re: OFFICIAL CFB Bet Thread Week 6

Here are my preliminary thoughts on a slew of games. The only play I've put in so far is UCLA, so I left that out. I can only put in plays two days before the game.

Anyway would love to hear anybody's thoughts on whichever of the below games you have an opinion on.

Utah State-6.5 over BYU: I have no choice here but to enlist the services of the one and only CHUCKIE KEETON.

Georgia-10.5 over Tennessee: I don't understand this spread. Georgia is the one of the best teams in the country. The only possible justifications for this line are: (a) this is a letdown game for UGA after the emotional LSU win, (b) Mark Richt has a terrible haircut and is arguably terrible at coaching the game of football, or (3) Tennessee will be rocking smokey grey uniforms, which is worth like three touchdowns. I'm not buying any of the above. UGA should work us over by three touchdowns without breaking a sweat.

Texas State+11 over UL-Lafayette: Last weekend I may or may not have placed a wager on Wyoming in their game against Texas State. And that wager arguably did not work out in my favor, so I'm jumping on the Texas State bandwagon.

FIU+17 over Southern Mississippi: FIU is certifiably atrocious at the game of football. They might be the worst team in the FBS not named Georgia State, and I generally caution against taking teams that are certifiably putried against the spread. But I just have serious issues with a team that hasn't won a football game in the last 16 tries being favored to win a football game by 17 points. It just doesn't compute.

Ole Miss-2.5 over Auburn: I believe in Guz Malzahn, and there is no question that Auburn is a substantially improved team from last year. In a lot of ways, I think Auburn this year is basically Ole Miss of last year. And since I think Ole Miss of this year is better than Ole Miss of last year, it follows that I think Ole Miss is just better at the game of football this year than Auburn.

Oregon-38.5 over Colorado: No team has made a bigger jump from last year to this year than Colorado. Last year Colorado was historically bad, and this year they just sort of suck. I'm not surprised by this transformation. Colorado's new coach is Mike Macintyre, a guy I strongly advocated for the open Tennessee position (only to have my opinion ignored by the powers that by), and a guy who in two years turned San Jose State from a 1-12 team to a 10-2 team. You don't do that unless you're a really really good football coach. All that being said, Colorado still isn't exactly "good" at football, and Oregon has been an absolute wrecking ball this year.

Clemson-13 over Syracuse: Clemson is not going to Clemson themselves this year. I'm certain of it.

New Mexico-9 over New Mexico State: New Mexico is bad. New Mexico State is really really really bad.

FAU+4.5 over UAB: I think the wrong team is favored in this one.

Vanderbilt-2 over Missouri: none of us know a thing about Mizzou, but we do know something about Vanderbilt. We know that they nearly beat a solid Ole Miss squad and were competitive on the road against a solid South Carolina squad. Which suggests to me that they're actually a pretty decent team.

LSU-9.5 over Mississippi State: I was ranking the SEC this week, and I forgot that MSU was in the league. I think that speaks volumes.

Rice+3 over Tulsa: I have the sneaking suspicion that Tulsa is really bad at football this year.

Rutgers-4.5 over SMU: Garrett Gilbert is still the QB at SMU and he is still bad at playing the quarterback position.

UCF-10 over Memphis: this one and the New Mexico game are the two games where I'm more confident that the favored teams will win than cover the spread. So consider both faint-hearted.

Northern Illinois-9 over Kent State: I feel like the Fighting Jordan Lynch's may officially be baaaaack.

UTEP PK over Louisiana Tech: somebody convince me that Louisiana Tech is something other than hot garbage.

WVU+27.5 over Baylor: too many points.

Maryland+15.5 over FSU: dont' look now, but Maryland is actually pretty decent at football.

Texas Tech-17.5 over Kansas: Kansas blows. And I believe in Kliff Kingsbury.

My site has Bama -55.5 vs Georgia State. I know nothing about GSU but does that seem like a bit much to anybody else?

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Just wondering why you don't have faith in UCF against a shitty Memphis team?

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Because they've recently shown signs of a pulse.

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Dude, you should be a beat writer for somebody, you'd be money. Your posts are always very informative and funny as frick. I like dem plays too

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I'll send emails with basically what I posted above to friends and they're like, "dude, you should really tried to get paid for that." I guess I could start a blog, but then I doubt anybody would go to it.

But thanks for the kind words, man.

Love the picks bobby

I will say I don't love West Virginia because Baylor could beat them by 50, but WV could keep it close also. I'm going to sit that game out just because of the uncertainty of Baylor being really legit.

I am on about half of those plays already. As usual, nice work.

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I guess I could start a blog, but then I doubt anybody would go to it.

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Give it a shot. You give good insight. That's what I did with the Saints. I can ramble on for days about their match-ups and in depth analysis, so I finally reached out and got on with a site. I figured why not put all of the thinking I do about it to good use.

I've just started getting in to playing around with some betting and you guys have been pretty good since I started following the threads two weeks ago. I'm starting small, but will likely put a lot of stock in to what I see here. I don't know NCAA well, but know the NFL very well. From my little experience, though, the NFL is very hard to predict.

Yet I still play with it.

Locked in my teaser this week

LSU pk
UGA -1
Quack Attack -29

Probably my only play this week for a hefty amount (for me anyway)


Let's Go!

This past week was my first profitable week in the NFL

Risking a buck to win $420K. Hey, you never know.

$1.00 $419,496.05 Pending 22 Team Parlay
Pending 10/3/13 8:30pm College Football 305 Western Kentucky -270* vs UL Monroe
Pending 10/3/13 10:00pm College Football 307 UCLA -220* vs Utah
Pending 10/4/13 8:00pm College Football 310 Utah State -240* vs BYU
Pending 10/5/13 12:00pm College Football 329 Ball State +5½ -110* vs Virginia
Pending 10/5/13 12:00pm College Football 331 Maryland +15½ -110* vs Florida State
Pending 10/5/13 3:30pm College Football 335 Clemson -13½ -110* vs Syracuse
Pending 10/5/13 3:30pm College Football 343 North Texas -3 -110* vs Tulane
Pending 10/5/13 3:30pm College Football 347 Georgia -10½ -110* vs Tennessee U
Pending 10/5/13 7:00pm College Football 351 LSU -9½ -110* vs Mississippi State
Pending 10/5/13 3:30pm College Football 353 Rice +3 -115* vs Tulsa
Pending 10/5/13 7:30pm College Football 364 Vanderbilt -1½ -110* vs Missouri
Pending 10/5/13 12:00pm College Football 369 Rutgers -5 -110* vs SMU
Pending 10/5/13 5:00pm College Football 371 Fresno State -26 -110* vs Idaho
Pending 10/5/13 7:00pm College Football 373 Texas State +11 -110* vs UL Lafayette
Pending 10/5/13 3:30pm College Football 383 Northern Illinois -9 -110* vs Kent State
Pending 10/5/13 7:00pm College Football 385 Mississippi -2½ -120* vs Auburn
Pending 10/5/13 4:00pm College Football 389 Florida International +17 -110* vs Southern Mississippi
Pending 10/5/13 3:00pm College Football 393 Florida Atlantic +4½ -110* vs UAB
Pending 10/5/13 12:00pm College Football 395 Texas Tech -17½ -110* vs Kansas
Pending 10/5/13 8:00pm College Football 403 West Virginia +27½ -110* vs Baylor
Pending 10/5/13 7:30pm College Football 406 UTEP pk -110* vs Louisiana Tech
Pending 10/5/13 8:00pm College Football 407 Ohio State -255* vs Northwestern