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Message
re: Derrick Henry has potentially season-ending foot injury
Posted on 11/1/21 at 5:02 pm to tatervol
Posted on 11/1/21 at 5:02 pm to tatervol
Obviously, Pride is really stubborn when it comes to discussions about Henry (and Fournette) here.
And while I don't know if I would say Henry has only been "slightly above average," because of his insane workload (and cumulative value can't just be ignored), but at least on a per play/rush basis, the advanced stats indicate that he's probably been slightly above average, and there has been a steep drop off from last year.
Specifically, he ranks 12th on PFF's RB rankings (75.6), 17th on Football Outsider's Defense-adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA; not including this weekend's game, 14th without defense adjustment), and 22nd on next-gen stats's Rush Yards over Expected Per Attempt (RYOE/ATT; 0.05 per attempt).
And last year he was PFF's #1 rated RB (91.7), 10th in DVOA (4th without defensive adjustment), and 5th in RYOE/ATT (1.11). The data for DVOA and RYOE/ATT, indicate he's averaging over 0.7 fewer yards per attempt (probably a larger difference once yesterday's game is included in FO's data).
Of course, he's been given an insane workload, and given last year's, we would have expected an even steeper drop-off, as player's who had last year's workload at this stage of their career usually drop off significantly. Unfortunately, an injury might be the result instead.
And while I don't know if I would say Henry has only been "slightly above average," because of his insane workload (and cumulative value can't just be ignored), but at least on a per play/rush basis, the advanced stats indicate that he's probably been slightly above average, and there has been a steep drop off from last year.
Specifically, he ranks 12th on PFF's RB rankings (75.6), 17th on Football Outsider's Defense-adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA; not including this weekend's game, 14th without defense adjustment), and 22nd on next-gen stats's Rush Yards over Expected Per Attempt (RYOE/ATT; 0.05 per attempt).
And last year he was PFF's #1 rated RB (91.7), 10th in DVOA (4th without defensive adjustment), and 5th in RYOE/ATT (1.11). The data for DVOA and RYOE/ATT, indicate he's averaging over 0.7 fewer yards per attempt (probably a larger difference once yesterday's game is included in FO's data).
Of course, he's been given an insane workload, and given last year's, we would have expected an even steeper drop-off, as player's who had last year's workload at this stage of their career usually drop off significantly. Unfortunately, an injury might be the result instead.
Posted on 11/1/21 at 6:15 pm to buckeye_vol
quote:You don’t know if you’d say this or not?
And while I don't know if I would say Henry has only been "slightly above average,"
Posted on 11/1/21 at 6:17 pm to buckeye_vol
quote:Do these stats take into consideration available yards and available yards gained?
Specifically, he ranks 12th on PFF's RB rankings (75.6), 17th on Football Outsider's Defense-adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA; not including this weekend's game, 14th without defense adjustment), and 22nd on next-gen stats's Rush Yards over Expected Per Attempt (RYOE/ATT; 0.05 per attempt).
Posted on 11/1/21 at 6:50 pm to buckeye_vol
quote:
Specifically, he ranks 12th on PFF's RB rankings (75.6), 17th on Football Outsider's Defense-adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA; not including this weekend's game, 14th without defense adjustment), and 22nd on next-gen stats's Rush Yards over Expected Per Attempt (RYOE/ATT; 0.05 per attempt).
And last year he was PFF's #1 rated RB (91.7), 10th in DVOA (4th without defensive adjustment), and 5th in RYOE/ATT (1.11). The data for DVOA and RYOE/ATT, indicate he's averaging over 0.7 fewer yards per attempt (probably a larger difference once yesterday's game is included in FO's data).
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