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Started By
Message
re: OFFICIAL Week 8 CFB bet thread™
Posted on 10/16/14 at 2:27 pm to kidbourbon
Posted on 10/16/14 at 2:27 pm to kidbourbon
quote:
Your an idiot
quote:
Your
You're
0
Posted on 10/16/14 at 2:27 pm to blades8088
quote:
Thanks mom! You still suck, as I never see you post plays
Its a shame that their not hear for you're viewing.
Posted on 10/16/14 at 2:29 pm to kidbourbon
Just keep on losing money. I wouldnt post plays either if I didnt win
This post was edited on 10/16/14 at 2:30 pm
Posted on 10/16/14 at 2:32 pm to blades8088
quote:
Just keep on losing money. I wouldnt post plays either if I didnt win
Maybe it's just superstition but I actually do a lot better when I don't post my plays.
Posted on 10/16/14 at 2:34 pm to The Boat
Superstition indeed.
Posted on 10/16/14 at 2:38 pm to blades8088
This post was edited on 10/16/14 at 2:43 pm
Posted on 10/16/14 at 2:40 pm to The Boat
Posted on 10/16/14 at 2:41 pm to The Boat
Damn fine. Would have been same outcome if you posted
Posted on 10/16/14 at 2:42 pm to blades8088
quote:
Damn fine. Would have been same outcome if you posted
I dunno. I'd rather not risk it
Posted on 10/16/14 at 2:45 pm to The Boat
Anyone ever bet on high school football on 5dimes? They have the Fox Sports NOLA Thursday night Louisiana game on there. 
Posted on 10/16/14 at 2:58 pm to The Boat
Im sure bobbyray has a system for high school
Posted on 10/16/14 at 3:12 pm to blades8088
Can you women quit bickering so we can talk about some actual games?
Posted on 10/16/14 at 3:14 pm to DallasTiger45
Posted on 10/16/14 at 3:17 pm to blades8088
quote:
Im sure bobbyray has a system for high school
Yeah, and he's clearly not in your head at all.
Posted on 10/16/14 at 3:17 pm to kidbourbon
Can we carry on? Who's on the Fighting Goiters tonight?
Posted on 10/16/14 at 3:30 pm to kidbourbon
UGA -3.5 may be my favorite play of the weekend. -14.5 as a GOY line early, almost an 11 point shift and Arkansas coming off another physical heartbreak. Now they're coming up against a UGA team that's better than them at most positions....
And I already went over why I'm on LSU -9.5.
And I already went over why I'm on LSU -9.5.
Posted on 10/16/14 at 3:31 pm to kidbourbon
Line appears to be heading their way, may want to grab it now if you haven't already.
Posted on 10/16/14 at 3:35 pm to kidbourbon
quote:
.like who's gonna win the game.
Not really. It's not just about who's going to win, it's about who's giving you the best value. I may think TCU is beating Ok state on saturday but if I'm getting Ok State at +30000 (hyperbole to make my point) then I'm taking Ok state.
Posted on 10/16/14 at 3:50 pm to ChemE in the OP
quote:
UGA -3.5 may be my favorite play of the weekend. -14.5 as a GOY line early, almost an 11 point shift and Arkansas coming off another physical heartbreak. Now they're coming up against a UGA team that's better than them at most positions....
And I already went over why I'm on LSU -9.5
Yep. And UGA matches up well with that stout front seven that should force Arkansas into passing situations.
And I also outlined why I liked LSU on page one or two
Posted on 10/16/14 at 4:00 pm to castorinho
quote:
I may think TCU is beating Ok state on saturday but if I'm getting Ok State at +30000 (hyperbole to make my point) then I'm taking Ok state.
Well yeah of course. But how much are you gonna put down? And doesn't that number depend on your estimated probability of Ok State pulling that upset?
Here's the deal: Dude said "it isn't about who wins the game it's about finding the bad lines". My point is that "finding the bad lines" requires handicapping the games. And if it doesn't, then I have no idea what it means.
I ain't trying to start a holy war, and so here is my basic point and I'm done: why spend time and energy trying to figure out what somebody else thinks about who's gonna win the game and by how much, when you can just stick to thinking about who is going to win the game and by how much. And the above is doubly, triply, quadruply amplified by my belief that the information you can get about the amount of money on a side and the number of wagers on a side, and all the intention-speculating that flows therefrom just ain't gonna tell you who Billy Walters has money on.
And besides, it's funner to not to tail, but to figure it out -- and whup its arse -- on your own. But that's just my worldview.
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