Started By
Message

re: Oil prices and stock market

Posted on 12/12/14 at 4:11 pm to
Posted by Lakeboy7
New Orleans
Member since Jul 2011
23965 posts
Posted on 12/12/14 at 4:11 pm to
quote:

COP


Has made me a ton of money and then split, free Phillips 66 shares!
This post was edited on 12/12/14 at 4:12 pm
Posted by Lakeboy7
New Orleans
Member since Jul 2011
23965 posts
Posted on 12/12/14 at 4:17 pm to
quote:

what happens to a companies stock if they get bought out by another, larger company?


I can speak to the legal side a bit, it depends on what kind of sale, asset v. stock for example.

If you google that it gives you the outcomes with regard to the stock.

Also look at a biz law class that covers basic merger and acquisitions. There are some guys here that can talk about share valuations, asset discounts etc.
Posted by Sho Nuff
Oahu
Member since Feb 2009
11924 posts
Posted on 12/12/14 at 5:42 pm to
Does the iPhone now take oil to run? I don't know wtf Apple is dropping like a ton of bricks for
Posted by Double Oh
Louisiana
Member since Sep 2008
17929 posts
Posted on 12/12/14 at 8:27 pm to
Back in i think 1998 oil was around $12 a barrel
Posted by GulfCoastPoke
Port of Indecision
Member since Feb 2011
1087 posts
Posted on 12/12/14 at 9:28 pm to
Yes. I remember $0.68/gal gas, those were tough times having grown up in the oil patch and my dad in the business.
Posted by Lou Pai
Member since Dec 2014
28149 posts
Posted on 12/13/14 at 1:53 am to
Commonly, the target's share price goes up due to a takeover premium usually being incorporated. For the buyer, it generally depends on whether or not the deal is accretive to earnings.
Posted by Bullfrog
Institutionalized but Unevaluated
Member since Jul 2010
56369 posts
Posted on 12/13/14 at 11:19 am to
Good thoughts on low oil prices from Peter Schiff Oil Analysis

It's also embedded near the bottom of https://sgtreport.com
Posted by glassman
Next to the beer taps at Finn's
Member since Oct 2008
116164 posts
Posted on 12/13/14 at 8:59 pm to
quote:

I know that oil is at a rare low


What? In the early 80's it went from 30bbl to 9bbl. Rare low at around 60?
Posted by offshoretrash
Farmerville, La
Member since Aug 2008
10178 posts
Posted on 12/13/14 at 10:41 pm to
The drilling contractors are saying this will be a 2 year lull in drilling. A lot of rigs going off contract or unable to get a new one.

I am gonna wait until the summer to see where things stand. I don't think some contractors will make it out of this one alive. Most are in debt more than ever and still building new rigs without contracts.

I know I am not an investor expert but I have worked in the industry for almost 25 yrs. There will be some great opportunities to buy drilling contractors stock.

I am leery of buying small producers because there will be several that get bought out. All the big names will do fine and they have the money to cherry pick these fields.

This will be a great opportunity to make some money!
Posted by eye65
Member since Aug 2009
987 posts
Posted on 12/14/14 at 2:52 pm to
So as someone who works in the industry, who do you like/expect to survive in the downturn? Care to speculate on it? I'm long oil in general in several ways, and got into SDRL a month or two ago. Bought again last week and expect it to go under 10 where I will buy more.
Posted by offshoretrash
Farmerville, La
Member since Aug 2008
10178 posts
Posted on 12/15/14 at 7:42 am to
quote:

So as someone who works in the industry, who do you like/expect to survive in the downturn?


Transocean, Noble, and Diamond are in pretty good shape. I think ENSCO will be hurting, they have several rigs coming off contract. There are several foreign companies that will get hurt bad. This will give some of the stronger ones a chance to buy up rigs. I look for Noble especially to buy a company or rigs. They have downsized recently and this is a way for them to build back up.


For a long term investment keep an eye out for Petrobras. It's hard for me to trust them but the potential is there, it just may be 4 or 5 more years down the road. Their stock was already low because of the corruption going on inside the company, it's around $7 now.
Posted by lsugradman
Member since Sep 2003
8566 posts
Posted on 12/15/14 at 8:06 am to
I see Petrobras sliding another 30-50% and then im jumping in
Posted by eye65
Member since Aug 2009
987 posts
Posted on 12/15/14 at 8:36 am to
Appreciate the insight. I had NE and RIG on watch for about a year and chose to go another direction. If they all go to 10 bucks I may just end up with a basket of drillers.

PBR I watched for years it seems and eventually gave up as it got so negative. It became a train I didn't want to try to step in front of. If it keeps sliding maybe it's worth gambling on.
Posted by SomeGuyFromLA
Texas
Member since Dec 2014
139 posts
Posted on 12/15/14 at 11:54 am to
Thoughts on VDE? Vanguards energy index? It's at a 52 wk low...
Posted by Odinson
Asgard
Member since Apr 2014
2758 posts
Posted on 12/15/14 at 12:19 pm to
quote:

energy index

quote:

at a 52 wk low


Take your pick
Posted by LSUneaux
NOLA
Member since Mar 2014
4493 posts
Posted on 12/15/14 at 1:56 pm to
CVX is probably less than an hour from falling through two year old support.
Posted by LSUneaux
NOLA
Member since Mar 2014
4493 posts
Posted on 12/15/14 at 2:31 pm to
She gone!
Posted by CrackingCodes
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2010
689 posts
Posted on 12/15/14 at 2:33 pm to
CVX at a 4.5% yield is when I jump in
This post was edited on 12/15/14 at 2:34 pm
Posted by AlexLSU
Member since Jan 2005
25341 posts
Posted on 12/15/14 at 2:52 pm to
quote:

Thoughts on VDE? Vanguards energy index? It's at a 52 wk low...


I've been eyeing VDE for a couple of months now, but I'm holding off as I doubt it has reached its floor. Here's a snapshot:





Posted by SomeGuyFromLA
Texas
Member since Dec 2014
139 posts
Posted on 12/15/14 at 4:31 pm to
Looks like the next support on VDE is in the 90's... I don't see how I could lose long term even at today's entry point
first pageprev pagePage 3 of 4Next pagelast page

Back to top
logoFollow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News
Follow us on Twitter, Facebook and Instagram to get the latest updates on LSU Football and Recruiting.

FacebookTwitterInstagram