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re: The ATL Thread: Offseason Edition

Posted on 10/11/12 at 6:54 pm to
Posted by okietiger
Chelsea F.C. Fan
Member since Oct 2005
40971 posts
Posted on 10/11/12 at 6:54 pm to
arse sphincter says what?
Posted by lsu31always
Team 31™
Member since Jan 2008
107742 posts
Posted on 10/11/12 at 6:57 pm to
Well yea you would just be talking to yourself
Posted by GeauxTGRZ
PTal
Member since Oct 2005
4768 posts
Posted on 10/11/12 at 11:14 pm to

WELL, HELLO GUYS
REMEMBER ME?
I'M DOING SO GOOD IN BALI, NO?
WELL ANYWAY
IT'S BEEN GREAT CATCHING UP
SEE YA AROUND
K THX BYE
Posted by SwampDonks
Member since Mar 2008
18341 posts
Posted on 10/12/12 at 10:28 am to
Wren got extended through 2014.
Posted by OBUDan
Chicago
Member since Aug 2006
40723 posts
Posted on 10/12/12 at 11:36 am to
DBacks shopping Gerardo Parra and Kubel.

I like both for different reasons, but it sucks they are both lefties.

Same with Ben Revere and Denard Span.


Posted by Robot Santa
Member since Oct 2009
44385 posts
Posted on 10/12/12 at 11:46 am to
quote:

Same with Ben Revere and Denard Span.



Span has been better against lefties than righties in his career. Higher BA, OBP, and OPS.
This post was edited on 10/12/12 at 11:47 am
Posted by SwampDonks
Member since Mar 2008
18341 posts
Posted on 10/12/12 at 11:52 am to
All have their positives and negatives.

I would be pleased with any of them, with maybe the exception of Kubel.
This post was edited on 10/12/12 at 11:52 am
Posted by OBUDan
Chicago
Member since Aug 2006
40723 posts
Posted on 10/12/12 at 11:55 am to
Why didn't we trade for Lorenzo Cain?
Posted by SwampDonks
Member since Mar 2008
18341 posts
Posted on 10/12/12 at 11:57 am to
That's what I'm saying.
Posted by OBUDan
Chicago
Member since Aug 2006
40723 posts
Posted on 10/12/12 at 12:12 pm to
I'm wondering what the price tag is going to be on some of these CFs. It's an interesting lot.

You have:

Bourn - speed and defense player with little power and a decent bat.

Pagan - speed and defense player with little power and a decent bat.

Upton - 5-tool talent that has maybe never become as good as everyone thought, but could be a legit 30/30 threat.

Victorino - May no longer be a CF and seems to have lost a step, but probably still has value to someone.

All of these guys have produced at high levels. All of them have hit major bottoms too. Upton is the only one with power, so I'm guessing he'll the biggest money, but he also has attitude and effort questions. Then again, he's also right in the middle of his prime, whereas the other three are on the backside of it.

It's going to be an interesting market and the 3 best teams in our division are all in on it.
Posted by Robot Santa
Member since Oct 2009
44385 posts
Posted on 10/12/12 at 12:17 pm to
Despite knowing that a change of scenery probably isn't going to have much of an effect on his attitude and approach to his job, I have convinced myself to join Team Upton.
Posted by OBUDan
Chicago
Member since Aug 2006
40723 posts
Posted on 10/12/12 at 12:43 pm to
Oh, I agree. He's probably the best player out of the lot. I'm not sure I buy Bourn as a 6 WAR player...
Posted by biglil3
West Monroe
Member since Jan 2010
2049 posts
Posted on 10/12/12 at 12:54 pm to
I think I remember hearing Olney say that Prado could command 4 yr 50 mil....this is worrisome, need to extend him ASAP
Posted by Robot Santa
Member since Oct 2009
44385 posts
Posted on 10/12/12 at 1:30 pm to
quote:

Oh, I agree. He's probably the best player out of the lot. I'm not sure I buy Bourn as a 6 WAR player...



In terms of raw talent, it isn't even close. He's just a headcase. Sometimes a change of scenery really turns things around for guys like that, and sometimes they never really put it all together. If we do sign him, we need to hire Lou Brown to turn him into a true leadoff guy.

Bourn is at his peak right now I think. We aren't going to be able to afford him though, so I don't think it matters that much. We will make him an offer, but I doubt we seriously negotiate with him.
Posted by Bryant91092
Member since Dec 2009
24507 posts
Posted on 10/12/12 at 1:34 pm to
quote:

join Team Upton
Posted by tduecen
Member since Nov 2006
161244 posts
Posted on 10/12/12 at 1:38 pm to
Braves should bring back Otis Nixon
Posted by SwampDonks
Member since Mar 2008
18341 posts
Posted on 10/12/12 at 1:43 pm to
The more I look over all the players and what they would cost, the more I really want Denard Span.
Posted by The White Lobster
Member since Jul 2009
16764 posts
Posted on 10/12/12 at 2:10 pm to
Bill Shanks 4 GM
quote:

@BillShanks: So with the A-Rod benching I ask... if NYY paid half of his remaining $114 million left for the next 5 years, should ATL take him for 3B?

Posted by OBUDan
Chicago
Member since Aug 2006
40723 posts
Posted on 10/12/12 at 2:11 pm to
I like Span.

It'd be awesome if he could hit like he did in '09.
Posted by SwampDonks
Member since Mar 2008
18341 posts
Posted on 10/12/12 at 3:48 pm to
True that, although I would gladly take his production last year out of the leadoff spot.

Let's take a look at our different CF options. While we're on Span, I'll start with him.

Denard Span
*28 years old
*Owed $4.7M in 2013, $6.5M in 2014, and a $9M team option in 2015.

Now let's take a look at his last three years of WAR and UZR. I left out 2011 where he only played in 70 games.


The main thing that jumps out at you is his defensive capabilities. Easily a top 5 MLB defensive CF, and finished 3rd this year behind Bourn and Trout. If we were to lose Bourn, Span allows you to not miss much of a beat defensively, which can't really be said for most of the other guys. When you look at the oWAR, he still brings you very solid contributions at the top of a lineup.

One thing you want in a guy that will be hitting at the top of the lineup is the ability to put the ball in play as well as get on base. His K% over the last few years has sat around 11%, while Bourn struck out around 22% of the time last year. Had a .340 OBP last year which if duplicated, would play very well in front of Prado and Heyward.

Brings you some speed, which is always nice to have.

Hits lefties incredibly well for being left-handed. Actually hits them better than right-handers. Career .293 hitter against LH while it is .280 against RH.

As I said earlier, for his salary over the next two, maybe three years, I think his performance and style of play would fit this team incredibly well, while easily allowing the team the finances to pursue a power hitting corner outfielder. Not to mention that he'll still be in some of his prime years. He's my guy.

I'll go over Upton next.
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