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oklahogjr
Arizona State Fan
Gold Membership
Member since Jan 2010
27730 posts

re: 2019 Top 5 Stock Pick 'em Contest. Rankings updated through Thursday, 4/18/19 on page 23.
quote:

18 oklahogjr 9.090% 19
NOW 5.81% TDOC 15.25% DXCM 19.15% ADSK 4.77% MSFT 0.47%

Image: https://media.giphy.com/media/TGamxxMMiaWw8/giphy.gif


LSURussian
LSU Fan
Member since Feb 2005
113422 posts

re: 2019 Top 5 Stock Pick 'em Contest. Rankings updated through Thursday, 4/18/19 on page 23.
Updated through close of trading Tuesday, January 15.

There were quite a few significant movements in the rankings as you can see by comparing today's rankings to the previous day's rankings shown to the right of each person's average YTD performance percent.


1 theOG 24.96% 1
BHC 20.95% CGC 53.70% KNX 15.04% STNE 12.31% NBIX 22.81%

2 ynlvr 18.10% 4
TDOC 19.51% NVDA 12.26% CNC 8.52% FDC 3.73% NBR 46.50%

3 papz 17.56% 6
AMZN 11.49% SHOP 11.45% W 4.21% TDOC 19.51% ACB 41.13%

4 LSUTOM07 15.70% 5
FB 13.62% HAL 14.18% WYNN 8.96% CELG 37.67% V 4.09%

5 Suntiger 15.65% 3
ANTM -0.87% BAC 7.75% CGC 53.70% BABA 10.08% IDCC 7.57%

6 rowbear1922 15.62% 2
GE 15.32% CGC 53.70% MO -3.00% CAT 2.85% BA 9.22%

7 WPBTiger 14.48% 10
SHOP 11.45% TDOC 19.51% SQ 17.60% TTD 12.36% AMZN 11.49%

8 juice4lsu 14.39% 9
GS 7.70% JD 6.31% PVH 12.34% VNOM 10.18% NKTR 35.44%

9 TT1234 13.19% 8
GILD 9.54% LRCX 2.81% VIAB 16.69% EAF 17.05% TUP 19.86%

10 cave canem 12.86% 7
GS 7.70% CAT 2.85% GE 15.32% CPE 28.81% LNG 9.63%

11 bossflossjr 12.57% 13
DNR 28.07% AMZN 11.49% XOM 5.10% FDX 5.76% SPLK 12.43%

12 arkiebrian 12.53% 14
AAPL -2.96% CHK 35.71% FCX 12.71% FB 13.62% INTC 3.56%

13 thegreatboudini 11.98% 15
PFE -2.11% INFO 5.84% BABA 10.08% AMD 10.40% CHK 35.71%

14 jerryc436 11.79% 12
AAPL -2.96% BABA 10.08% NVDA 12.26% WDC 1.92% CELG 37.67%

15 oklahogjr 11.42% 18
NOW 5.78% TDOC 19.51% DXCM 22.75% ADSK 5.65% MSFT 3.39%

16 Zilla 11.41% 16
SQ 17.60% FB 13.62% ZS 15.58% VZ 4.42% CBLK 5.81%

17 lynxcat 10.76% 11
NVDA 12.26% KDP 4.21% CRON 25.60% AMZN 11.49% JNJ 0.24%

18 Vols&Shaft83 10.53% 20
AA 8.73% SNE 3.23% ROKU 32.15% JPM 4.98% HMN 3.58%

19 LSUcam7 10.45% 17
VLO 5.07% MS 8.15% FB 13.62% AGN 14.24% TAP 11.16%

20 raw dog 9.94% 19
TELL 13.09% REV 5.76% JD 6.31% IAC 4.34% AMRN 20.21%

21 SouthMSReb 9.22% 23
NKE 5.04% FB 13.62% ITW 2.68% BA 9.22% F 15.56%

22 deeprig9 8.96% 21
XOM 5.10% T 9.00% F 15.56% SO 6.53% EQIX 8.63%

23 LSUtoOmaha 8.79% 24
ET 12.57% KMI 12.61% HCA 5.66% JPM 4.98% BX 8.12%

24 Rendevoustavern 8.04% 46
JPM 4.98% BA 9.22% CAT 2.85% MSFT 3.39% LYB 19.75%

25 DawgCountry 7.98% 27
T 9.00% AMZN 11.49% HD 2.71% CVX 3.06% FB 13.62%

26 cuyahoga tiger 7.73% 25
V 4.09% T 9.00% SMG 11.06% BAC 7.75% LUV 6.73%

27 PlanoPrivateer 7.23% 22
LMT 5.41% MO -3.00% CAT 2.85% F 15.56% GE 15.32%

28 TigeRoots 7.20% 26
BAC 7.75% CAT 2.85% RDS.A 3.69% ALK 5.64% LULU 16.05%

29 Willie Stroker 7.12% 31
AMZN 11.49% BAC 7.75% CRM 8.92% V 4.09% WMT 3.33%

30 PearlJam 7.07% 32
GS 7.70% BAC 7.75% AAPL -2.96% C 17.90% JPM 4.98%

31 C 7.02% 28
XOM 5.10% T 9.00% CSCO 2.35% GE 15.32% WMT 3.33%

32 LSURussian 6.79% 33
AMZN 11.49% MSFT 3.39% JPM 4.98% T 9.00% XOM 5.10%

33 leoj 6.55% 29
DIS 1.92% TXN 3.31% LRCX 2.81% BA 9.22% COMM 15.50%

34 Dandaman 6.50% 41
T 9.00% ALLY 10.94% AMZN 11.49% AAPL -2.96% GOOG 4.01%

35 TimeOutdoors 6.47% 37
TLK 5.42% ANET 5.77% APPN 16.25% ATVI 0.58% MA 4.35%

36 Costanza 6.30% 38
AMZN 11.49% BA 9.22% V 4.09% MSFT 3.39% WMT 3.33%

37 Azazello 6.24% 36
AAPL -2.96% AMZN 11.49% GS 7.70% GILD 9.54% LMT 5.41%

38 Notro 5.90% 30
JNJ 0.24% BAC 7.75% GE 15.32% KO 0.46% NOC 5.73%

39 white perch 5.70% 34
GE 15.32% RDS.B 3.80% AMZN 11.49% CALM 0.90% MO -3.00%

40 windshieldman 5.55% 39
BP 6.12% V 4.09% AAPL -2.96% TWTR 14.89% PM 5.60%

41 TigerinOkieHell 5.34% 35
T 9.00% WMT 3.33% INTC 3.56% CVX 3.06% BAC 7.75%

42 CajunTiger92 5.32% 40
JPM 4.98% IP 10.78% MSFT 3.39% IR 3.30% SCI 4.17%

43 Cdawg 5.28% 42
AMZN 11.49% BAC 7.75% V 4.09% JNJ 0.24% CAT 2.85%

44 FunroePete 5.23% 45
ATVI 0.58% ADBE 7.13% WTRH 5.38% LNG 9.63% TTWO 3.45%

45 Lawg4dyfe 5.18% 43
T 9.00% VZ 4.42% VKTX 11.37% AAPL -2.96% V 4.09%

46 HYDRebs 4.74% 47
SMAR 6.76% HEI 1.51% MRVL 4.01% MS 8.15% VRSK 3.28%

47 DynaMike 4.62% 49
AAPL -2.96% GOOG 4.01% AMZN 11.49% INTC 3.56% BBY 7.01%

48 southernelite 4.03% 48
DIS 1.92% MSFT 3.39% ORCL 7.57% DE 5.28% FEYE 1.97%

49 jsk020 3.71% 50
AAPL -2.96% BABA 10.08% EXC 1.53% AMD 10.40% SBUX -0.50%

50 TunaTime 3.33% 52
AAPL -2.96% AMZN 11.49% ZTS -0.85% COP 5.90% CVX 3.06%

51 FriscoTiger 3.27% 5
1 VTR 3.43% UN -0.91% V 4.09% BA 9.22% NEE 0.52%

52 Hussss 3.12% 44
RCII 1.30% OLN 7.81% SSRM -0.33% VZ 4.42% NVS 2.40%

53 Wade Phillips 2.88% 53
STZ -0.18% JPM 4.98% UNH 3.11% CSCO 2.35% TSS 4.16%

54 tiger perry 2.16% 56
MCD 1.94% PG 0.10% AAPL -2.96% JNJ 0.24% AMZN 11.49%

55 bayoubengals88 1.44% 55
CIM 3.37% PFE -2.11% DPZ -0.04% T 9.00% MO -3.00%

56 eatboudin 1.30% 54
WMT 3.33% EL -3.86% BUD 10.20% STZ -0.18% MO -3.00%


oklahogjr
Arizona State Fan
Gold Membership
Member since Jan 2010
27730 posts

re: 2019 Top 5 Stock Pick 'em Contest. Rankings updated through Thursday, 4/18/19 on page 23.
quote:

15 oklahogjr 11.42% 18 
NOW 5.78% TDOC 19.51% DXCM 22.75% ADSK 5.65% MSFT 3.39% 

16 Zilla 11.41% 16 
SQ 17.60% FB 13.62% ZS 15.58% VZ 4.42% CBLK 5.81% 

Image: https://memegenerator.net/img/instances/57882913/moving-on-up.jpg


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20
Suntiger
USA Fan
BR or somewhere else
Member since Feb 2007
26459 posts

re: 2019 Top 5 Stock Pick 'em Contest. Rankings updated through Thursday, 4/18/19 on page 23.
Riding that CGC wave, but it’s a long time until December.


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20
ynlvr
LSU Fan
Gulf Coast
Member since Feb 2009
2501 posts

re: 2019 Top 5 Stock Pick 'em Contest. Rankings updated through Thursday, 4/18/19 on page 23.
I just fell victim to the buyout SNAFU. FDC is up over 20% today on buyout by FISERV. FISERV is down YTD - Boo.


LSURussian
LSU Fan
Member since Feb 2005
113422 posts

re: 2019 Top 5 Stock Pick 'em Contest. Rankings updated through Thursday, 4/18/19 on page 23.
quote:

I just fell victim to the buyout SNAFU. FDC is up over 20% today on buyout by FISERV. FISERV is down YTD - Boo.
Yeah, I agree with you, that sucks. I'm still trying to figure out how to remedy merger/buyout situations which would be fair to everyone.

Any suggestions?


ynlvr
LSU Fan
Gulf Coast
Member since Feb 2009
2501 posts

re: 2019 Top 5 Stock Pick 'em Contest. Rankings updated through Thursday, 4/18/19 on page 23.
Nah, I don't have a ready solution to the buyout tracking and I understand the rule.

Funny thing is I shied away from AUPH this year even though it stayed above the $5M threshhold because I was afraid it was a buyout candidate. Didn't see this one (FDC) coming.


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10
ynlvr
LSU Fan
Gulf Coast
Member since Feb 2009
2501 posts

re: 2019 Top 5 Stock Pick 'em Contest. Rankings updated through Thursday, 4/18/19 on page 23.
Off Topic, Russian . . . I spent Christmas in St Petersburg. It was a fabulous time. Couldn't help but think of you while enjoying the vodka and caviar


LSURussian
LSU Fan
Member since Feb 2005
113422 posts

re: 2019 Top 5 Stock Pick 'em Contest. Rankings updated through Thursday, 4/18/19 on page 23.
quote:

Off Topic, Russian . . . I spent Christmas in St Petersburg. It was a fabulous time. Couldn't help but think of you while enjoying the vodka and caviar


St. Petersburg is, by far, my favorite Russian city. I worked in St. Petersburg a total of about 4 months over the 5 year time period I worked in Russia.

I hope you got a chance to spend some time at the Hermitage Museum. I'm usually not a big museum guy but I thoroughly enjoyed the Hermitage. I went through it 3 or 4 times and I still didn't see all of the exhibits.


Hussss
Auburn Fan
Living the Dream
Member since Oct 2016
3901 posts

re: 2019 Top 5 Stock Pick 'em Contest. Rankings updated through Thursday, 4/18/19 on page 23.
This is very sweet

I like seeing the lighter side of Russian


LSUcam7
SRB FL
Member since Sep 2016
1679 posts

re: 2019 Top 5 Stock Pick 'em Contest. Rankings updated through Thursday, 4/18/19 on page 23.
When does your impending market collapse occur this year? It was a bold statement, so you’re not getting out of this one.


Hussss
Auburn Fan
Living the Dream
Member since Oct 2016
3901 posts

re: 2019 Top 5 Stock Pick 'em Contest. Rankings updated through Thursday, 4/18/19 on page 23.
I have been very clear on when I expect it.


LSUcam7
SRB FL
Member since Sep 2016
1679 posts

re: 2019 Top 5 Stock Pick 'em Contest. Rankings updated through Thursday, 4/18/19 on page 23.
quote:

Posted by Hussss online on 12/20/18 at 3:26 pm to jb4
2400?!?!

This market will be in the 1800's next spring

1300's end of next year / into 2020


Duly noted. But I won’t turn this thread into the “Lurking Issues” thread.


LSURussian
LSU Fan
Member since Feb 2005
113422 posts

re: 2019 Top 5 Stock Pick 'em Contest. Rankings updated through Thursday, 4/18/19 on page 23.
Several times over the past couple of weeks you've said that the "rally" is not sustainable until the banks lead the way.

The large banks have been up big the last two days with Goldman having its best percentage up day in a decade, up almost 10% just today.

Bank of America is up over 7% just today.

And JPM is up about 3% the last two days in spite of missing its projected quarterly EPS yesterday.

So......


ynlvr
LSU Fan
Gulf Coast
Member since Feb 2009
2501 posts

re: 2019 Top 5 Stock Pick 'em Contest. Rankings updated through Thursday, 4/18/19 on page 23.
You'd think with these dire predictions he'd have a more defensive portfolio in his Top 5 Pick 'em Contest. I suppose he will recover when we hit the 1300's later in 2019.



Hussss
Auburn Fan
Living the Dream
Member since Oct 2016
3901 posts

re: 2019 Top 5 Stock Pick 'em Contest. Rankings updated through Thursday, 4/18/19 on page 23.
The average stock is up close to 13% since Christmas Eve. Half this rally from then was in one day. Wave 2 counter trend bounces are normally strong. This is not surprising one bit. What’s the point? GS was down 30-40% off the highs. Do you know how counter trend bounces work? Get back to me when GS FULLY recovers.

Financials and Transports are still underperforming which is signaling weakness. You familiar with Dow Theory?

Yeah XLF had a nice couple of days. Let’s see if they can keep it going. I highly doubt it.
This post was edited on 1/16 at 5:03 pm


Hussss
Auburn Fan
Living the Dream
Member since Oct 2016
3901 posts

re: 2019 Top 5 Stock Pick 'em Contest. Rankings updated through Thursday, 4/18/19 on page 23.
VZ and NVS are defensive stocks. Your point is....?
This post was edited on 1/16 at 4:56 pm


LSUcam7
SRB FL
Member since Sep 2016
1679 posts

re: 2019 Top 5 Stock Pick 'em Contest. Rankings updated through Thursday, 4/18/19 on page 23.
quote:

Financials and Transports are still underperforming


I don’t have time to review what happened off the lows on 12/24, but YTD XLF is outperforming SPY by 2.35%. Financials seem to be on track for a monster quarter as evidenced by the bigs who already posted.

JPM missed EPS by a bit, but beat revenue expectations. For someone who is a market skeptic, you should pay attention to that. Can’t fake the very top line.


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20
LSURussian
LSU Fan
Member since Feb 2005
113422 posts

re: 2019 Top 5 Stock Pick 'em Contest. Rankings updated through Thursday, 4/18/19 on page 23.
quote:

The average stock is up close to 13% since Christmas Eve. Half this rally from then was in one day.
Wow! You've made some really, really inaccurate statements on this board recently but this one wins the prize!!

The biggest up day since December 24 was on December 26 when the DJ was up over 1,000 points and the SPX us was up over 100 points. And they were up 4.75% and 4.73% respectively.

Is 4.75% half of 13%?? You continue to prove you suck at math....

(ETA: I just fact checked your 13% number and it's wrong, too. The SPX is up 11.7% since Christmas Eve.)

quote:

What’s the point? GS was down 30-40% off the highs.
Get back to me when GS FULLY recovers.
So now you're saying when you kept repeating that the financials needed to lead the market higher what you really meant was the financials would have to exceed their all-time highs before you were convinced this rally is genuine??

You really are a charlatan.
This post was edited on 1/16 at 5:39 pm


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00
ynlvr
LSU Fan
Gulf Coast
Member since Feb 2009
2501 posts

re: 2019 Top 5 Stock Pick 'em Contest. Rankings updated through Thursday, 4/18/19 on page 23.
My point is if the sky doesn't fall you will stay at the bottom. To each his own. The only right answers are not known until 12/31/19.

A true sky is falling portfolio would typically include utilities, consumer staples, health care stocks. All with strong balance sheets.

After reviewing your picks I'd say you've stayed within your defensive theme. You do remain defensive with a precious metals miner, a petrochemical/ammunitions, and an equipment rental co. However, after VZ and NVS the financial strength of your picks fall off.

I, on the other hand, will be at the bottom of the barrel with my picks if your market predictions come true as I have a couple financially vulnerable picks in the litter. I just don't think the markets will tank.


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