OFFICIAL BCS THREAD - LSU #12

OFFICIAL STANDINGS I had Wisconsin and OSU flipped (figured they were close).

** We are all aware of how difficult it would be for LSU to win out. This is thread is to talk about hypothetical scenarios with the BCS.

Well it looks really, really close between Oregon and AU for #1 and #2. I give the edge to AU but it is too tough to tell without the Harris and computer polls officially out. I have AU at #1 by a couple hundredths of a point. But it doesn't matter, they both control their own destiny.

If either should falter, Missouri and Michigan State are waiting in the wings. But the Vegas odds have to be against them winning out, so what happens then? It will be a big argument between Boise, TCU or a 1-loss team. I think Bama and a few others edge Boise/TCU with their computer ranking (if not in the polls).

I have LSU at #12, but there are probably in better shape than that. In the unlikely event that they win out, LSU really only needs one thing to happen...Auburn stumbles to 2 losses. That would put LSU in the SECCG. AU plays Bama and a hot UGA team. And you never know when Cam Newton is gonna get arrested for stealing a laptop. It isn't a definite, but I think a 12-1 LSU team is likely to go over other 1-loss teams and Boise (I think Boise would be ahead in the polls, so the question would be is it enough of a cushion to fight off LSU's computer poll). If TCU beats undefeated Utah, they may cause problems. A 10-2 LSU team would be very competitive for a BCS bowl, but might get left out of AU and Bama had the same or better records.


My very early estimate of this weeks BCS Standings:

1. AU
2. Oregon. Very, very close to #1.
3. Boise. Computer score falling fast.
4. TCU. Need Utah to keep winning
5. MSU. Lack of Big10 CG and avoiding OSU will hurt
6. Missouri. I think they go if AU or Oregon lose. But they play Nebraska and Big12CG
7. Bama. If MSU/Missouri trip up they probably control destiny
8. Utah.
9. OU. Rematch against Missouri would really make a strong case for them
10. Wisconsin. Ditto from OSU
11. OSU. Schedule doesn't seem tough enough to get them in with 1-loss
12. LSU. Win out and get some luck from AU and should be competitive.

*** I am working of the LSUMatt computer poll and may post later