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re: Since 1906, how many football home games has LSU won vs Alabama?

Posted on 11/9/26 at 3:01 pm to
Posted by kjacksonp
Mobile, AL
Member since Dec 2006
1126 posts
Posted on 11/9/26 at 3:01 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 11/9/26 at 3:06 pm
Posted by Champagne
Sabine Free State.
Member since Oct 2007
57127 posts
Posted on 11/9/26 at 3:04 pm to
quote:

why are we picking 1906 anyways?


Because the 1906 football season was the very first season in which The Forward Pass was legalized under the Rules governing American football.

Posted by Champagne
Sabine Free State.
Member since Oct 2007
57127 posts
Posted on 11/9/26 at 3:05 pm to
I'm looking at LSU home football games since 1906.

I posted the W/L record for LSU home football games vs Alabama since 1906 inclusive.

9 Wins

30 Losses

3 Ties
Posted by Thorny
Montgomery, AL
Member since May 2008
2458 posts
Posted on 11/9/26 at 6:30 pm to
quote:

What exactly is the main point that we should take out of your statistical analysis? I'm sure I missed it.


Two things:
1) Alabama is historically much better than LSU. This is especially true of their elite coaches.

2) There is some type of home field disadvantage going on in this series that defies logic. Logically, if a team were to win 67.5% of the games in a series, they would most likely have won over 85% at home and around 50% on the road. That's reversed and there's no logical reason for it. In fact, Bama has a better winning percentage vs. LSU in Tiger Stadium than 3 of the 4 places we've played them in Alabama (In Montgomery, Bama is 2-0, but we haven't played there since 1930).

For example, LSU beats Mississippi State 68% of the time (76-36-3) (Yeah, that means Bama beats us like we beat State-UGH!). In Baton Rouge, LSU wins 73% of the time (52-19-1) and only 58% of the time (24-17-2) in various Mississippi venues.

Conversely, Alabama beats Tennessee 58% of the time (60-41-7). In Alabama, Bama wins 63% of the time (33-18-6) and only 54% of the time in Tennessee (27-23-1).

I seriously doubt you could find another rivalry where the home team is at such a statistical disadvantage.
Posted by Champagne
Sabine Free State.
Member since Oct 2007
57127 posts
Posted on 11/9/26 at 7:41 pm to
quote:

I seriously doubt you could find another rivalry where the home team is at such a statistical disadvantage.



Oh, I see. You're commenting on the statistical anomaly that the home team in the series loses more than you'd expect.

Got it.

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