re: OFFICIAL CFB Bet Thread Week 6

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The only number bobby ray needs to worry about is fiddy... Cause that's how many points Gawga is about to shove up ole smokies arse

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Which is fine as I'll be betting on it.

Save the trash talk for the rant.

quote:

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The name Wong teaser originates because the concept was popularized in the book Sharp Sports Betting by Stanford Wong. It can alternately be seen by other names including a basic strategy teaser. A Wong teaser is a two-game teaser in which teasing the spread moves it through the two key numbers of three and seven. In other words, it's a teaser involving favorites of between 7.5 and 8.5 or underdogs of between 1.5 and 2.5. If a line is reasonably accurate then you can assume about a 50 percent chance of either team covering. If the odds were -110 then you need to win about 52.4 percent of your bets to break even. To win 52.4 percent of your teasers you need to be able to win the individual games approximately 72.5 percent of the time. Because games end up being decided by three and seven more than 22 percent of the time, teasing through these two numbers increases the chances of covering a spread from about 50 percent to 72 percent or more (It's actually better than that because you are also covering the numbers four, five and six, and games can also finish with those margins as well). Over the long term, then, Wong teasers are one of the few places in betting where there is a positive expectation. In other words, Wong teasers are very good for your bankroll.

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I'm almost 100% certain the above was in reference to NFL.

Because a Wong teaser, as I have shown, doesn't have a positive expectation. And, again, is a worse play than substituting the same play for taking both games on the ML. Look at my numbers and tell where they're wrong. But please don't say you can't rely on historical percentages because (a) we've been through that already and (b) you just did the same thing.

WONG TEASERS ARE NFL ONLY, AND THE BOOKS ADJUSTED THE PAYOUTS TO COMPENSATE FOR THE POPULARITY OF WONG TEASERS SO THEY ARE NO LONGER PROFITABLE.

IN COLLEGE DUE TO THE GAMES BEING MORE HIGH SCORING AND LOPSIDED THEY ARE NOT AS GOOD OF AN OPTION.

Dude, clean the jizz out from underneath the caps locks key

Will post more later, but these stood out to me as having the wrong team favored

Mizzou @ Vandy
Rice @ Tulsa
Ball St @ Virginia
Nevada @ San Diego St

All the home teams are favored, and I feel like the road teams should be favored. I don't have my exact numbers with me, but will include with my later picks.

why?

Coulda hopped on at 6 last night

I can just see this being a close game as it is year after year. And i just have reason to believe Winston will make some mistakes as he is a freshman and is the first real test FSU has faced yet

Winston will make some mistakes and our offense will likely start the game slow as it has all year long.

Our defense will give up some points in the first half. I could easily see FSU losing at half. Maryland is a good team.