and a race over the track, and overall I was very, very pleased with his effort. We didn't know for sure how he'd handle the racetrack but his pedigree suggested he would. He was on his toes leaving the paddock but relaxed well for us. He's by Bernardini and so far he hasn't shown any distance limitations."

Pletcher, who has more than a handful of potential Kentucky Derby candidates in his barn at the moment, said he remains undecided where or when Algorithms would return.

"You can never have enough good 2-year-olds in this business," said Pletcher. "Now we have Discreet Dancer and Algorithms who are 2 for 2 over this track but you hate to run them against each other."


Bloodhorse's take


Algorithms in the G3 Holy Bull

in other news, which TD'er is this?

Baton Rouge gentleman wins 1 mil

quote:

Michael Beychok of Baton Rouge, Louisiana, parlayed a third-place finish in the TwinSpires.com Online Handicapping Championship into a $1-million first prize as the winner of the National Handicapping Championship January 27-28 at Treasure Island Casino in Las Vegas.
Posted by Rohan2Reed
Member since Nov 2003
75674 posts
Posted on 1/30/12 at 11:33 am to
El Padrino looks like good Kentucky Derby prospect winning two-turn allowance (video included)

quote:

HALLANDALE BEACH, Fla. - Add another horse, El Padrino, to trainer Todd Pletcher’s steadily growing list of Kentucky Derby prospects.

El Padrino may have actually moved to the top of that list following his extremely impressive two-length victory over Take Charge Indy on a good and sealed racetrack Sunday at Gulfstream Park. The entry-level allowance race was the first start for El Padrino since his third- place finish in the Grade 2 Remsen two months earlier.

El Padrino, who was ridden to victory by Javier Castellano, completed 1 1/16 miles in 1:42.68. His final time was the fastest at the distance during the meet and more than two seconds faster than Revron’s final clocking winning the Gulfstream Park Derby on New Year’s Day.


quote:

El Padrino raced within easy striking of the early leaders while saving ground through the opening six furlongs, waited to launch his bid, as Pletcher predicted, on the final bend before wearing down Take Charge Indy in late stretch to win going away. Take Charge Indy, making his first start since finishing fifth in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile, drew out to a commanding lead entering the stretch but proved no match for the winner while finishing more than 13 lengths clear of the others in what amounted to a two-horse race.



look at this guy

Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
117507 posts
Posted on 1/30/12 at 12:23 pm to
Howe hell did I miss this thread?!?

Btw, you know I like him. Chestnut w/ white and all.

He was supposed to come to the Lecomte

Btw, I could use help with the PETA types in the luck thread.

Oh, and why couldn't my Adonis have moved a little earlier for 2nd. I had a longshot wps on his arse
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
117507 posts
Posted on 1/30/12 at 1:41 pm to
I lie that is was decided by $1
Posted by Rohan2Reed
Member since Nov 2003
75674 posts
Posted on 1/30/12 at 7:18 pm to
I'm pretty high on him as well. He won that race rather easily. You know anything about Cryptoclearance or Ava Romance?
Posted by quail man
New York, NY
Member since May 2010
41252 posts
Posted on 1/30/12 at 7:21 pm to


I'm getting pumped for the LA Derby.
Posted by lsu31always
Team 31™
Member since Jan 2008
108128 posts
Posted on 1/30/12 at 7:30 pm to
I got my money on Gantry and Star Guitar
Posted by Rohan2Reed
Member since Nov 2003
75674 posts
Posted on 1/30/12 at 7:31 pm to
quote:

Oh, and why couldn't my Adonis have moved a little earlier for 2nd. I had a longshot wps on his arse



Maybe because Kelly Breen has all of his focus on Dubai

Posted by Rohan2Reed
Member since Nov 2003
75674 posts
Posted on 1/30/12 at 7:33 pm to
I don't think either of them qualify for the Derby

Both are solid horses no doubt
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