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The U.S 1yr Sovereign credit default swap just hit at a record high

Posted on 4/25/23 at 8:17 am
Posted by dewster
Chicago
Member since Aug 2006
26608 posts
Posted on 4/25/23 at 8:17 am
This represents the implicit cost of insuring U.S Treasury bonds against the risk of default?

Do we have a real risk here, or is this just related to the potential government shutdown when congress disagrees over how much to spend?

reuters



quote:

Market jitters over the U.S. debt ceiling lifted the cost of insuring exposure to its debt to the highest level in over a decade on Thursday, while JPMorgan warned of a "non-trivial risk" of a technical default on U.S. Treasuries.

A showdown over U.S. government efforts to raise the $31.4 trillion debt ceiling for the world's largest economy has sent jitters through global financial markets. Some U.S. Treasury bill yields have hit fresh highs on fears that the deadline to raise the borrowing limit may come sooner than expected.
Posted by wileyjones
Member since May 2014
2720 posts
Posted on 4/25/23 at 8:29 am to
oh shite yeah how do I buy puts on this
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 4/25/23 at 10:07 am to
quote:

Do we have a real risk here


A real risk of not getting paid? No.

A real risk of not getting paid on time? Yes, but very slim.
Posted by Dirtyboro
Member since Jul 2014
717 posts
Posted on 4/25/23 at 10:08 am to
Maybe if the SEC enforced trade laws, the govt could bring in more income tax money.
Posted by Big Scrub TX
Member since Dec 2013
39853 posts
Posted on 4/25/23 at 11:48 am to
quote:

Do we have a real risk here
Risk of what? Actual losses in the event of a default? Of course not. I imagine some HFs are making massive levered short bets here.
Posted by Big Scrub TX
Member since Dec 2013
39853 posts
Posted on 4/25/23 at 11:54 am to
quote:

oh shite yeah how do I buy puts on this
I think it's only OTC - you have to have ISDAs to do so.

I'm assuming you mean you want to bet on the spread tightening again...
This post was edited on 4/25/23 at 12:41 pm
Posted by down time
space
Member since Oct 2013
1914 posts
Posted on 4/25/23 at 7:35 pm to
quote:

how do I buy puts on this


Must be accredited. fund manager, etc..
Posted by evil cockroach
27.98N // 86.92E
Member since Nov 2007
9170 posts
Posted on 4/25/23 at 9:58 pm to
quote:

oh shite yeah how do I buy puts on this
was thinking the same thing
Posted by Big Scrub TX
Member since Dec 2013
39853 posts
Posted on 4/25/23 at 10:10 pm to
quote:

oh shite yeah how do I buy puts on this

was thinking the same thing
Again, I'm assuming you guys mean to bet on the spread reverting to a more normalized level...or are you actually wanting to bet on it getting wider?
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