re: Fantasy Board Regulars 2014 Thread

Yahoo!

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Yahoo!

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Let's use both so Tots has a chance at another "championship".

This draft was supposed to begin yesterday...

frick!

Montee Ball already hurt and now Martellus Bennett gets suspended by the Bears!

Nah, I learned my lesson last season. Im not really worried

ESPN's Eric Karabell's Do Not Draft List

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Doug Martin, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Most people probably think that his only issue last year was the torn labrum in his shoulder that shut him down before Week 8, and that now, by all indications, he's healthy. The truth is Martin was having an underwhelming season, especially in relation to his lofty top-five status from draft day (ahead of Jamaal Charles and LeSean McCoy!). Through seven weeks, Martin was 21st among running backs in standard fantasy points. It's certainly worth pointing out that his rookie year featured one of the great fantasy performances ever (272 total yards, 4 touchdowns in Week 8 at Oakland) and other than that, not a ton else. Martin is a fine player. I rank him among my top 20 running backs (although even that might change soon). But between questions of his ability, consistency and health and rumors of what really could be a backfield time share with others, I can't make him a top-10 guy. Thus, I'm not drafting him there. Whom I like more: I think it's misguided to select Martin over Montee Ball of the Denver Broncos. Compare the offenses. Compare the upside. Compare the players, really. Ball's in my top 10.

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Larry Fitzgerald, WR, Arizona Cardinals: Better to get out a year too early than a year too late. Fitzgerald, like Martin, is hardly a bad player. But it's been three seasons since Fitzgerald caught 1,000 yards worth of passes, while, on the other side of the field, Michael Floyd achieved this last season, and with many of the yards coming on vertical passes. Fitzgerald finished last season 16th among wide receivers in standard scoring, buoyed by the 10 touchdowns. He was 25th in yards. I don't see his numbers improving as he hits 30. I won't take Floyd over him, but two or three rounds later, you bet! Whom I like more: Keenan Allen is on the upswing. Target fellows who can still improve.

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DeSean Jackson, WR, Washington Redskins: It's the system, not the player, and Jackson was unceremoniously dumped from the Philadelphia Eagles’ system that provided him opportunity for his best season and made quarterback Nick Foles into Joe Montana (statistically, for one magical year). Jackson can run. He can get deep. He sure can talk. And Robert Griffin III can make things happen with him. But Jackson hadn't caught 65 passes in any season before 2013. He totaled six touchdowns in 2011-12. And he's not an Eagle anymore. The system he's in now won't help him. Pierre Garcon will be targeted a lot more. The running game will be effective. This is a 60-catch guy again, being drafted like a star. I don't see it. Whom I like more: Jeremy Maclin, essentially replacing Jackson in Philly, will now enjoy his career season, and at a far greater discount than his former teammate. It's the system, silly.

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Trent Richardson, RB, Indianapolis Colts: What exactly impressed everyone about this guy as a rookie, other than the 11 rushing touchdowns he scored, largely thanks to opportunity? He averaged 3.6 yards per carry. The Browns had nothing else and still gave him away for a draft pick. The Colts are stuck with an overrated player not capable of fulfilling expectations unless he's scoring tons of touchdowns. Quarterback Andrew Luck likes to run for scores, as well, and he's going to throw many touchdown passes. Richardson gets somewhat of a break in ADP because he gets the entire offseason/summer to learn Indy's plays, meet the team and start over, and I get that he's not being selected among the top 20 at his position, but I still don't want him. He's going to end up rising into the top 20 at his position on draft day because Vick Ballard is done for the season and Ahmad Bradshaw is made of glass, but this isn't Gronkowski; the upside is limited. Whom I like more: Name a player. How about Toby Gerhart, for one. He also doesn't have competition, but I see upside there. Joique Bell has competition and upside, too.

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Percy Harvin, WR, Seattle Seahawks: Yep, I saw him score a touchdown in the Super Bowl. So did a billion others. It was magical. It was also the first big play he had made in a really long time. I'd like to invest in Harvin if the price were right, but it's not going to be. It hasn't been for years. This is a clear run-first team, and the player has a dubious history of health, not to mention he's never actually had a 1,000-yard receiving season or scored more than six receiving touchdowns. Isn't this the definition of fantasy insanity, continuing to value highly an overrated statistical option annually? Whom I like more: The young, exciting, versatile fantasy monster back in Minnesota, where Harvin once teased us, is going to be a star. Invest in Cordarrelle Patterson. Now.

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Knowshon Moreno, RB, Miami Dolphins: He's not in Denver anymore. I wouldn't get too excited about his new colleague Lamar Miller, who probably starts at running back for this team, but Moreno is dealing with knee woes, and the difference in Peyton Manning and Ryan Tannehill is extreme. The way defenses deal with Tannehill is also extremely different. Good luck with linebackers, Knowshon. It's not going to be a fun season statistically, and I'd say we all know that, but his ADP isn't showing it. Whom I like more: There's no upside here. Instead of using a top-100 pick on a player on the downswing, check back in Denver at who could explode like Moreno did should Ball fail. It's C.J. Anderson! That's an upside pick and one that costs considerably less.

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prayers sent to the owners of these players

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since he nailed it last year with Matthews, Murray, Antonio Brown, and Garcon on that list

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the list is for do not draft them for where they are currently going in ADP

Fading Karabell typically yields very good results

There can be arguments made for/against for every player right now. There's always something contradictory that I could write out in length that could make you say, "Hmm, yeah, I could say that."

I read all these columns because my life sucks in shite town, Mississippi, and I don't take them as the be-all end-all of fantasy football. However, I do respect Karabell; he is very good at what he does, and forms his own opinion rather than just going with what the market is telling him — you could learn from this Gtothemoney.

Martin: 346 yards on 76 carries for a 4.5 average when he didn't face the Jets or the Cardinals — the two best teams against the run per attempt in 2013 at 3.4 and 3.7, respectively.

Fitzgerald: Reggie Wayne saw a revival to his career once he was moved from an out-wide position to the slot in Bruce Arians's offense in 2012 — a catch increase by 31. Fitzgerald will move to the slot in 2014 for the Cardinals. Wayne had 75 catches for 960 in 2012; Fitzgerald had 82 grabs for 954 yards while battling a nagging hamstring injury along the way. There's not any other wide receiver Fitzgerald is battling with for passes short and over the middle, unless you count John Carlson The skills are still evident for Fitzgerald at 31 — catches made away from the body, run after the catch, beating good cornerbacks from the other side. They're all there still.

Obviously Wayne had Luck, but like I said, you can make an argument for anyone this time of year.

Just a snippet as an example, and obviously chose the guys I did because they are on my team.

Yes, I'd rather Ball to Martin, but getting him in the third wasn't bad, and could prove to be a worthy pick.

In truth, I would say Fitzgerald ends up as in the 20's as a WR, but I could also see him cracking the top 12. I picked him for his stability. He plays every week.

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