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re: Anyone familiar with Betterment or Northwestern Mutual for investing?

Posted on 3/29/18 at 10:59 am to
Posted by baldona
Florida
Member since Feb 2016
22516 posts
Posted on 3/29/18 at 10:59 am to
quote:

There are also some numbers out there that show how missing just a few certain days lowered your return tremendously.


Yeah I'm calling BS here. This is some kind of BS figure that some investment company like Edward Jones came up with to sell their advising.

First off, how many people routinely pull large percentages of their money in and out of the market? I would bet very very few.

Its absolutely laughable to say that the average person that self manages their money has a 3% return. Laughable. Unless that includes a bunch of retirees after they pull their income out.

Again, if you have less than say $300k-$500k your financial adviser is going to look at your money 2-3 times a year AT MOST and that's a couple days before he meets with you. Its not like some guy with $25k with a financial adviser is getting hot takes on a 2 day market turn.
Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 3/29/18 at 11:02 am to
quote:

You sound like you are a FA


I am. Been doing it for 18 years. I am actually a RIA. If you paid attention you would see that I also told him this.

quote:

Then I would consider an allocated etf and forget about it. You don’t need to pay someone for that.
Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 3/29/18 at 11:10 am to
Here is 3 links saying the same thing with one being marketwatch.com.

Here is one

another

another

quote:

First off, how many people routinely pull large percentages of their money in and out of the market? I would bet very very few.

Its absolutely laughable to say that the average person that self manages their money has a 3% return. Laughable. Unless that includes a bunch of retirees after they pull their income out.


Seeking Alpha

CNBC

Forbes


I don't know. I am going to go with these guys over your hunch. I am done here. Good luck OP.
This post was edited on 3/29/18 at 11:15 am
Posted by baldona
Florida
Member since Feb 2016
22516 posts
Posted on 3/29/18 at 11:19 am to
This is what you said:
quote:

There is a reason why the market has returned around 9% and the individual investor has returned around 3%.


This is from the article:
quote:

The difference is especially striking over the trailing 30-year period: The average equity investor earned a hair below 4.0% a year while the S&P deliver a bit more than 10%.


quote:

I don't know. I am going to go with these guys over your hunch. I am done here. Good luck OP.


Those are not the same at all. The articles are saying that you should invest in funds long term and leave your money in the market.

You implied that the average investor that does not use a financial adviser returns 3%. The articles are saying that the average person that invests in individual stocks gets a return of 3% yoy on their individual stocks.

The articles are pushing long term mutual fund and etf investments, not pushing the use of financial advisers.
This post was edited on 3/29/18 at 11:22 am
Posted by baldona
Florida
Member since Feb 2016
22516 posts
Posted on 3/29/18 at 11:23 am to
FWIW, I don't think financial advisers are a bad idea or not worth the money.

What I do think however, is that one simply can not plan on using a financial adviser and not educate themselves. Long term, short term, whatever. You have to educate yourself, or you are going to get burned investing individually or with an adviser.
Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 3/29/18 at 11:32 am to
quote:

The articles are pushing long term mutual fund and etf investments, not pushing the use of financial advisers.


I agree. What I am trying to show is that if an individual makes emotional decisions when the market gets bad than they will miss a big part. That is what the chart shows. Everyone says I am in it for the long haul, but the data shows that is not the case. A FA should help the client with these knee jerk reactions. Not everyone needs a FA as I stated earlier in this thread. Ok, I am really done this time.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
45834 posts
Posted on 3/29/18 at 12:11 pm to
NEVER invest money with an insurance company. The fees are high.
Posted by baldona
Florida
Member since Feb 2016
22516 posts
Posted on 3/29/18 at 1:13 pm to
quote:

Everyone says I am in it for the long haul, but the data shows that is not the case. A FA should help the client with these knee jerk reactions


While I agree, how often do advisers actually prevent their clients from doing this? Certainly a percentage of the time, but I have a couple of financial advisers in my family and they all have to have their phone on them and check email consistently even on vacation due to their clients wanting to react to the market. I mean if advisers were truly able to prevent this, they'd be able to have a voicemail or email reply that reminded their clients there was no need to jump off the ledge and react to anything immediately.

Eta: a lot of advisers are making money off trades too. Buying and selling more often is good business. They also don't want to risk losing a client by getting into a disagreement.
This post was edited on 3/29/18 at 1:15 pm
Posted by UpstairsComputer
Prairieville
Member since Jan 2017
1746 posts
Posted on 3/29/18 at 2:45 pm to
Baldona, it's called the Dalbar study and they update it every year. Dalbar

There are many different types of advisors, the ones you reference that are making money off of trading are brokers and aren't "advisors". A real "advisor" will fire a client over a disagreement. Not sell all their crap to generate revenue. Real advisors don't captain sinking ships.

I would agree with the overwhelming sentiment that you should avoid insurance companies - I generally would say for any advice, but I'm also an RIA and may be biased. I think anyone who has incentive to sell a product that their company creates - any product - has a conflict of interest there. When the choice is between a higher payout or losing your job, everyone needs a whole life policy.

The difference between NWM and Betterment couldn't be larger... Also, that screenshot seems to say that's a moderate portfolio with 90% stocks (14% EM). That is by no means "moderate". That's pretty aggressive.

Eta. Maybe the OP should find a fee-based advisor and pay them for a couple hours of their time to point them in the right direction.
This post was edited on 3/29/18 at 2:56 pm
Posted by S1C EM
Athens, GA
Member since Nov 2007
11594 posts
Posted on 3/29/18 at 2:59 pm to
quote:

Also, that screenshot seems to say that's a moderate portfolio with 90% stocks (14% EM). That is by no means "moderate". That's pretty aggressive.


You're correct. It does list that as "moderate". I knew looking at it that it wasn't (stock saturation), but all of the funds appear to be pretty solid. Aggressive at this point is not a bad thing. Remember, VGT is one that I'm very interested in and it's on the extreme end of the "aggressiveness" scale.

quote:

Eta. Maybe the OP should find a fee-based advisor and pay them for a couple hours of their time to point them in the right direction.


Met with another guy last week and it seems he only becomes "fee-based" above $25k. Is that generally the norm?

Lastly, for perspective, what are your thoughts on Betterment as an option here?
Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 3/29/18 at 3:02 pm to
quote:

he only becomes "fee-based" above $25k.


LPL guy?
Posted by S1C EM
Athens, GA
Member since Nov 2007
11594 posts
Posted on 3/29/18 at 3:12 pm to
quote:

LPL guy?


I'm not sure what or who that refers to, but I am assuming a brokerage or some such? He's actually with a local bank's investment arm. Not sure if they operate with a third party to offer that service, though.
This post was edited on 3/29/18 at 3:13 pm
Posted by UpstairsComputer
Prairieville
Member since Jan 2017
1746 posts
Posted on 3/29/18 at 5:08 pm to
quote:

he only becomes "fee-based" above $25k

Sounds like an LPL or Ameriprise rep. His broker dealer won't allow a fee based account below that number. It's semi-standard. They need to make money too I suppose. I was really saying pay someone for a consultation. Not a "free" consultation. Pay for it and make sure you've expressed you only want to pay for their time.

I don't know a ton about Betterment, to be honest. I know a lot of folks use them, but if things go bad, and they will at some point, I think it's a cop-out to say it was someone else's fault (or in this case, the computer's fault). This is probably all in my head and I've gone back and forth internally on the topic. The problem with robo's is they can't talk you out of doing anything stoopid. This is the whole point of the Dalbar study and has been repeated all over this thread.

If you insist on going lowest cost available vs. paying for advice, I would suppose I don't see a ton of difference in 8 and 10 bps. Just need brass balls Les Miles circa 2007 style.
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
39300 posts
Posted on 3/29/18 at 5:34 pm to
NM has great life insurance and DI products that are worth paying a premium for.

As far as investments... do they still have their own funds? Do they still sell a lot of Russell funds? They may have very good FAs... but they are not independent.
Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 3/29/18 at 5:37 pm to
I have a buddy that pretty much does the investments for his NWM office. He is as sharp as any FA I have met. He is a CFA and a couple of other things.
Posted by MSTiger33
Member since Oct 2007
21049 posts
Posted on 3/29/18 at 8:26 pm to
Fidelity has robo accounts. FYI
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