re: Andre Ware expects Jefferson to have a huge year

quote:

---

What was Cam Newton chances last year when everyone thought Ingram would repeat?

---

better than Jefferson's chances this year.


he certainly didnt shite the bed 3 years at Auburn before last year.

quote:

---

Its football and you don't know the future. Who knows who will have a breakout season. And for the record, every D1 player in america has the same chance. 50%. Either you win it, or you don't.

---

ive been enjoying the talk you've been generating on here lately, but man this is just fricking stupid.


Trent Richardson has as good of a shot at the Heisman as our 1 armed kicker. Whoo Hoo!!! Start the campaign!!! Who knows what the future holds!!

quote:

---

Are you saying that every player in college football doesn't have the same chance of winning the Heisman?

---

Absolutely.

quote:

---

The heisman also isn't best player in America. Its the player who causes the greatest impact on a team.

---

its awarded to the most outstanding player in CFB

quote:

---

At this point, every single player in CFB has the same heisman chances.

---

C'mon man. I understand your point but this is absolutely ridiculous.

quote:

---

I wish I shared his optimism

---

There's no reason not to. Yes JJ had a terrible year. But we have brought in a new OC and QB coach who is working on his mechanics. That's reason enough for excitement there. Also, JJ showed some real improvement in the spring game. Cue the he went 4-14 argument.

quote:

---

At this point, every single player in CFB has the same heisman chances.

---

So you're saying the 3rd string walk-on kicker at UAB has the same chance as Luck, Richardson, LMJ, etc.?

Are you also sticking by your statement that each player has a 50% chance?

Anyone who is a QB, a RB or a WR has a chance. Not many others do. I don't know that a defender will ever win one again.

quote:

---

JJ showed some real improvement in the spring game

---

I mainly saw the JJ we all know too well.

quote:

---

Cue the he went 4-14 argument

---

It is what it is
I hope JJ breaks every single season passing record out there en route to a Heisman and BCSNC, but the horrible memories of the large majority of last years games have me quite pessimistic. I will remain this way until he actually goes out there and proves something on the field.

quote:

---

This relates to two things that, at this point, cannot be fixed.

(1) Self confidence, and
(2) Mechanics

Throwing mechanics breeds consistency.

---

I agree with everything except for the bolded text. I am on record as being displeased with JJ's quarterbacking and for having very little faith in the supposed breakout year. But even me, the most pessimistic poster about JJ this side of Rudy, notes the following, which provides me with some glimmer of hope:

1. Physical Tools. JJ is a 6'5", 224 lb prototype. He has an above average arm, above average running speed and a healthy measure of athleticism.

2. Experience. He has started 28 games as the QB for LSU. 17 of those starts came against SEC teams and 3 were in bowl games against Top 15 OOC opponents. He's played in big games before. Yes, he hasn't played very well, but he has had the opportunity to learn from the mistakes of the past. Thus, while we can be pessimistic about the likelihood he'll ever be the type of QB who can actually be a reason LSU wins, it is perfectly logical to suggest that JJ will have his best overall year this upcoming season.

3. His mechanics can be fixed. He's only 21. If he applies himself and buys in to what Kragthorpe is teaching, he can improve his footwork, mechanics, accuracy and decision-making. As bad as he has looked at times, there have been moments of brilliance. Practice (done properly) does make perfect and making a few tweaks and gaining more consistency can have an exponential impact on his productivity.

4. Success breeds self-confidence. Put 1-3 together on a consistent basis with a proper attitude (i.e., whatever mindset he was playing in against Auburn in 2009) and JJ can change his whole persona. This in turn could be redoubled as his teammates and the fanbase start believing in him.

So while I think it is more probable than not that JJ will be only slightly better than he was the past year, it is not completely out of the question that the four things I outlined above all come to pass and JJ has a season like Mauck in 2003. And if he does that, we have 21 other starters plus the depth to turn that into another MNC for LSU.

I couldn't have said it better myself. I think t will happen. We will see. But if Jordan was ever going to be a good college QB, the pieces of the puzzle are falling in place.