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Started By
Message
re: Texas > LSU
Posted on 6/24/09 at 9:09 am to White Tiger
Posted on 6/24/09 at 9:09 am to White Tiger
quote:
forgive me JAMPAT. RANAUDO, ANTHONY P, R HANDED.
Now was that so hard.
1
Posted on 6/24/09 at 9:12 am to tigerfootball10
quote:
If I hear someone say Ranauldo again I'm going to
How about Ranauldeaux?
Posted on 6/24/09 at 9:14 am to Jason9782003
quote:
Ranauldeaux
Posted on 6/24/09 at 9:29 am to White Tiger
I am a LSU alum/fan, but I'm not going to pass on a profitable situation because of sentimentality. I've bet on Texas in each of the first two games, +135 and +130, and I will be on Texas again tonight at +120. I also bet Texas +150 to win the series vs LSU. Here's why...
Both full season and recency weighted metrics have this series as a virtual coinflip, Texas a very slight favorite mitigated by LSU's excellence v RHP.
LSU was very fortunate to win game one. Simple run expectation -- 5 HR's equates to approx 8.9 runs in a college game. Coleman was lucky that all of his gopher balls occurred with nobody on base. And even that doesn't really matter in the context of my broader point, which is two even teams are engaging in what amounts to a series of coinflips, and I'd never lay juice on an even prop.
Texas won game two, and there's no need for explanation. Not only did Jungmann pitched a gem, he also allowed the tired bullpen of UT to rest in preparation for game three.
For those wondering, my odds for each game this series were (and still are tonight):
Tex -110
LSU -110
Over/under = 12 runs
Both full season and recency weighted metrics have this series as a virtual coinflip, Texas a very slight favorite mitigated by LSU's excellence v RHP.
LSU was very fortunate to win game one. Simple run expectation -- 5 HR's equates to approx 8.9 runs in a college game. Coleman was lucky that all of his gopher balls occurred with nobody on base. And even that doesn't really matter in the context of my broader point, which is two even teams are engaging in what amounts to a series of coinflips, and I'd never lay juice on an even prop.
Texas won game two, and there's no need for explanation. Not only did Jungmann pitched a gem, he also allowed the tired bullpen of UT to rest in preparation for game three.
For those wondering, my odds for each game this series were (and still are tonight):
Tex -110
LSU -110
Over/under = 12 runs
Posted on 6/24/09 at 9:30 am to jampat
no it wasn't. I honestly thought I say a "y" in the man's name. My bad, names are important.
Mr. Ranaudo, please forgive me and may you pitch the game of your college career to this point tonight.
Mr. Ranaudo, please forgive me and may you pitch the game of your college career to this point tonight.
Posted on 6/24/09 at 9:31 am to Trender
I hope you lose a ton of money.
BTW, I read all that shite you wrote and you pretty much said it was a coin flip, but you put your money on Texas.
BTW, I read all that shite you wrote and you pretty much said it was a coin flip, but you put your money on Texas.
This post was edited on 6/24/09 at 9:34 am
Posted on 6/24/09 at 9:34 am to Trender
quote:
I am a LSU alum/fan, but I'm not going to pass on a profitable situation because of sentimentality. I've bet on Texas in each of the first two games, +135 and +130, and I will be on Texas again
I hope you bet a trememdous amount of money and have some real long term finanical issues after tonight's game.
Posted on 6/24/09 at 9:34 am to spslayto
quote:
I hope you lose a ton of money.
Hope all you want but ignoring the numbers is a long-term losing prop. Sports handicapping is supplemental income to me, as is stock trading.
For the record, I will be rooting for LSU tonight, just like I do every time they take the field.
Posted on 6/24/09 at 9:37 am to spslayto
quote:
BTW, I read all that shite you wrote and you pretty much said it was a coin flip, but you put your money on Texas.
Right because of the odds offered by sportsbooks, that is why I included the odds I got on each bet.
If someone walked up to you and said "let's flip this coin. Tails, you win a dollar. Heads, you lose .90 cents." Are you going to pass up that offer?
Posted on 6/24/09 at 9:38 am to Trender
quote:
Sports handicapping is supplemental income to me,
quote:
For the record, I will be rooting for LSU tonight
Sure you will.
Posted on 6/24/09 at 9:39 am to White Tiger
quote:That is a stupid assessment looking at such a small sample. We had more hits in game 1 and more hits in clutch situations and with runners in scoring position. We also have a much higher batting avg and slugging percentage this year. They hit much better than us last night but saying a blanket statement that their hitters are simply better than ours shows how little you either pay attention to baseball or actually know.
Yes, based on these two games, they do.
Posted on 6/24/09 at 9:39 am to Trender
quote:
Right because of the odds offered by sportsbooks, that is why I included the odds I got on each bet.
Don't you feel like a dirty pimp, earning his money by using LSU as your ho?
Posted on 6/24/09 at 9:40 am to White Tiger
quote:
Raynaudo
Was last week your first time to watch a game?
Posted on 6/24/09 at 9:40 am to I-59 Tiger
quote:
I hope you bet a trememdous amount of money and have some real long term finanical issues after tonight's game.
My bet size is determined by my current bankroll and the perceived edge I see in each bet. I wouldn't mind trading two winning tickets for a sixth title.
Posted on 6/24/09 at 9:42 am to tigerfootball10
quote:
If I hear someone say Ranauldo again I'm going to
I had a guy at my house complaining that we didnt start "Vernaldo."
I told him to leave.
Posted on 6/24/09 at 9:45 am to Bum
You bet...
Posted on 6/24/09 at 9:46 am to Trender
quote:
I am a LSU alum/fan, but I'm not going to pass on a profitable situation because of sentimentality. I've bet on Texas in each of the first two games, +135 and +130, and I will be on Texas again tonight at +120. I also bet Texas +150 to win the series vs LSU. Here's why...
Both full season and recency weighted metrics have this series as a virtual coinflip, Texas a very slight favorite mitigated by LSU's excellence v RHP.
LSU was very fortunate to win game one. Simple run expectation -- 5 HR's equates to approx 8.9 runs in a college game. Coleman was lucky that all of his gopher balls occurred with nobody on base. And even that doesn't really matter in the context of my broader point, which is two even teams are engaging in what amounts to a series of coinflips, and I'd never lay juice on an even prop.
Texas won game two, and there's no need for explanation. Not only did Jungmann pitched a gem, he also allowed the tired bullpen of UT to rest in preparation for game three.
For those wondering, my odds for each game this series were (and still are tonight):
Tex -110
LSU -110
Over/under = 12 runs
This is dumb...Please don't ever post again and put on your Texas hat and walk away...Have a great day...
Posted on 6/24/09 at 9:48 am to Tigergreg
quote:
Don't you feel like a dirty pimp, earning his money by using LSU as your ho?
Not really, because my bet will not affect the outcome.Posted on 6/24/09 at 9:49 am to Helo
Again, the statement was based solely on viewing these two games. Forget the rest of the year. The UT DH had 0(zero) HRs coming into the CWS. He has three against Tiger pitching. How does that factory into your sweeping knowledge of the game of baseball?
Smooth your feathers and get back to me when you can view it without being "emotional".
Smooth your feathers and get back to me when you can view it without being "emotional".
Posted on 6/24/09 at 9:50 am to DudeofLSU
quote:
This is dumb...Please don't ever post again and put on your Texas hat and walk away...
alot of thought went into that response
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