Some takeaways from last night

1) Blue states trending red:
- Kamala only won NJ by 5. Biden won NJ by 16 in 2020
- Kamala won IL by 8. Biden won IL by 17 in 2020
- Kamala won VA by 5. Biden won VA by 10 in 2020

All of these states trending right is what's giving Trump the popular vote win he didn't get in 2016. Pretty significant

2) Exit poll data
- Kamala won young voters (18-29) by 13. Biden won 18-29 by 23 in 2020.
- Latinos went for Kamala by 8. Biden won Latino voters by 32 points in 2020. Latino men went for Trump by 10. They went for Biden by 23 in 2020
- 45% of American voters felt they were in worse shape than four years ago. Of those, 80% went Trump.
- Trump flipped the suburbs. Suburban voters went Biden 50-48 in 2020, they went Trump 50-48 last night

Just some absolutely wild swings, especially with Latinos. Abortion appears to still be a big issue for Republicans (66% believe it should be legal, with 69% of those voters going Kamala), but it appears pollsters vastly overestimated its importance compared to the economy or immigration. Great stuff for election nerds like myself