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What should scare Dems more than anything

Posted on 11/6/24 at 6:25 am
Posted by armtackledawg
Member since Aug 2017
13547 posts
Posted on 11/6/24 at 6:25 am
From a trend perspective, Georgia is their only bright spot. Texas is not purple. Florida, Ohio and Iowa are off the table. Arizona is red. The blue wall will be moving red going forward. Nevada is moving red. Virginia, NH, and even NJ are now the GOP reach states.

And just wait until the 2030 census when Texas and Florida add electoral votes and blue states lose them
Posted by t00f
Not where you think I am
Member since Jul 2016
99804 posts
Posted on 11/6/24 at 6:25 am to
The truth.

Release J6 peeps today.
Posted by armtackledawg
Member since Aug 2017
13547 posts
Posted on 11/6/24 at 6:26 am to
Yes and the Epstein list
Posted by LB84
Member since May 2016
4065 posts
Posted on 11/6/24 at 6:26 am to
If we fix immigration and make it easy for middle class families to raise families bigger than 1 child conservatives could have a bright future.
Posted by StansberryRules
Member since Aug 2024
2691 posts
Posted on 11/6/24 at 6:26 am to
There is no reason Pennsylvania should not join Ohio as a new permanent red state.

Registrations are trending that way too.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
450296 posts
Posted on 11/6/24 at 6:26 am to
This is going to turn into a meme of overconfidence, but it's one race that was largely a rejection of the DEMs. Don't try to extrapolate this into some long-term mandate.

The past 3 Presidential elections have been referendums on the person in power and they all lost. Now the GOP has to avoid doing that in 2028 with an economic time bomb ticking and inflation unable to be contained.
Posted by TigersSEC2010
Warren, Michigan
Member since Jan 2010
37673 posts
Posted on 11/6/24 at 6:26 am to
The GOP has to figure out a way to fix Georgia, lock up Pennsylvania when they inevitably run Shapiro, and make Wisconsin/Michigan a wider margin.

They have four years to figure it out, but looking at Florida, it can be done.
Posted by TakingStock
Member since Jun 2009
7200 posts
Posted on 11/6/24 at 6:27 am to
I would even say Illinois may be a GOP reach state and New Jersey especially if they can get another Republican Governor in office after Murphy.

Virginia and New Jersey should be the next targets over the next 1-2 cycles.
This post was edited on 11/6/24 at 6:29 am
Posted by Gifman
Member since Jan 2021
14791 posts
Posted on 11/6/24 at 6:27 am to
quote:

Georgia is their only bright spot.


Georgia needs their own DeSantis to clean up the state elections and I guarantee you Georgia is no longer a swing state.
Posted by LSUSkip
Central, LA
Member since Jul 2012
22118 posts
Posted on 11/6/24 at 6:28 am to
The last I saw NY was a 10 point difference. I know that's alot of votes, but if there is a mass exodus out of NYC for anything, NY state could be within reach.
Posted by Antonio Moss
The South
Member since Mar 2006
48701 posts
Posted on 11/6/24 at 6:29 am to
quote:

This is going to turn into a meme of overconfidence, but it's one race that was largely a rejection of the DEMs


I think it is much more a rejection of the political class as a whole, as was 2016.

It may sound overzealous, but I think the US is a sitting on a unique opportunity to usher out a lot of the establishment of DC and remake it through a bloodless revolution.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
450296 posts
Posted on 11/6/24 at 6:31 am to
quote:

a lot of the establishment of DC


who, specifically?

Because if we're talking about actual politicians, it's still almost exclusively establishment, with a small handful of DSAs and MAGA on the poles.
Posted by Antonio Moss
The South
Member since Mar 2006
48701 posts
Posted on 11/6/24 at 6:34 am to
quote:

who, specifically?

Because if we're talking about actual politicians, it's still almost exclusively establishment, with a small handful of DSAs and MAGA on the poles.


I was thinking more along of the lines of lifelong DC bureaucrats. There needs to be a massive cleaning of the federal agencies.
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