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re: Great Playoff Proposal

Posted on 12/7/09 at 10:45 am to
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
464968 posts
Posted on 12/7/09 at 10:45 am to
quote:

So, you're invalidating a system on the basis of the chances of teams like Troy, ECU, or CMU winning two road games and then two neutral site games all against top 10 teams

yes

12 game sample in normal conditions tells you more about a team than a 3 game sample in outlandish situations

quote:

Yet, you support a system that says "too bad" to undefeated teams all the time?

2004
2009

that's it
Posted by Gmorgan4982
Member since May 2005
101750 posts
Posted on 12/7/09 at 10:47 am to
What? Last year, Utah and Boise State were both undefeated in the regular season and Utah was even undefeated after their bowl game. I don't even want to look up the rest, but Tulane comes to mind. It's not just 2004 and 2009.

ETA: Plus, even if you don't count those team, and I can already see that argument coming, a system that says too bad to two undefeated teams in 6 years is pretty awesome, huh?
This post was edited on 12/7/09 at 10:49 am
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
464968 posts
Posted on 12/7/09 at 10:48 am to
quote:

Utah and Boise State

non-BCS trash
Posted by Gmorgan4982
Member since May 2005
101750 posts
Posted on 12/7/09 at 10:49 am to
Non-BCS trash 31, #1 most of the year 17
Posted by Beastwood
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2009
1302 posts
Posted on 12/7/09 at 10:49 am to
Do you want a "best team" or a "champion"?

All other sports entities have champions, it seems to me.

I will admit a one-game playoff (BCS MNCG) is better than no playoff at all, and a plus-one could be an improvement on that.

I would still like to see a playoff tournament though. I don't know enough about the logistics of how it would work with the money and such. A top 4 or top 8 from the BCS rankings would suffice, I think. 16 teams with all 11 conference champions would probably be the fairest but again, I don't know enough to know whether college prez's et al would go for it.
Posted by Gmorgan4982
Member since May 2005
101750 posts
Posted on 12/7/09 at 10:51 am to
quote:

Do you want a "best team" or a "champion"?
He wants a "brand name" team who, in his opinion (which is of ultimate importance here), is the best team.
This post was edited on 12/7/09 at 10:52 am
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
464968 posts
Posted on 12/7/09 at 10:52 am to
quote:

Do you want a "best team" or a "champion"?

if your champion isn't your best team, something is wrong with your system
Posted by MisterLuce
Member since Nov 2009
759 posts
Posted on 12/7/09 at 10:53 am to
2008 Boise St and Utah
2007 Hawaii
2006 Boise St
2004 Boise St Auburn
1999 Marshall
1998 Tulane

All undefeated in final BCS rankings and all left out of the big game. Many left out of BCS bowls altogether.

Would any of these teams won in a playoff? Probably not. 2006 Boise St - maybe.

The argument that these teams played crappy schedules is a good one - the problem with that is for some of these teams (Boise St. comes to mind) - they TRY to schedule tougher opposition, but no one wants to play them. A team which goes undefeated because it intentionally schedules patty cakes and also plays in a week conference - deserves no chance. But a team which plays in a weak conference and plays a weak OOC schedule despite its best efforts to schedule quality opposition - arguably deserves a shot.

This post was edited on 12/7/09 at 10:54 am
Posted by MisterLuce
Member since Nov 2009
759 posts
Posted on 12/7/09 at 11:00 am to
quote:

I think. 16 teams with all 11 conference champions would probably be the fairest


How? Some teams would have to earn their conference championship in a single CCG game. Others would earn it by simply having the best record. Imagine this scenario-

a 7-5 SEC team gets in the SEC CG game f(going 5-3 in the SEC and 2-2 OOC) and plays a 1 loss SEC team from the other division. The 7-5 team wins and advances to the playoffs as a 8-5 team. The 11-1 team loses, and is left out of even a wild card as a 11-2 team because there winds up being several other 1 loss BCS teams (like a Texas/Texas Tech/Oklahama deal from last year).

Meanwhile, a 9-3 USC plays a 1-10 other PAC-10 team in their final game, but has the conference already clinched because they are 1 loss in conference play and all others have 3 or more. They drop the final game, finish 9-4 - but get into the playoff ahead of an 10-2 SEC team which dropped its final game.


Fair?


Any playoff system which took auto-bids would have to require uniformity of how those champions are determined.

Not to mention this OBVIOUS flaw in a such a system - this year, TROY ST would get an auto-bid, but it would be possible LSU could be left out. LSU doesn't deserve to be in any playoff this year because a playoff should be the top 8 - but if it were top 16 and a team like Troy st got in over LSU that would be total BS and definitley not fair.
This post was edited on 12/7/09 at 11:03 am
Posted by Beastwood
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2009
1302 posts
Posted on 12/7/09 at 11:02 am to
quote:

if your champion isn't your best team, something is wrong with your system
Ok, for champion I'm saying "tournament winner." Multi-round format.

And there is.
quote:

12 game sample in normal conditions tells you more about a team than a 3 game sample in outlandish situations
Signed,

The 2007 New England Patriots
Posted by Beastwood
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2009
1302 posts
Posted on 12/7/09 at 11:03 am to
quote:

Fair?
Most inclusive then.
Posted by MisterLuce
Member since Nov 2009
759 posts
Posted on 12/7/09 at 11:04 am to
quote:

12 game sample in normal conditions tells you more about a team than a 3 game sample in outlandish situations


This is why the playoffs should be small. Ideally 8 I think. But no more. 6 would be better than 8. 4 would leave some out.

6 is attractive because it would give the top 2 teams a bye - so being ranked #1 or #2 at the end of the reg. season would still mean a LOT.





It'd also be interesting to have a variable system. Take 2005 - it was pretty clear that year Texas v USC was the matchup. Take 2007 - we could have used a full 8 team playoff that year.
This post was edited on 12/7/09 at 11:05 am
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
464968 posts
Posted on 12/7/09 at 11:04 am to
quote:

the problem with that is for some of these teams (Boise St. comes to mind) - they TRY to schedule tougher opposition,

the problem is you believe this bullshite

they don't do this

ever since UGA skull fricked them, i don't think they've crossed the MS river

quote:

A team which goes undefeated because it intentionally schedules patty cakes and also plays in a week conference - deserves no chance.

BSU, Hawaii...pretty much all the shitty WAC teams people pump up
Posted by Gmorgan4982
Member since May 2005
101750 posts
Posted on 12/7/09 at 11:05 am to
The current system is fair? Two-thirds of the system is based on the whims of random judges. It's a joke. They might as well have "fan voting" for 2/3 of the process.
This post was edited on 12/7/09 at 11:08 am
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
464968 posts
Posted on 12/7/09 at 11:05 am to
quote:

for champion I'm saying "tournament winner." Multi-round format

and that is a flawed definition/process

quote:

Signed,

The 2007 New England Patriots

they are an argument AGAINST playoffs, friend
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
464968 posts
Posted on 12/7/09 at 11:06 am to
quote:

4 would leave some out.

who gives a frick?

esp in CFB where you CONTROL YOUR OWN SCHEDULE

you will be hard-pressed to find many years with 4 teams with legit arguments for an entitlement to play for a title
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
464968 posts
Posted on 12/7/09 at 11:06 am to
quote:

Two-thirds of the system is based on the whims of random judges.

you act like it's random selection, when it's not
Posted by Gmorgan4982
Member since May 2005
101750 posts
Posted on 12/7/09 at 11:07 am to
It's fan voting, basically.
Posted by Beastwood
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2009
1302 posts
Posted on 12/7/09 at 11:08 am to
Curious, what do you think about the wild card in pro sports?
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
464968 posts
Posted on 12/7/09 at 11:09 am to
quote:

It's fan voting, basically.

based on record and stats for the most part
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