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re: Deep South Severe Weather Thread (Enhanced)

Posted on 10/24/21 at 12:29 pm to
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
55532 posts
Posted on 10/24/21 at 12:29 pm to
quote:

Looks like the trough is going to want to take on a negative tilt

GFS parced that out early, too. It looks like long range models may do pretty good with this one.
Posted by lsulaker
BR
Member since Jan 2009
1363 posts
Posted on 10/24/21 at 1:55 pm to
We are about to get a good shower in BR. First in a long time. It’s insane the first time that I had to use my sprinkler this year was two weeks ago. We were stuck in a bad wet period before that. It may start up again this winter.

Back to threat for this week…
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
35710 posts
Posted on 10/24/21 at 5:07 pm to
quote:

GFS parced that out early, too. It looks like long range models may do pretty good with this one.



The Euro wanted to eject it too far north early with the GFS sniffing out the southern solution. Storm path was obvious once we figured out where it was coming off the Rockies.

But this set up shows another success of the models in recent years... when an outlier event happens, they spot it early.
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