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50_Tiger
LSU Fan
Dallas TX
Member since Jan 2016
16090 posts
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Final NFL DVOA for 2017
http://www.footballoutsiders.com/dvoa-ratings/2018/final-2017-dvoa-ratings


This metric system has produced the two teams in the Superbowl or at least had them in the top 6 teams.

2014 TOP 2 in DVOA: SEA & DEN
2015 TOP 2 in DVOA: SEA & CIN (NE was 6)
2016 TOP 2 in DVOA: NE & DAL (ATL was 3)
2017 TOP 2 in DVOA: NO & LAR (PIT is 3 / NE is 6)

This year the AFC has a statistical advantage. This advantage though is massive. The AFC only has two teams in the top 6 of DVOA, where the NFC has 4


crazyLSUfan
LSU Fan
LA (Lower Alabama)
Member since Aug 2006
6506 posts

re: Final NFL DVOA for 2017
So what does DVOA stand for? It's not mentioned in the link either.


50_Tiger
LSU Fan
Dallas TX
Member since Jan 2016
16090 posts
 Online 

re: Final NFL DVOA for 2017
quote:

DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average) calculates a team's success based on the down-and-distance of each play during the season, then calculates how much more or less successful each team is compared to the league average. According to Football Outsiders, DVOA "breaks down every single play of the NFL season to see how much success offensive players achieved in each specific situation compared to the league average in that situation, adjusted for the strength of the opponent. ... Football has one objective -- to get to the end zone -- and two ways to achieve that, by gaining yards and getting first downs. These two goals need to be balanced to determine a player's value or a team's performance."[3] There is a separate DVOA measurement for special teams, which "compare[s] each kick or punt to the league average for based on the point value of field position at the position of each kick, catch, and return.


https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Football_Outsiders#DVOA
This post was edited on 1/3 at 9:06 am


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castorinho
Oklahoma Fan
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
47806 posts

re: Final NFL DVOA for 2017
So You're saying it's going to be Pit/NE vs Rams/Vikings/Saints/Eagles in the Superbowl? That's nuts!


Froman
New Orleans Pelicans Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2007
24771 posts

re: Final NFL DVOA for 2017


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50_Tiger
LSU Fan
Dallas TX
Member since Jan 2016
16090 posts
 Online 

re: Final NFL DVOA for 2017
quote:

So You're saying it's going to be Pit/NE vs Rams/Vikings/Saints/Eagles in the Superbowl? That's nuts!


Clearly, you can see the last four years the number one DVOA team made the Superbowl...


CocoLoco
New Orleans Pelicans Fan
30° 12' N 92° 0' W
Member since Jan 2012
25711 posts

re: Final NFL DVOA for 2017
Saints vs Rams for NFC


50_Tiger
LSU Fan
Dallas TX
Member since Jan 2016
16090 posts
 Online 

re: Final NFL DVOA for 2017
I am starting to think that might be the NFCCG. Or RAMS/MIN.

Since 2011, the number one DVOA team made the Superbowl. Just checked on that.

NE in 2010 did not make it.


CocoLoco
New Orleans Pelicans Fan
30° 12' N 92° 0' W
Member since Jan 2012
25711 posts

re: Final NFL DVOA for 2017
Well if LAR and NO both win this weekend you’re looking at either NO @ MIN or NO @ LAR because I don’t see the eagles as a serious threat. I could see Atlanta winning which would make things really wild.


castorinho
Oklahoma Fan
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
47806 posts

re: Final NFL DVOA for 2017
quote:

could see Atlanta winning which would make things really wild.
think they get blown out


WicKed WayZ
New Orleans Saints Fan
Is that Bruce Vilanch?
Member since Sep 2011
15486 posts
 Online 

re: Final NFL DVOA for 2017
Same here.


Their D is ALOT better but their offense is even more inconsistent than the Saints and the Panthers offense. And the Rams D is no joke. I think the Rams win 31-21


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