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re: CFB bets BOWL SEASON!

Posted on 1/1/12 at 9:14 pm to
Posted by LawC
Member since Nov 2010
714 posts
Posted on 1/1/12 at 9:14 pm to
i see what you're saying, i still think that houston will be less motivated, they were going to the BCS until they lost their biggest game of the year a few weeks ago
Posted by SprintFun
Columbus, OH
Member since Dec 2007
45841 posts
Posted on 1/1/12 at 10:32 pm to
Sparty +3: I think people have last year's beat down by Bama stuck in their head, but here's two things to consider: UGA lost to the only good teams they played and MSU is a pretty damn good team. I think MSU is going to blitz their balls off and give Georgia fits. The question is which version of Cousins and their offense shows up.

OSU +2: Homer pick I suppose, I just think they're going to be extremely motivated since they know there is no bowl game next year. I also love the over in this game - the OSU offense is going to be really aggressive I think and the defense really let us down over the year.

Nebraska/SCar Over 45.5: I may lay off of this pick or tie it into a teaser. But I think the Nebraska defense is overrated and I think Martinez will put up some numbers.

Wisconsin +5: I think Oregon under Chip Kelly lacks the capacity to win big out of conference games. (Although the same argument can be made for Wisconsin). In this situation give me the team getting 5 points. Also I think that over is way too high; sure both teams could score on each other at will, but I expect some rust from both offenses.

Stanford +3.5: I think Luck with the time to prepare will pick apart Okie Lite and Stanford has the better D of the two.

Not sure which I'll play or not, but those are my leans. I started off the bowl season rough but have won my last three.
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82199 posts
Posted on 1/1/12 at 10:41 pm to
I agree with all of your reasoning except the Sparty/UGA. I really am just a lean to UGA so not too much of a different opinion. Love your other picks though!
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46124 posts
Posted on 1/1/12 at 10:42 pm to
quote:

Nebraska/SCar Over 45.5: I may lay off of this pick or tie it into a teaser. But I think the Nebraska defense is overrated and I think Martinez will put up some numbers.


Nebraska d is over rated but sc cant really score points at will, sc got a really solid D and think they will cause Martinez to make some mistakes

I don't see this game going over and if it does would be a nail biter IMO

I would stay away personally but Good luck to you f you do it
Posted by Jwodie
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2009
7436 posts
Posted on 1/1/12 at 10:47 pm to
quote:

Penn St +7, great defense beats out gimmicky offense, also houston won't be motivated at all and lost its coach


PSU's starting QB isn't playing, nor is one of their starting WRs (violation of team rules). Their backup QB sucks. Can they hang with Houston if UH throws up some points early?
Posted by SprintFun
Columbus, OH
Member since Dec 2007
45841 posts
Posted on 1/1/12 at 10:48 pm to
I think I'm going to do OSU +2 then tease the OSU and Nebraska overs for my early plays and play Wisconsin, will reevaluate before the Fiesta to see if I want to bet it or not.

Staying away from the Penn St game for sure though. The kid who was running the wild cat for them which was really successful at the end of the year didn't make the trip with the team. I think their D can hold Houston for a time but they need all the offensive help they can get.
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46124 posts
Posted on 1/1/12 at 10:51 pm to
I think over in both BCS games will be good plays

Oregon and Wisconsin will both put up points and I think the osu game will be air raid
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25716 posts
Posted on 1/1/12 at 10:51 pm to
I love all the games tomorrow, but damn there are some hard ones to pick. Might just throw down a small teaser on a few of them to just to have action, but not too much. Or play some live or 2nd half lines.
Posted by SprintFun
Columbus, OH
Member since Dec 2007
45841 posts
Posted on 1/1/12 at 10:52 pm to
I'm way too big of a pussy to take an over in the 70s or an under in the 30s in general
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82199 posts
Posted on 1/1/12 at 10:53 pm to
Yea, I already have a bet on Ohio St, but I think I will include them in a teaser since they have a great spread number to tease 6 points.
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46124 posts
Posted on 1/1/12 at 10:54 pm to
There is a stat somewhere that over 70's hit at a surprisingly high rate actually


Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46124 posts
Posted on 1/1/12 at 10:55 pm to
Tots I'm thinking about doing a 5 dollar parlay on like every game that's being played tomorrow
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82199 posts
Posted on 1/1/12 at 11:01 pm to
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25716 posts
Posted on 1/1/12 at 11:02 pm to
Thoughts on teasing:

Houston -1.5
OSU +8

Maybe another?
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46124 posts
Posted on 1/1/12 at 11:02 pm to


Maybe a huge teaser or something. Just something for shits and gigs
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25716 posts
Posted on 1/1/12 at 11:04 pm to
quote:

Maybe a huge teaser or something. Just something for shits and gigs


I threw down $1.50 to win $55 in a 10 team teaser a few days ago.

Florida not covering -6.5 against Rutgers in basketball killed me. They even lost straight up in double OT. I was hoping they'd pull away in one of the OTs.
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82199 posts
Posted on 1/1/12 at 11:07 pm to
quote:

Thoughts on teasing:

Houston -1.5
OSU +8

Maybe another?
Even thought I don't want to bet the Pennst game, I may end up doing that teaser just b/c it falls into the category of a Wong Teaser. Not sure yet though
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46124 posts
Posted on 1/1/12 at 11:07 pm to
I've had a couple bad beats lately do I'm kinda just licking my wounds playing low key

I cashed out a few weeks ago ad make a big purchase with winnings so I dont have a free roll to play withso a loss hurts alittle more now
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46124 posts
Posted on 1/1/12 at 11:09 pm to
quote:

quote: Thoughts on teasing: Houston -1.5 OSU +8 Maybe another?



Those are honestly IMO the two worst/toughest games of the day

It's really hard predict how those games will pan out seeing as there are just more question marks in those
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82199 posts
Posted on 1/1/12 at 11:11 pm to
I really like OSU...it may end up being my largest of the day tomorrow if I do a couple teasers with them
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