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fed funds rate at 3.25% and US Treasury 1y YTM at 4.55%

Posted on 10/30/22 at 7:24 pm
Posted by thelawnwranglers
Member since Sep 2007
42047 posts
Posted on 10/30/22 at 7:24 pm
When rates are hiked 0.75%. Can we expect US Treasury to yield 5.25%?

I know it is more complicated just trying to figure timing on fixed income buys for retirement
Posted by Shepherd88
Member since Dec 2013
4891 posts
Posted on 10/30/22 at 7:58 pm to
Not unless their forecast changes for what they expect the fed funds rate to be at end of next year. All info that’s out there right now is baked into the current rates.
Posted by thelawnwranglers
Member since Sep 2007
42047 posts
Posted on 10/30/22 at 8:11 pm to
quote:

Shepherd88


Thanks

So basically if we get hints fed will do more than expected like a hot cpi in two weeks rates baked in
Posted by LSUcam7
FL
Member since Sep 2016
8856 posts
Posted on 10/30/22 at 8:18 pm to
Curve inverted. Short rates are higher than some long rates.

You could see the fed rate go up while the 2 year stays the same or drops as we move closer to a probable recession, if we’re not there already.
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