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re: Official CryptoTalk Thread
Posted on 5/27/25 at 5:17 pm to I Love Bama
Posted on 5/27/25 at 5:17 pm to I Love Bama
Good read, thanks.
1
Posted on 5/27/25 at 5:27 pm to beaverfever
The longer we stay in this pattern of steadily grinding higher with consistent strong accumulation taking place, the more explosive the movement will be when real mania shows up.
Posted on 5/27/25 at 6:50 pm to beaverfever
I'm not sure mania is coming. Google searches for Bitcoin are near all time los. Retail is not buying. Maybe they get interested again at 150k but i would not bet on it.
Posted on 5/27/25 at 9:17 pm to I Love Bama
Yeah I’m thinking if there is another mania it’s an upper/upper middle class mania instead of a degen retail mania. Most likely ETF-driven.
Posted on 5/28/25 at 9:02 am to David_DJS
2028 is a difficult year to gauge because of where it’s at in a cycle but in general:
Floor 60k~
Peak 180-250k~ (harder because this cycle isn’t done yet)
If you’re really asking about 2028 specifically, then I think the range will be 50k-80k
Floor 60k~
Peak 180-250k~ (harder because this cycle isn’t done yet)
If you’re really asking about 2028 specifically, then I think the range will be 50k-80k
This post was edited on 5/28/25 at 9:07 am
Posted on 5/28/25 at 11:13 am to Hateradedrink
Posted on 5/28/25 at 3:44 pm to Hateradedrink
quote:
If you’re really asking about 2028 specifically, then I think the range will be 50k-80k
So I'm clear - you see BTC trading between $50K and $80K for the year 2028?
Posted on 5/28/25 at 4:42 pm to David_DJS
The power law that bitcoin trades in has been remarkably accurate at predicting future trading ranges. For example, the power law fair price projection for today is $97,651 and the floor price is $41,013. The upper bound would be roughly $350K I think but that is less relevant/predictable. That’s like a max blowoff top range.
Anyways, for May 29, 2028 the floor price is around $100K-$110k and the projected fair price is close to $250K. The very upper bound at that point in time is between $800k-$1M.
Anyways, for May 29, 2028 the floor price is around $100K-$110k and the projected fair price is close to $250K. The very upper bound at that point in time is between $800k-$1M.
Posted on 5/28/25 at 4:49 pm to David_DJS
That’s my guess. 2028 is around a “cryptowinter” type time frame. 50-80 is probably too pessimistic but it’s hard to be thinking about next cycle high/lows without knowing how this one ends.
Beaver mentioned the power law chart which has been accurate but seems to be increasingly less so, I think it overestimates
Beaver mentioned the power law chart which has been accurate but seems to be increasingly less so, I think it overestimates
Posted on 5/28/25 at 5:04 pm to finchmeister08
Props to Ryan Cohen for being open minded but he completely whiffed on the execution of his buying.
Posted on 5/28/25 at 9:24 pm to I Love Bama
quote:
I think we need have a discussion about the Genius Act. There is a trade coming soon.
When these major banks are given the green light to develop their own stable coins, who are the winners and losers here?
How do we make money?
Can I try and shill you on Ethereum again
Posted on 5/29/25 at 9:12 am to BottomlandBrew
LOL.
Posted on 5/29/25 at 1:34 pm to I Love Bama
I don’t buy this sell off. Higher.
Posted on 5/29/25 at 4:14 pm to beaverfever
There is a Bitcoin whale who the market makers have destroyed in the last week. The whale is down like 80 million.
Once he is wiped out i think we can start moving again.
Although there has been more quantum news today....
Once he is wiped out i think we can start moving again.
Although there has been more quantum news today....
Posted on 5/29/25 at 4:56 pm to I Love Bama
quote:Didn't see this, gonna have to look. What’s your general quantum view concerning btc?
Although there has been more quantum news today....
Posted on 5/29/25 at 5:07 pm to beaverfever
It's going to be a real problem and we should start working on solutions pretty soon.
Anything that gives people hesitation to own/buy should be dealt with quickly.
Anything that gives people hesitation to own/buy should be dealt with quickly.
Posted on 5/29/25 at 5:17 pm to I Love Bama
quote:I think this is key. I don’t think a quantum computer would ever be used to attack bitcoin but as long as it floats out there it’s an issue. It seems like a hard fork is in the future.
Anything that gives people hesitation to own/buy should be dealt with quickly.
We should change the primary unit denomination while we’re at it although I’m not sure that requires much, if any actual change to the protocol.
This post was edited on 5/29/25 at 5:31 pm
Posted on 5/29/25 at 5:25 pm to beaverfever
Outside of say offline nuclear security systems, everything will need to be upgraded for quantum computers. I see no problem with it happening. The resources needed to pull it off are insane at the moment, and security upgrades aren't a big deal to implement if someone announces a breakthrough.
Posted on 5/29/25 at 5:35 pm to BottomlandBrew
I don’t even know what market quantum computing is addressing. What is the use case?
Posted on 5/29/25 at 6:21 pm to beaverfever
quote:
What is the use case?
Think of it like the jump from vacuum tubes to today's modern supercomputers. The computational throughput is orders of magnitude higher than what we have today. You'll see it initially applied to AI, scientific, financial, and yes, cryptographic fields.
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