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Bowl Games betting thread
Posted on 12/17/21 at 8:11 am
Posted on 12/17/21 at 8:11 am
2 games today
MidTenn vs Toledo -10.5, 49
NIU vs CoCa -10.5, 63
MidTenn vs Toledo -10.5, 49
NIU vs CoCa -10.5, 63
12
Posted on 12/17/21 at 8:16 am to PeteRose
Thinking Bama heavy after the big win vs GA
Posted on 12/17/21 at 8:29 am to PeteRose
Teams that are 6-6 that are coming off a regular-season win in their final game are huge moneymakers in bowl games compared to 7-8 win teams or 6 win teams coming off a loss.
I think win rate is 65% since 2008. With that said, MT +10.5.
One side note, there are a shite ton of 6-6 teams this bowl season, and a lot of those play against one another.
These are the teams that fit that criteria (Middle Tenn, Memphis, VT, Maryland, Ball St and Florida)
I think win rate is 65% since 2008. With that said, MT +10.5.
One side note, there are a shite ton of 6-6 teams this bowl season, and a lot of those play against one another.
These are the teams that fit that criteria (Middle Tenn, Memphis, VT, Maryland, Ball St and Florida)
This post was edited on 12/17/21 at 8:57 am
Posted on 12/17/21 at 8:31 am to PeteRose
Got Toledo big
Posted on 12/17/21 at 8:39 am to PeteRose
Serious question, does Vegas actually know bowl games like they know regular season games? Maybe the smaller schools, rising schools play hard and prep like they should, but some of the bigger schools, how motivated are they to play in a non NY6/non playoff bowl?
Posted on 12/17/21 at 8:48 am to Oilfieldbiology
quote:
does Vegas actually know bowl games like they know regular season games?
There wouldn't be a line on it if they didn't know what they were doin. Most lines are based off power rankings and other books.
That being said, they have a hard time factoring in motivation, teams treating warm-weather bowls as vacations and player opt-outs.
Those factors are huge advantages to the market if you can guess right or find that information before the line moves.
This post was edited on 12/17/21 at 8:49 am
Posted on 12/17/21 at 8:57 am to PeteRose
quote:
Bowl Games betting thread
quote:
PeteRose
Checks out
Posted on 12/17/21 at 9:00 am to BasilFawlty
quote:
Checks out
Never heard this before.
Posted on 12/17/21 at 9:00 am to PeteRose
Going with 1st score TD tol/mid -275
Posted on 12/17/21 at 9:05 am to PeteRose
15mph winds in the Bahamas today. Not sure that will be a huge impact, but FGs make be a little shaky.
Posted on 12/17/21 at 9:12 am to PeteRose
So far i’ve placed the following:
Army -4 vs Mizzou
Army/Mizzou o54.5
Tennessee/Purdue o63.5
Michigan +8
Middle Tennessee St +10.5
Utah St +7.5
Coastal 1H -7
W. Kentucky TT o31.5
BYU -6.5
UTEP +11.5
UCF +7
UCF ML +220
Western Michigan tt o31.5
Oklahoma/Oregon u63.5
Louisville +1
Texas Tech/MS St o58
Minnesota -5
Arkansas -2.5
Iowa TT u20
Georgia -17.5 LIVE
Ohio St/Utah o64
Ole Miss -1
Army -4 vs Mizzou
Army/Mizzou o54.5
Tennessee/Purdue o63.5
Michigan +8
Middle Tennessee St +10.5
Utah St +7.5
Coastal 1H -7
W. Kentucky TT o31.5
BYU -6.5
UTEP +11.5
UCF +7
UCF ML +220
Western Michigan tt o31.5
Oklahoma/Oregon u63.5
Louisville +1
Texas Tech/MS St o58
Minnesota -5
Arkansas -2.5
Iowa TT u20
Georgia -17.5 LIVE
Ohio St/Utah o64
Ole Miss -1
This post was edited on 1/2/22 at 8:39 am
Posted on 12/17/21 at 9:22 am to PeteRose
What do y’all have for the Saturday games
Posted on 12/17/21 at 9:24 am to tzimme4
Probably not in the passing game but may some have effect on fgs?
Posted on 12/17/21 at 9:26 am to Draconian Sanctions
I really like Utah st getting 7.5. Orst giving a bit much. Aggies look like they have fun when they play.
Posted on 12/17/21 at 9:49 am to Draconian Sanctions
Oregon St is playing in their first bowl game in like 8 years so they'll be motivated. If you can find a -7 I would jump on that. Don't like -7.5
This post was edited on 12/17/21 at 9:52 am
Posted on 12/17/21 at 10:03 am to tzimme4
Middle Tennessee hasn’t played in a bowl game since the 2018 New Orleans bowl. I’m hoping those kids are fired up.
Give me MT +11.5 for $100. Thank you
Give me MT +11.5 for $100. Thank you
Posted on 12/17/21 at 10:07 am to PeteRose
Bahamas Bowl looks like a weather game with some high winds. Under may be the way to go.
Posted on 12/17/21 at 11:33 am to tzimme4
Yeah pretty bad. Fortunate for me.
Posted on 12/17/21 at 12:50 pm to PeteRose
Under 24 2h
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