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Started By
Message
Nate Silver’s final call
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:15 am
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:15 am
6
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:17 am to hawgfaninc
He's been vastly wrong in the past.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:18 am to hawgfaninc
All these models magically say 50/50.
Problem is election prediction has become a business. They're scared to be wrong as that will hurt their engagement metrics 4 years from now.
Problem is election prediction has become a business. They're scared to be wrong as that will hurt their engagement metrics 4 years from now.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:19 am to hawgfaninc
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:20 am to hawgfaninc
This is simply impossible. No way half of the PA electorate votes for that trash.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:21 am to hawgfaninc
If Nate believes his own numbers he should be cleaning up betting Harris at +150 at polymarket.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:23 am to hawgfaninc
Nate must be factoring in Philly allowing illegals to vote
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:24 am to HubbaBubba
quote:Not really.
He's been vastly wrong in the past.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:25 am to timdonaghyswhistle
quote:
Nate believes his own numbers he should be cleaning up betting Harris at +150 at polymarket.
There is probably “value” in that bet, even if I think Trump wins.
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