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Interesting NFL statistic (betting related)

Posted on 11/11/18 at 6:42 pm
Posted by Will Cover
St. Louis, MO
Member since Mar 2007
38547 posts
Posted on 11/11/18 at 6:42 pm
107-24-3 or 81.7 % prior to NFL games today ...

What does this mean? The winner of the game ... has covered the spread (favorite and underdog).

Today, after 12 p.m. and 3 p.m. games.

8-2

This is highly unusual. And not sure if this has ever happened like this before.
This post was edited on 11/11/18 at 6:42 pm
Posted by PeteRose
Hall of Fame
Member since Aug 2014
16871 posts
Posted on 11/11/18 at 6:45 pm to
Always been like that. The pointspread don’t come into play as people expect.
Posted by RPtoDoubleT
Dallas
Member since Oct 2007
505 posts
Posted on 11/11/18 at 6:47 pm to
100% of the time the underdog wins the game they cover the spread.
Posted by LSUTIGER in TEXAS
Member since Jan 2008
13610 posts
Posted on 11/11/18 at 6:48 pm to
Vegas must be getting killed. Squares love them some favorites
This post was edited on 11/11/18 at 6:49 pm
Posted by Skin
Member since Jun 2007
6370 posts
Posted on 11/11/18 at 6:52 pm to
8-2 is 80%. Which is in line with the figures you posted. What am I missing?
Posted by Bestbank Tiger
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2005
71117 posts
Posted on 11/11/18 at 6:54 pm to
quote:

Vegas must be getting killed. Squares love them some favorites



Vegas favorites are winning straight up about 67% of the time.

As mentioned above, a dog who wins straight up also covers, so 33% of NFL games are a the winner covering as a dog.

To get to 82%, that means 49% of games have a favorite winning and covering, and the remaining 18% have the favorite winning SU and losing ATS.

Don't think Vegas is hurting too much there.
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
82031 posts
Posted on 11/11/18 at 6:57 pm to
This doesn't say what you think it does, chief
Posted by Will Cover
St. Louis, MO
Member since Mar 2007
38547 posts
Posted on 11/11/18 at 6:57 pm to
quote:

Vegas must be getting killed. Squares love them some favorites


Vegas won early on Atlanta and New England (needed Cleveland and Tennessee). They lost on the Saints (needed Cincinnati) and Chicago (needed Detroit).

In the late kicks, Vegas lost on Green Bay (needed Miami), LA Chargers (needed Oakland) and LA Rams (needed Seattle). They won on Kansas City (needed Arizona).

They have a huge liability tonight on Philadelphia (they need Dallas).
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