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What percentage of early commitments stick?

Posted on 7/8/22 at 6:24 pm
Posted by Salviati
Member since Apr 2006
5541 posts
Posted on 7/8/22 at 6:24 pm
I can't seem to find any statistics on the likelihood that an early commitment ends up signing with that team.

Folks are always whining and complaining about players not honoring verbal commitments, but it seems to me like the percentages vastly favor the team with the early commitment. Perhaps over 80%?

Can anyone like some research to confirm?
Posted by Magician2
Member since Oct 2015
14553 posts
Posted on 7/8/22 at 6:29 pm to
Not sure the data behind it but in my opinion it was rare unless a coach got fired (HC or sometimes position)

But now with NIL anything can happen
Posted by GMoney2600
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2005
14110 posts
Posted on 7/8/22 at 6:30 pm to
I don't think anyone has actually researched that.

That would require a lot of time, & no one would pay them to do it.
Posted by geauxnavybeatbama
Member since Jul 2013
25134 posts
Posted on 7/8/22 at 6:30 pm to
69% if I remember correctly
Posted by GeauxAggie972
Poterbin Residence
Member since Aug 2009
29448 posts
Posted on 7/8/22 at 6:34 pm to
I'm coming up with 32.33 repeating of course percentage
Posted by smoke225
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2007
7868 posts
Posted on 7/8/22 at 6:35 pm to
Tree fitty
Posted by Salviati
Member since Apr 2006
5541 posts
Posted on 7/8/22 at 6:37 pm to
quote:

I don't think anyone has actually researched that.

That would require a lot of time, & no one would pay them to do it.
You'd think 247, On3, or Rivals could derive that number without too much trouble.

I kinda thought one of them had done it recently.
Posted by LsuTool
Member since Oct 2009
34850 posts
Posted on 7/8/22 at 6:39 pm to
What is an early commitment?
Posted by GMoney2600
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2005
14110 posts
Posted on 7/8/22 at 6:40 pm to
Recruiting sites are the only ones that could actually do it. Nobody else can actually remember all that, but they should have it stored in memory.
Posted by Salviati
Member since Apr 2006
5541 posts
Posted on 7/8/22 at 6:45 pm to
quote:

What is an early commitment?
A commitment prior to an official signing day. Some say a verbal commitment.
Posted by BatonrougeCajun
Somewhere in Texas
Member since Feb 2008
6062 posts
Posted on 7/8/22 at 7:22 pm to
Doesn’t even matter. All that matters in this age of college football is “does your team have momentum right now?”
Posted by moock blackjack
Member since Apr 2008
96203 posts
Posted on 7/8/22 at 7:28 pm to
There will always be 2 or 3 that we asked to look elsewhere later on
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
260877 posts
Posted on 7/8/22 at 7:39 pm to
NIL makes anything in the past not worth comparing. Totally different dynamic.
Posted by pbro62
Baton Rouge
Member since May 2016
11379 posts
Posted on 7/9/22 at 12:47 am to
Here is your research frick off
Posted by DeathvalleyU
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2015
1106 posts
Posted on 7/9/22 at 7:15 am to
I would say in the world of NIL they probably stick pretty well. I’m sure they are signing a contract of some sort before they commit. At least for the big time recruits.
Posted by SOL2
Dallas burbs
Member since Jan 2020
4781 posts
Posted on 7/9/22 at 9:32 am to
90%
Posted by TigerRuss
Decatur, Georgia.
Member since Sep 2003
676 posts
Posted on 7/9/22 at 9:44 am to
I’ve been paying attention to recruiting for a long time.l would say the 90% mark is a good number, maybe even a little low. Staying with your verbal is the norm.As long as mama is in Mississippi, we’re good with Jason,like the fact that he’s a early enrollee.
This post was edited on 7/9/22 at 9:48 am
Posted by Sissidog02
Member since Jan 2020
5352 posts
Posted on 7/9/22 at 10:08 am to
All commitments are EARLY commitments, they’re are verbals, nobody is on team until inking their name on Team letterhead.
Posted by Herodijontiger
Myrtle Beach S.C.
Member since Apr 2021
895 posts
Posted on 7/9/22 at 11:33 am to
Why has this board gotten so nasty and toxic over the last couple years?
Posted by Cadello
Eunice
Member since Dec 2007
47802 posts
Posted on 7/9/22 at 11:39 am to
Global Warning
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