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Message
re: CFB bets week 9
Posted on 10/27/11 at 1:46 pm to aVatiger
Posted on 10/27/11 at 1:46 pm to aVatiger
I always look for the emotional aspect in a bet because CFB is so much about getting up for a game.
I call it the Notre Dame syndrome...when ND beat Florida State in the "Game of the Century" and then lost to Boston College at home the next week.
People are high on USC because "this is their bowl game" but forget USC is coming off of a huge emotional win against their big rival where they had to travel to Indiana. Stanford is the real deal and there's no being caught off guard with Luck.
Michigan State must be spent after a week of celebrating.
I call it the Notre Dame syndrome...when ND beat Florida State in the "Game of the Century" and then lost to Boston College at home the next week.
People are high on USC because "this is their bowl game" but forget USC is coming off of a huge emotional win against their big rival where they had to travel to Indiana. Stanford is the real deal and there's no being caught off guard with Luck.
Michigan State must be spent after a week of celebrating.
This post was edited on 10/27/11 at 1:47 pm
0
Posted on 10/27/11 at 2:03 pm to negatiger17
I've got no feel to this game, haven't capped it at all, and you may well be right?
But, for those considering laying it tonight, refer back to Hou @ UTEP(more formidable program than Rice), yet it another Thur-Fri tv game this year, another in-state Texas battle, late UTEP money near post-time, it came short.
College dogs finally barked for the BMs last Saturday, and the Weeknight/Thur-Fri dogs(especially home dog variety) going strong the last few weeks.
The Bayou Bucket city war, is full of kids that know each other well, played with/or vs each other for years as teens or at camps, and despite being given no chance to stay close by all the local media that cover them.. https://blog.chron.com/owls/2011/10/college-football-pick-em-bayou-bucket-edition/
Rice has decent QB numbers out of Nick Fannuzi since going to the Bama transfer last game, lowering the TOs made with McHargue, and have won two of the last three outright in the series.. Rice@Hou Gm Preview - Hou Chron
Even if a total mismatch, and now on the uptick from it's opening of 25, I'd bend over backwards looking for a reason to take a flyer on the dog getting 4 TDs, before laying it, albeit Houston having a landmark great season, and Rice being exceptionally weaker than even their norm.
But, for those considering laying it tonight, refer back to Hou @ UTEP(more formidable program than Rice), yet it another Thur-Fri tv game this year, another in-state Texas battle, late UTEP money near post-time, it came short.
College dogs finally barked for the BMs last Saturday, and the Weeknight/Thur-Fri dogs(especially home dog variety) going strong the last few weeks.
The Bayou Bucket city war, is full of kids that know each other well, played with/or vs each other for years as teens or at camps, and despite being given no chance to stay close by all the local media that cover them.. https://blog.chron.com/owls/2011/10/college-football-pick-em-bayou-bucket-edition/
Rice has decent QB numbers out of Nick Fannuzi since going to the Bama transfer last game, lowering the TOs made with McHargue, and have won two of the last three outright in the series.. Rice@Hou Gm Preview - Hou Chron
Even if a total mismatch, and now on the uptick from it's opening of 25, I'd bend over backwards looking for a reason to take a flyer on the dog getting 4 TDs, before laying it, albeit Houston having a landmark great season, and Rice being exceptionally weaker than even their norm.
This post was edited on 10/27/11 at 2:15 pm
Posted on 10/27/11 at 2:16 pm to TheRoarRestoredInBR
Rice did beat them last year, even though half of Houston's starters were out.. like you said, in city battle. But Houston is still gonna put the points up tonight, if their defense shows up like they did for second half of Marshall last week they will be ok. But like SVP said, it all comes down to special teams.. wait.. what?
Posted on 10/27/11 at 3:26 pm to aVatiger
I'm not seeing anything I like tonight... May put down something small on UVA and the points or maybe a single team score just for kicks.
Posted on 10/27/11 at 3:33 pm to ChemE in the OP
I just want something small to make it more enjoyable. Which is the better bet?
Tease UVA+20 with Iowa-10
Cardinals over 7.5
Tease UVA+20 with Iowa-10
Cardinals over 7.5
This post was edited on 10/27/11 at 4:08 pm
Posted on 10/27/11 at 4:01 pm to holt11
holy shite
Posted on 10/27/11 at 4:07 pm to oddsareimdrunk
It will probably go over too
This post was edited on 10/27/11 at 4:08 pm
Posted on 10/27/11 at 4:07 pm to oddsareimdrunk
Problem is, 50-35 feels like what the score should/will be.
Posted on 10/27/11 at 4:09 pm to Zamoro10
i agree, no chance i would take the under which is absurd. didn't oklahoma state hang 48 on someone by the half recently? kansas maybe?
eta: it was kansas. baylor's defense isn't a whole lot better either. could easily see okla st. score 60 in this one
eta: it was kansas. baylor's defense isn't a whole lot better either. could easily see okla st. score 60 in this one
This post was edited on 10/27/11 at 4:12 pm
Posted on 10/27/11 at 4:13 pm to oddsareimdrunk
Thoughts?
ETA: the arkansas bet is a parlay along with colorado +37.5 and Midd Tenn st -2.5
This post was edited on 10/27/11 at 4:19 pm
Posted on 10/27/11 at 4:24 pm to jyoung1
You're only getting +5.5 for taking Zona against UW? Stanford's legit, UW ain't bad - Zona sucks.
Posted on 10/27/11 at 4:26 pm to jyoung1
Rutgers cant score against anybody lol
Posted on 10/27/11 at 4:37 pm to TheRoarRestoredInBR
quote:I am leaning Rice +28.5
TheRoarRestoredInBR
Underdogs wed/thurs are doing very well this year.
Posted on 10/27/11 at 5:13 pm to Zamoro10
UDubbs hasn't played anybody..ARIZONA has played a lot of tough teams really close. Although Washington is a hard place to play..It'll be close.
ETA: sorry
ETA:
sorryThis post was edited on 10/27/11 at 5:30 pm
Posted on 10/27/11 at 5:19 pm to TigerTatorTots
72 over under 28.5 on Rice/Houston
what are y'all thinking?
what are y'all thinking?
This post was edited on 10/27/11 at 5:31 pm
Posted on 10/27/11 at 5:23 pm to Brageous
Rice +28.5 for me!
Posted on 10/27/11 at 5:24 pm to Brageous
is rice decent?
Posted on 10/27/11 at 5:24 pm to Lester Earl
They suck
but so does Houston's defense
but so does Houston's defense
Posted on 10/27/11 at 5:27 pm to jyoung1
quote:
UDubbs hasn't played anybody..ASU has played a lot of tough teams
True, but UW is playing the arizona wildcats, NOT the arizona STATE sundevils.
Ariz has dumped Stoops as their coach. The wildcats are nowhere near as good as ASU.
Posted on 10/27/11 at 5:39 pm to vegas-tiger
Rice/Houston Over 71.5 GL.
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