re: Brand New TD Dynasty League - Season 2

I think the draft picks are set for this year.

That’s a slippery slope to mess with.

I just never noticed that the picks didn’t reset in rounds 2-4 until I was about to send a trade proposal to G$ last night.

I say we discuss, then poll. No need to drag it out. I don't really care either way.

Do we do this lottery system differently from how TDBA is done? I finished tied for the worst record and drew the 5 th pick. I thought I’d be locked into no worse than the 3rd pick? It is what it is. Just wondering.

I’m in favor of Wisey”s suggestion.

Poll is posted

Only 7 people voted on the last one that’s been up for months, which was about the add/drops in offseason

Just checked the thread for the first time in a while.

While we are on the subject, I had been wanting to bring up the idea of adjusting the odds for the lottery for future years. How this last lottery fell out very close to literally every true non-playoff team wound up with a worse pick than every fringe non-playoff team with LE being one pick away from it being literally all the worst teams ending up with worse picks. While I understand and agree that we should have a lottery to discourage tanking, for the sake of parity having a worse record shouldn't be meaningless which is what these results suggest. They are almost the opposite of the kind of results that I was expecting. Maybe it was just a low chance occurrence happening, but if this is what we can expect regularly then I think it will be bad for the league.

As for a solution, I'm not sure, but I think we should experiment with what the results of what some different odds look like before making a decision.

EDIT: Also, in favor of wisey's suggestion, but I don't see the poll up anymore.

Cool. Found the poll. Thanks.

My first thought for a revision was to make some sort of tiered schedule.

e.g.
14th: 10/37 = 27%
13th: 8/37 = 21.6%
12th: 7/37 = 18.9%
11th: 5/37 = 13.5%
10th: 4/37 = 10.8%
9th: 2/37 = 5.4%
8th: 1/37 = 2.7%

I would like to see some other suggestions though and see what some example results would look like. I don't know how yall run something like that to test results. I think it was a mistake to just agree to the odds last year with out a real idea of what it would look like in reality, from a personal perspective. I would rather not make the mistake of not thinking something through enough again.

I guess in my mind I think that you should see the occasional team from the first half of the lottery wind up in the back and vice versa and maybe some mixing within the two halfs, but there should still be some discernible pattern of the worse teams tending towards the top and better towards the bottom.

Maybe it is being reactionary. Like I said maybe just a relatively very low possibility event occurred. I just don't like the pattern of almost all the better teams having better picks than almost all of the worse teams. That's the way that it looks to my eyeball test at least.

I agree that it isn't the end of the world. There's still a lot of randomness in which players will work out, but it isn't meaningless.

At the least it's something to talk about, and I hope to see other opinions. I really have no idea where to start with the actual numbers. Maybe something like modeling it after the NBA lotto is the way to go. Even that looks like a pretty big shake up from what we currently have.

Sony Michel the #2 overall pick now?

quote:

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Sony Michel the #2 overall pick now?

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Nah.

Still think I like Guice if he lands with Colts or Buccs

I do like Michel as a player. Explosive. Don't like him going to the pats though