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Message

re: Miles and Cam better not let these guys down.

Posted on 1/10/16 at 3:54 pm to
Posted by timm6971463
oakdale la
Member since Mar 2008
4387 posts
Posted on 1/10/16 at 3:54 pm to
Or you will do what,rat them out to Santa !
Posted by chilge1
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2009
12139 posts
Posted on 1/10/16 at 3:54 pm to
People also assumed that the defense would be up to par with what we've seen in recent years and that we wouldn't have a complete meltdown on special teams.
Posted by Mayhawman
Somewhere in the middle of SEC West
Member since Dec 2009
10452 posts
Posted on 1/10/16 at 3:55 pm to
quote:

The biggest problem with our passing is that we go deep or not at all most of the time.


Not really

Completions
0-15yds=73
15-25yds=49
+25yds=26
Posted by Fratigerguy
Member since Jan 2014
4913 posts
Posted on 1/10/16 at 4:24 pm to
quote:

The point was that last year, people said that the type numbers we got from BH this year would be all it would take. They were wrong.



I don't think anyone even remotely said that if BH only completed 54% of his passes, that we would be good, or that is all it would take. What chilge is talking about is if we can get him in the 60s, not only would we complete more passes, but the offense is likely to be opened up a bit more. Obviously the coaches knew he struggled on the short to intermediate routes...that's why we didn't throw them as much. That's not a Les Miles trademark. Hell, there was a thread you started back in 2011 I found where you were saying something to the effect that we FINALLY showed that we will throw the ball downfield. You were sick of the shorter passes. Whether we want to admit it or not, Les actually does steer the offense around the capabilities of the guy under center.

Now to the rest of this....absolutely none of us are saying the passing offense has been good the past couple of years. None of us are saying we can do the same next year. The 90s in rankings are rough. We need to do better. All we are saying is that we don't need to be top 25 to win a championship. Very few teams have been in the top half of the NCAA PER GAME in passing who have won one in the past 10 years. If we were able to get 40-50 more yards per game more production, with a 7-10% better completion percentage, with the running game we have, we would be very hard to stop. Agree?
Posted by boxcar willie
kenner
Member since Mar 2011
16106 posts
Posted on 1/10/16 at 5:31 pm to
So what if we threw the ball 30 times a game and averaged 300 yards passing a game with a 62% completion percentage, would that in some way hinder LSU in winning a NC in you guys opinions?
Do you think an effective passing game somehow is a detriment to our run game? Is it a hindrance to our defense? If we had a highly efficient and effective passing game would it be of no benefit to our asperations of winning a NC? Would it be better to just have a slightly effective pass game rather than a highly effective pass game?
Posted by Fratigerguy
Member since Jan 2014
4913 posts
Posted on 1/10/16 at 5:40 pm to
Ummm....not sure what you are asking? Of course a better passing game would be beneficial.

The statement was made earlier that we must be in the top half of the NCAA in passing (he tries to make it sound as though he meant total yards, even though it is an asinine stat to look at) yardage per game to win a NC. I simply pointed out that the majority of the NCs in the past 10 years have not. And only 1 out of 6 in the SEC (1 out of 7 if bama wins tomorrow) have been. We need to do better. We don't have to average 300 yards per game to win it all, though.
Posted by pt448
LA
Member since Nov 2013
502 posts
Posted on 1/10/16 at 7:55 pm to
quote:

Hell, there was a thread you started back in 2011 I found where you were saying something to the effect that we FINALLY showed that we will throw the ball downfield. You were sick of the shorter passes. 

Posted by BeeFense5
Kenner
Member since Jul 2010
42173 posts
Posted on 1/10/16 at 8:03 pm to
quote:

Hell, there was a thread you started back in 2011 I found where you were saying something to the effect that we FINALLY showed that we will throw the ball downfield.


Posted by boxcar willie
kenner
Member since Mar 2011
16106 posts
Posted on 1/10/16 at 8:31 pm to
quote:

We don't have to average 300 yards per game to win it all, though.


but it would increase our odds a great deal if we did, don't you think?
Posted by Geauxtro
Laffy
Member since Dec 2010
180 posts
Posted on 1/10/16 at 9:15 pm to
2 top 25 finishes in the last 8 years in rushing and that's your proof! Exactly what is it about offense and our record and our final rankings are you confused about sir?
Posted by Geauxtro
Laffy
Member since Dec 2010
180 posts
Posted on 1/10/16 at 9:26 pm to
Thank you!
Posted by Fratigerguy
Member since Jan 2014
4913 posts
Posted on 1/10/16 at 9:32 pm to
Actually, if we go by statistics, no. Only 1 team in the past 10 years has won the national championship and averaged over 250 yards per game. If Clemson wins tomorrow, that will make 2. They are averaging 280. Florida state is the only to average over 250, and they had 330. I would imagine it has to do with ball control, time of possession, and wearing down defenses via the run, but that's all speculative.
Posted by SoulGlo
Shinin' Through
Member since Dec 2011
17248 posts
Posted on 1/11/16 at 1:38 am to
Ok, about 15+ and half 15- for completion. More successful teams are nearly 2-1 in the -15 category. Shorter pass are higher percentage and should be easier for a qb.

Remember, a bunch of the 0-15 were also thrown behind the line and blown up because the Defense saw them coming.

You can't escape predictability.
Posted by SoulGlo
Shinin' Through
Member since Dec 2011
17248 posts
Posted on 1/11/16 at 1:42 am to
quote:

Now to the rest of this....absolutely none of us are saying the passing offense has been good the past couple of years. None of us are saying we can do the same next year. The 90s in rankings are rough. We need to do better. All we are saying is that we don't need to be top 25 to win a championship. Very few teams have been in the top half of the NCAA PER GAME in passing who have won one in the past 10 years. If we were able to get 40-50 more yards per game more production, with a 7-10% better completion percentage, with the running game we have, we would be very hard to stop. Agree?



This. We don't have to light teams up with the pass. It MUST be at least respected though. That would make the running game a LOT better.
Posted by WiscyTiger
Bear Lake, WI
Member since Nov 2008
1429 posts
Posted on 1/11/16 at 1:49 am to
quote:

Just support the fricking coaches and the team and let the shite play out instead of being "miserable".


No, we need to have a sense of urgency. I view our current program as a Ferrari, but with a driver that has fallen into mediocrity over the last 7 years. We went a LONG time between championships, between 1958 to 2003. We may not get the chance again to have what we have right now (talent and overall program level). We need to demand excellence of our HC, and we need to fire him and hire a better HC if he isn’t doing the job.

Do the championship teams of the last few years just sit back and accept being mediocre? No, they demand excellence, and so should we.
Posted by boxcar willie
kenner
Member since Mar 2011
16106 posts
Posted on 1/11/16 at 7:26 am to
quote:

Actually, if we go by statistics, no.


so you think there is some optimal level of pass efficiency and production beyond which hinders the chances of success of an team. What would be that level? Maybe 60% with 228 ypg. Going to 62% with 272 ypg decrease odds of winning? We would probably be better with Philipe Franks instead of a Shea Patterson as Patterson would probably put up to good of numbers and decrease our chances?
Posted by Fratigerguy
Member since Jan 2014
4913 posts
Posted on 1/11/16 at 7:50 am to
See here now...SFP should pay attention to this. THIS is a straw man argument.

Not sure exactly what you are wanting me to say here, so I'll try to add a little personal opinion along with stats.

The stats of the past 10 years show that the NC winners, with the exception of 1, have all averaged less than 250 yards per game passing. Personally, I think this is for a few reasons...typically, a team won't average 600 yards per game of offense. 500 is great...a 250 yard passing average would mean they had a pretty balanced attack...they weren't one dimensional. Teams that are heavy rush with very little passing (LSU the past few years) have a hard time matching up against a the entirety of the teams they will see in a season. Conversely, teams that are heavily into the passing game with little rushing component will struggle as well. I think it is for this reason why you don't see a bunch of pass heavy, or rush heavy teams atop the mountain.

Now, can we average 300 yards per game passing and do well? Possibly. Especially if we have 300-350 rushing average as well. But there simply isn't enough time in the game usually, ESPECIALLY playing in the SEC with its many ball control offenses, for this to happen.

Throw in the fact that we generally recruit lineman, skill personnel, and coaches geared toward a run heavy, pro set offense, and us trying to average 300 yards per game passing would likely end up bad.
Posted by chilge1
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2009
12139 posts
Posted on 1/11/16 at 1:48 pm to
You pretty much nailed it. Seems like the key to a championship team is a powerful rushing attack, powerful defense, and average passing attack.

We just haven't had the last part of that equation much lately.
Posted by Mayhawman
Somewhere in the middle of SEC West
Member since Dec 2009
10452 posts
Posted on 1/11/16 at 3:26 pm to
quote:

Shorter pass are higher percentage and should be easier for a qb.
I don't have stats on hand for 0-15-25-+25yd attempts, but short passing seemed pretty dismal and would expect 2 X compl at best.
Also I'd categorize 15-25yd intermediate, not deep.

2016 I expect Harris to naturally progress with hitting more targets, in turn giving staff more confidence in agressive calls and all the Miles/Cam whiners to tout how correct they were about "opening up the offense", "what took them so long" etc, etc.
Posted by misey94
Member since Jan 2007
32901 posts
Posted on 1/11/16 at 7:01 pm to
quote:

But there simply isn't enough time in the game usually, ESPECIALLY playing in the SEC with its many ball control offenses, for this to happen.


People don't really pay attention to this, but our offense hasn't been as effective some the newer clock rules were put in place around 08. A team like LSU gets fewer possessions now, meaning that every mistake and wasted drive is more magnified. Also, we tend to get a lot less time in the easier games to play backups a meaningful number of snaps, because it takes longer to get to a point where the game is completely out of reach.

I am not advocating moving to a tempo offense. However, I think picking up the pace a little to allow time for an extra possession or two would help, rather than bleeding the clock all the time.
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