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"Be fearful when others are greedy......
Posted on 6/4/12 at 9:48 am
Posted on 6/4/12 at 9:48 am
...and be greedy when others are fearful." - Warren Buffett
It's getting to be about that time.....
It's getting to be about that time.....
Posted on 6/4/12 at 10:00 am to LSURussian
Famous last words?
It's tough out there. The time is near, But im not being brave just yet...
What's your bull case for why this may be a good buying opportunity and in what?
It's tough out there. The time is near, But im not being brave just yet...
What's your bull case for why this may be a good buying opportunity and in what?
Posted on 6/4/12 at 10:02 am to greenhead11
It's been a while since the talking heads on CNBC have been this bearish. Hence, "others are fearful."
I believe when earnings are reported in the next earnings cycle, we will see some decent earnings growth.
I believe when earnings are reported in the next earnings cycle, we will see some decent earnings growth.
Posted on 6/4/12 at 10:05 am to LSURussian
2 months down and you think that applies? I don't think I've seen any of the regulars on this board post about being fearful (or many others that I normally discuss with), it's all "omigosh 10% pullback = I'm dumping my life savings into banks."
Posted on 6/4/12 at 10:11 am to Projectpat
quote:
I don't think I've seen any of the regulars on this board post about being fearful
Very poor population sample.
Posted on 6/4/12 at 10:18 am to TheHiddenFlask
quote:
Very poor population sample.

Posted on 6/4/12 at 10:19 am to Projectpat
quote:
I don't think that majority of the populous is fearful of the market going down further.
The 10 year bond yield begs to differ.
Posted on 6/4/12 at 10:24 am to LSURussian
quote:
It's getting to be about that time.....
I dunno man. US job creation is dropping off, GDP in alot of developed countries is slowing, the EU is falling apart....
Maybe I just proved your point for you

Posted on 6/4/12 at 10:35 am to LSURussian
If the bond market is any indication of where the equity market is going I'd say the situation doesn't look pretty. I don't understand why anyone on earth would want to be buying US/German/Swiss/Aussie treasuries to name a few.
If Qe3 is implemented, we may see yields depressed to around current levels. There is a dichotomy in America.
Our government couldnt be any more irresponsible (well okay may be they could but we got some serious budgetary issues and a lot of uncertainty)
Corporate America is doing strong as ever, so much cash on the balance sheets, and valuations are average if not cheap.
Something has to give. We have a jobless recovery situation where we are the best house on a shite block and a housing market that is in limbo at best. Corporate America has done all it can do to sustain this recovery.
I'm sitting in dividend payers and on the sideline, Not putting any new money to work other than averaging down a few positions till I see a tangible catalyst or Secular opportunity
If Qe3 is implemented, we may see yields depressed to around current levels. There is a dichotomy in America.
Our government couldnt be any more irresponsible (well okay may be they could but we got some serious budgetary issues and a lot of uncertainty)
Corporate America is doing strong as ever, so much cash on the balance sheets, and valuations are average if not cheap.
Something has to give. We have a jobless recovery situation where we are the best house on a shite block and a housing market that is in limbo at best. Corporate America has done all it can do to sustain this recovery.
I'm sitting in dividend payers and on the sideline, Not putting any new money to work other than averaging down a few positions till I see a tangible catalyst or Secular opportunity
This post was edited on 6/4/12 at 10:38 am
Posted on 6/4/12 at 10:35 am to LSURussian
I'd be interested to see where the inflows are really coming from by %, equities vs foreign bonds.
Posted on 6/4/12 at 10:47 am to ZereauxSum
quote:
dunno man. US job creation is dropping off, GDP in alot of developed countries is slowing, the EU is falling apart....
The jobs report in May is about May. My son is a chemical engineer. His plant is bringing in a dozen new chem e's and they are coming in starting today. My husband works in an industry that gives him a very good look at economic activity. He told me 6 months ago that we were going into a slowdown. How are things now? Flat as a pancake, but we are not falling off a cliff.
The EU could come up with some announcement (it won't work) that will rip the markets. Another thing to look for is an early announcement surprise by the Supreme Court on Obamacare.
Ray Dalio wrote about the "beautiful deleveraging". Google it and read it. We are in a period of financial engineering and thus far, although it is painful for some, it could be a whole hell of a lot worse. I think the US deleveraging is truly elegant. For the individual investor, one has to try and figure out how to move in and out to profit.
Posted on 6/4/12 at 11:18 am to Blakely Bimbo
quote:
Ray Dalio wrote about the "beautiful deleveraging".
I've seen you reference my boy Ray several times, do you have a news feed on him?
Posted on 6/4/12 at 5:28 pm to LSURussian
This post was edited on 6/4/12 at 5:30 pm
Posted on 6/4/12 at 5:29 pm to LSURussian

You post this once in a blue moon, it would be nice to see how often you are right as far as timing. Yes, I know you are not claiming to time the market.
Posted on 6/5/12 at 8:30 am to Tiger4
quote:
it would be nice to see how often you are right as far as timing.
I'm right about it more than I'm wrong, but I am the first to admit I'm not always right. No one is, for that matter.
And I'm just invoking one of Buffett's general rules of investing. He's pretty good at investing but even he is wrong at times.
Posted on 6/5/12 at 12:53 pm to LSURussian
quote:
"Be fearful when others are greedy......
To be honest, I'm pretty fearful right now. I don't see a happy ending for the worldwide debt crisis including our own. It just seems like the value of the collateral supporting the debt is insufficient and for instance if Greece and other countries in the European Union default on their debt then we could be looking at a huge domino effect. I would be interested in your opinion of this article: LINK
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