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LSU fan rooting guide for 11/14
Posted on 11/9/26 at 10:44 am
Posted on 11/9/26 at 10:44 am
Here is what we know so far.
Likely playoff locks
SEC: Alabama, Georgia
Big 10: Indiana, UCLA
ACC: Miami
Big 12: Utah
Notre Dame
G5 rep
8 spots are more or less locked up at this point. So where do the other 4 teams come from? Below are the impactful games this weekend and who would benefit LSU the most in winning to keep as many of those 4 spots open as possible. Spreads are in bold
ACC:
Wake Forrest @ SMU (WF -1.5)
- SMU win would guarantee ACC teams outside of Miami have 2+ losses. Conference is too weak for them to get a second team in.
Big 10:
USC @ Indiana (IU -7.5)
Purdue @ Iowa (Iowa -17.5)
Michigan @ Oregon (-11.5)
- USC and Iowa losing would ensure all but 2 Big 10 teams have 3+ losses. Iowa's schedule is weak, so them picking up a 3rd is not a neccessity, but would be nice. Oregon will likely be the most compelling 3 loss team for them to take over a 3 loss SEC team. Would be nice to get them out of the way.
Big 12:
Houston @ Colorado (Hou -10)
Utah @ Arizona (Utah -2.5)
Texas Tech @ Okie St (OSU -3.5)
- Utah win would give Arizona a 3rd loss. BYU will likely win out and take up a second spot for the Big 12. We NEED Texas Tech to lose, because they will win out, finish 11-1 and the big 12 may end up with 3 teams in. (We would be down to 2 spots in this case). Houston loss here, puts them at 3.
SEC:
Ole Miss @ OU (Ole Miss -1.5)
Florida @ UK (UK -3.5)
- Ole Miss and OU is the most important game of the weekend outside of LSU-Texas. Ole Miss has Wofford and Kemario Taylorless MSU left. This is their last opportunity for a loss. Its actually a great matchup for OU because they are an abysmal passing team. Run it down the Rebs throat.
If Ole Miss has a 4th loss, I like our odds in a 3 loss team pile up. We'd have wins over Texas/Tenn and I think the committee could forgive a road overtime 2 pt conversion loss to UK if they are 9-3.
Florida beating UK would be nice, but UK has @Mizzou and Louisville left. 2 pick em games. We just need them to drop at least 1 of these last 3.
ETA:
If LSU can win out, I think the last 4 spots would come down to
Wake Forrest (if they are 11-1)
Texas Tech 11-1/10-2
BYU 10-2
Oregon (if they are 9-3)
USC (if they are 10-2 or 9-3)
LSU 9-3
Texas 9-3
Tenn 9-3
Ole Miss 9-3 (If they win)
UK 10-2/9-3
You could potentially trim Wake Forrest, Texas Tech, Ole Miss, and USC from this list this weekend
Likely playoff locks
SEC: Alabama, Georgia
Big 10: Indiana, UCLA
ACC: Miami
Big 12: Utah
Notre Dame
G5 rep
8 spots are more or less locked up at this point. So where do the other 4 teams come from? Below are the impactful games this weekend and who would benefit LSU the most in winning to keep as many of those 4 spots open as possible. Spreads are in bold
ACC:
Wake Forrest @ SMU (WF -1.5)
- SMU win would guarantee ACC teams outside of Miami have 2+ losses. Conference is too weak for them to get a second team in.
Big 10:
USC @ Indiana (IU -7.5)
Purdue @ Iowa (Iowa -17.5)
Michigan @ Oregon (-11.5)
- USC and Iowa losing would ensure all but 2 Big 10 teams have 3+ losses. Iowa's schedule is weak, so them picking up a 3rd is not a neccessity, but would be nice. Oregon will likely be the most compelling 3 loss team for them to take over a 3 loss SEC team. Would be nice to get them out of the way.
Big 12:
Houston @ Colorado (Hou -10)
Utah @ Arizona (Utah -2.5)
Texas Tech @ Okie St (OSU -3.5)
- Utah win would give Arizona a 3rd loss. BYU will likely win out and take up a second spot for the Big 12. We NEED Texas Tech to lose, because they will win out, finish 11-1 and the big 12 may end up with 3 teams in. (We would be down to 2 spots in this case). Houston loss here, puts them at 3.
SEC:
Ole Miss @ OU (Ole Miss -1.5)
Florida @ UK (UK -3.5)
- Ole Miss and OU is the most important game of the weekend outside of LSU-Texas. Ole Miss has Wofford and Kemario Taylorless MSU left. This is their last opportunity for a loss. Its actually a great matchup for OU because they are an abysmal passing team. Run it down the Rebs throat.
If Ole Miss has a 4th loss, I like our odds in a 3 loss team pile up. We'd have wins over Texas/Tenn and I think the committee could forgive a road overtime 2 pt conversion loss to UK if they are 9-3.
Florida beating UK would be nice, but UK has @Mizzou and Louisville left. 2 pick em games. We just need them to drop at least 1 of these last 3.
ETA:
If LSU can win out, I think the last 4 spots would come down to
Wake Forrest (if they are 11-1)
Texas Tech 11-1/10-2
BYU 10-2
Oregon (if they are 9-3)
USC (if they are 10-2 or 9-3)
LSU 9-3
Texas 9-3
Tenn 9-3
Ole Miss 9-3 (If they win)
UK 10-2/9-3
You could potentially trim Wake Forrest, Texas Tech, Ole Miss, and USC from this list this weekend
This post was edited on 11/9/26 at 10:49 am
Posted on 11/9/26 at 10:47 am to WaydownSouth
I just want to beat a team with a pulse
Posted on 11/9/26 at 10:48 am to WaydownSouth
You forgot Texas @ LSU
Posted on 11/9/26 at 11:03 am to WaydownSouth
I will not allow myself to hope.
Posted on 11/9/26 at 11:05 am to WaydownSouth
I just put money on Texas. Can’t believe we are still favored in this game.

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