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re: 2020 Unofficial French Open Thread

Posted on 10/7/20 at 12:59 am to
Posted by bayoucracka
Member since Sep 2015
6898 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 12:59 am to
Best number I can find on Novak is +125, which is strange to me considering he still has to win 2 matches just to reach the final.

This appears to suggest that he will be a favorite of around -150 if he faces Rafa in the final.
Posted by Bunk Moreland
Member since Dec 2010
68251 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:42 am to
Tsitsi up a couple of sets right now.
Posted by Bunk Moreland
Member since Dec 2010
68251 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:11 am to
Posted by bayoucracka
Member since Sep 2015
6898 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:21 am to
Strange family.

So in Hamburg Rublev was favored in the final and won. A week and a half later Shitsi is -175 and runs through him like nothing. The lines give you the answer sometimes.
Posted by bayoucracka
Member since Sep 2015
6898 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 12:24 pm to
Head Busta serving for the 1st

ETA: And he takes it.

Joker made 40% 1st serves and had 3 DF. Would imagine this turns around quickly if he's 100%.
This post was edited on 10/7/20 at 12:34 pm
Posted by MidnightVibe
Member since Feb 2015
7896 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 8:58 pm to
quote:

Yeah that was my thought during the first set, and it got even stronger watching Sinner go up 3-1 in the 2nd. He just doesn't have the ability to flatten out his shots and hit winners in these conditions. I think his best chance is to go old-school Rafa and lock down and play defense, but I don't know if his body can handle that



Novak has always been able to take his game to a place where Rafa can just do nothing with it. Though he's only beaten him once at RG, he's actually gone to that "place" in at least one of the losses, but then got distracted while Rafa stayed dialed in.

Under these conditions, and with the way Novak is playing, I think we're going to see that top level Novak that's just kryptonite to Rafa.
Posted by MidnightVibe
Member since Feb 2015
7896 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 8:59 pm to
I think that Diego play is smart, Crack.

Sometimes the square move is the right play
Posted by MidnightVibe
Member since Feb 2015
7896 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 9:00 pm to
quote:

Best number I can find on Novak is +125, which is strange to me considering he still has to win 2 matches just to reach the final.

This appears to suggest that he will be a favorite of around -150 if he faces Rafa in the final.



If Rafa beat Diego in 3, and Shitsy pushes Novak to 5, I would put them at even money.

Otherwise, I'd say Novak -140...give or take.
Posted by MidnightVibe
Member since Feb 2015
7896 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 9:02 pm to
Unfortunately, I currently have no means of placing bets.

Unless I wanna drive my happy arse to capital one arena (which to be fair, is like a 12 minute drive), but I'm not even sure they have tennis odds there. It's some weird kiosk shite.
Posted by Eat Your Crow
caught beneath the landslide
Member since May 2017
9190 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 9:56 pm to
quote:

This appears to suggest that he will be a favorite of around -150 if he faces Rafa in the final.



Not a chance.
Posted by TigerDog83
Member since Oct 2005
8849 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:20 pm to
quote:

Though he's only beaten him once at RG, he's actually gone to that "place" in at least one of the losses, but then got distracted while Rafa stayed dialed in.


I actually think he may have won the year that the rain broke his momentum. Being one of the only 2 guys to defeat him at rg and with the conditions different this year he has to like his chances.
This post was edited on 10/7/20 at 10:43 pm
Posted by Eat Your Crow
caught beneath the landslide
Member since May 2017
9190 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 10:21 pm to
The 2013 semifinal match was one of the best matches I've ever watched.
Posted by bayoucracka
Member since Sep 2015
6898 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:48 pm to
quote:

Not a chance.

Was I talking to you?

Not a chance
This post was edited on 10/8/20 at 1:21 am
Posted by bayoucracka
Member since Sep 2015
6898 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:58 pm to
quote:

Otherwise, I'd say Novak -140...give or take.

The odds actually flipped. Not because of anything that happened since then, unless the oddsmakers all of a sudden think the extra day off will greatly help Rafa. I think they were just off in the first place, maybe due to liability on futures bets.

So Rafa will be favored if they meet in the final and Novak will definitely be the play.
This post was edited on 10/8/20 at 1:21 am
Posted by bayoucracka
Member since Sep 2015
6898 posts
Posted on 10/8/20 at 1:21 am to
quote:

Novak has always been able to take his game to a place where Rafa can just do nothing with it.

TGGND?
Posted by Bunk Moreland
Member since Dec 2010
68251 posts
Posted on 10/8/20 at 11:55 am to
Swiatek and Kenin is your women's final.
Posted by sms151t
Polos, Porsches, Ponies..PROBATION
Member since Aug 2009
140847 posts
Posted on 10/8/20 at 12:14 pm to
So what was going on with Collins yesterday?
Posted by Bunk Moreland
Member since Dec 2010
68251 posts
Posted on 10/8/20 at 12:17 pm to
I only saw bits and pieces of it on replay last night. She was kind of out of it and yet gutted out the second set. It looked windy and the contrast of blazing light/shadow was weird. I'm guessing she ran out of gas as the end. Kenin is a great combination of problem solver and pure determination.
This post was edited on 10/8/20 at 12:18 pm
Posted by Bunk Moreland
Member since Dec 2010
68251 posts
Posted on 10/8/20 at 6:57 pm to
The great philosopher is so annoying.
quote:

I would like to tell you that I'm not a NextGen player any more. I'm a proper adult.

Posted by bayoucracka
Member since Sep 2015
6898 posts
Posted on 10/8/20 at 8:40 pm to
Jesus Christ.

I'm actually deciding right now if I want to take this douche to win the tournament.
This post was edited on 10/8/20 at 8:42 pm
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