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Off season keeper advice for next season

Posted on 3/20/19 at 3:08 pm
Posted by Lost Highway
Chicago
Member since Sep 2016
153 posts
Posted on 3/20/19 at 3:08 pm
12 team league, PPR, 2 keepers. Pick 11 (not a snake draft)

Of my top choices, help me pick 2....

A. Kamara- 10th rd.
Robert Foster- 11th rd.
Kerryon Johnson- 10th rd.
Robert Woods- 8th rd.
Cooper Kupp- 8th rd.
DeVante Adams- 1st rd.
LeVeon Bell- 1st rd.

Thanks!
This post was edited on 3/21/19 at 1:55 pm
Posted by DallasTiger45
Member since May 2012
8418 posts
Posted on 3/20/19 at 3:44 pm to
Kamara no question. I'd roll with Kerryon as my second keeper if the Lions don't add anyone meaningful to the backfield
Posted by VermilionTiger
Member since Dec 2012
37550 posts
Posted on 3/20/19 at 4:55 pm to
Where are you picking?

Kamara is the easy 1

I'd say Johnson is the 2nd easy choice. If you're picking late, grabbing Adams at the end of a 12 man is probably equivalent to 33-36th pick. Not too shabby for the projected #1 WR
Posted by Lost Highway
Chicago
Member since Sep 2016
153 posts
Posted on 3/20/19 at 5:00 pm to
Picking 11th. Took second place. Standard draft format (not snake).

Agree the Kamara is easily #1 especially with Ingram moving on.

Adams at the 11th spot is intriguing and the value of the others is pretty solid. K Johnson's injury history is worrisome, but that RB duo at late round value is tough to pass up.
Posted by Lester Earl
Member since Nov 2003
278080 posts
Posted on 3/20/19 at 5:13 pm to
Keep Bell if you are picking 11th
Posted by AmosMosesAndTwins
Lake Charles
Member since Apr 2010
17886 posts
Posted on 3/20/19 at 8:39 pm to
quote:

Keep Bell if you are picking 11th


Yup.
Posted by DallasTiger45
Member since May 2012
8418 posts
Posted on 3/20/19 at 9:07 pm to
You gain like 5 spots of value keeping Bell at 1.11. You gain like 7 entire rounds keeping Kerryon in the 11th.

I think keeping Bell would be a massive mistake, and would rank that option behind keeping Kerryon, Woods, and even Kupp.
Posted by Vicks Kennel Club
29-24 #BlewDat
Member since Dec 2010
31060 posts
Posted on 3/20/19 at 9:49 pm to
5 spots in round 1 is worth a couple rounds later on.

That being said, I don’t know how high I have Bell next year. He will get fed, but I would wonder what his targets will look like.
Posted by DallasTiger45
Member since May 2012
8418 posts
Posted on 3/21/19 at 6:04 am to
I agree that that first statement, but we’re not talking about the difference between round 6 and round 8. We’re talking about the difference between round 4 and round 11.

Kerryon + michael Thomas >> Leveon + Geronimo Allison
Posted by VermilionTiger
Member since Dec 2012
37550 posts
Posted on 3/21/19 at 8:26 am to
Adams would go 1.01 in this draft. All the top 6 or 7 RBs are going to be kept

Hopkins/Thomas/Julio/Hill will be kept

Getting Adams with 1.11 is better than keeping Johnson and the 35th (12 + 12 + 10) best player. WHo's gonna be there at 1.11? Diggs, Golladay, Robert Woods, etc.
Posted by GynoSandberg
Member since Jan 2006
71937 posts
Posted on 3/21/19 at 8:34 am to
PPR and when do you have to decide
Posted by DallasTiger45
Member since May 2012
8418 posts
Posted on 3/21/19 at 8:35 am to
Are y'all in the league together? He didn't say anything about keepers on other teams and who would be kept.

You're right, the math changes a lot depending on who is being kept in other spots
Posted by VermilionTiger
Member since Dec 2012
37550 posts
Posted on 3/21/19 at 9:11 am to
quote:

Are y'all in the league together? He didn't say anything about keepers on other teams and who would be kept.

You're right, the math changes a lot depending on who is being kept in other spots


Nah, but I'm assuming 90% of the top 24 to be kept unless there was a stacked team that had a bunch of top 24 players.

Adams will probably be the top player drafted if he doesn't keep him, though
Posted by Peazey
Metry
Member since Apr 2012
25418 posts
Posted on 3/21/19 at 9:44 am to
I'd go Kamara and Adams. I think you want the lowest risk elite players. Not too confident in Bell. He seems like a high risk high reward play this year.
This post was edited on 3/21/19 at 9:50 am
Posted by Lost Highway
Chicago
Member since Sep 2016
153 posts
Posted on 3/21/19 at 2:39 pm to
Being a PPR league, this is likely the soundest advice.

The other keepers are not known. Keepers will be set a week prior to draft, so there is a lot of time between now and then...lots can happen.

I would guess that the following players will be kept:
Round 1: Gurley, Brown, Hopkins, Elliott
Round 4: Theilan??
Round 6: M. Thomas
Round 7: D. Johnson??
Round 11: Mahomes

There are many others, but this is just my topline projection.
Posted by GynoSandberg
Member since Jan 2006
71937 posts
Posted on 3/21/19 at 2:57 pm to
Kamara in the 10th affords you the luxury to keep any of those other guys

Bell will lead the jets in receiving

Starting a team with two top 5 picks who will catch 80 balls a piece from the RB spot at the cost of a 1 and a 10 seems like nice start

Then go trade Adams and kerryon for picks
Posted by Lester Earl
Member since Nov 2003
278080 posts
Posted on 3/21/19 at 2:59 pm to
Bell will be one of the first players off the board. He's going to catch a lot of balls in NYJ too.

Drake +Gore's targets from 2018 would have been 7th most among RBs. Drake alone had 73 which would have put him 13th. Bell is going to be a bell cow
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