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Started By
Message
1
Posted on 8/16/10 at 6:39 pm to MOT
Silver Lining:
LSU can just start gameplanning for the SECOND game. This one is lost.
Apparently, Tony Two Toes just weighed in. You all KNOW that means its OVER!!!
How do some people actually survive in the real world?
LSU can just start gameplanning for the SECOND game. This one is lost.
Apparently, Tony Two Toes just weighed in. You all KNOW that means its OVER!!!
How do some people actually survive in the real world?
Posted on 8/16/10 at 6:40 pm to BlackHelicopterPilot
Well said.
Posted on 8/16/10 at 6:51 pm to The ATL
Way too early to read a line.
I would normally say a line move on Monday prior to the following Sat. contest could be a set up, whereby a major mover places a substantial bet to get a line move in order to drop the bank on the other side.
But this is too early for a play like that.
There's just not enough volume to establish a settled line this early on a game with so many question marks.
I would normally say a line move on Monday prior to the following Sat. contest could be a set up, whereby a major mover places a substantial bet to get a line move in order to drop the bank on the other side.
But this is too early for a play like that.
There's just not enough volume to establish a settled line this early on a game with so many question marks.
Posted on 8/16/10 at 6:54 pm to LSUtoOmaha
Oddsmakers from Online Sportsbook Sportsbook.com have made Georgia Tech –4 point spread favorites for the Chick-fil-A Bowl against LSU. Current College Fooball Public Betting Information shows that 75% of more than 3,659 bets for this game have been placed on the Georgia Tech -4.
You have answered your own smart arse uninformed response. See how the NUMBER of bets favored GT, and LSU won. Smart money moved the other way at the end.
Go back to mommy and let her give you a bath.
You have answered your own smart arse uninformed response. See how the NUMBER of bets favored GT, and LSU won. Smart money moved the other way at the end.
Go back to mommy and let her give you a bath.
Posted on 8/16/10 at 6:57 pm to The ATL
you seem well informed on the subject matter where might I find this info for my personal use! strugglimg mightily lately w baseball picks
Posted on 8/16/10 at 6:59 pm to Hock
take the Astros tonight -122 or so...hurry its at 805EST
Posted on 8/16/10 at 7:02 pm to The ATL
i already have the astros and padres at 87, THANKS!!!
Posted on 8/16/10 at 7:03 pm to The312
quote:
I don't have any reason to suspect that the new money bets are any more accurate than those made by the old wagers
I think the implication is that this wasn't just a lot of new bettors coming in on UNC, but one or more big hitters who suddenly dropped enough on UNC to reverse the line in UNC's favor despite the fact that 70% of the bets (but not the $) are on LSU. The big hitters (who are on UNC) frequently know something the casual bettors (who are on LSU) don't. Not always, of course, but frequently.
Posted on 8/16/10 at 7:06 pm to The ATL
quote:
Oddsmakers from Online Sportsbook Sportsbook.com have made Georgia Tech –4 point spread favorites for the Chick-fil-A Bowl against LSU. Current College Fooball Public Betting Information shows that 75% of more than 3,659 bets for this game have been placed on the Georgia Tech -4.
You have answered your own smart arse uninformed response. See how the NUMBER of bets favored GT, and LSU won. Smart money moved the other way at the end.
Exactly, 75% of the BETS were on GT -4, but the 25% on LSU had as much money on LSU +4 as the 75% did on GT -4 (presumably, since the line is supposed to divide the money roughly evenly), so the big hitters were on LSU, while the casual bettors were on GT. The big hitters were right, and the casual bettors were wrong.
Now, we apparently have the reverse situation. 70% of the bets, but only (presumably) 50% of the money, is on LSU, while only 30% of the bets (but presumably 50% of the money) is on UNC. The big hitters are on UNC, while the casual bettors are on LSU.
Posted on 8/16/10 at 7:07 pm to Nuts4LSU
that's my point
Posted on 8/16/10 at 7:45 pm to The ATL
I'd like to see some statistics that show that "smart money" moves beat the spread more than 53% (what it takes to make a profit vs the vig)
If so, it seems like you could make an easy living just by following it.
Posted on 8/16/10 at 9:31 pm to willeteal
how many casual gamblers do you know that win on a consistent basis? Not many.
Posted on 9/4/10 at 6:49 am to The ATL
What's the latest line? Yesterday it was -8
Sounds like easy money to me
Sounds like easy money to me
Posted on 9/4/10 at 8:07 am to Nuts4LSU
quote:
The big hitters (who are on UNC) frequently know something the casual bettors (who are on LSU) don't. Not always, of course, but frequently.
If this comes to pass, and UNC wins or covers with 12 players out, it's time to break out the point shaving investigation.
Posted on 9/4/10 at 8:21 am to 1984Tiger
Looks like the "big hitters" didn't know shite.
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