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Message
Posted on 9/16/21 at 11:29 am to TigerSprings
quote:
It's still not as low as it was in the 40s. Ask yourself why did it increase, not why is it half way lower.
Easy.
Baby Boom.
The vast majority of crime is committed by men aged 18-35. Now, as for the 40s. Uh. Men in that age bracket were somewhat occupied and then, after the war, their population was somewhat reduced!
Then, we had a baby boom. Which led to a shite ton of 18-35 year olds for a good amount of time until the baby bust.
And again. Since crime is computed as a RATE...........even if the men age 18-35 never stop committing crime with the same frequency per person aged 18-35, your rate will be enormously affected by first, a huge increase in 18-35 year olds FOLLOWED by a huge cratering of 18-35 year olds just as that other huge group gets old.
Posted on 9/16/21 at 11:53 am to TigerSprings
quote:
It's still not as low as it was in the 40s. Ask yourself why did it increase, not why is it half way lower.
Exactly.
The numbers prove the opposite of what OP thinks they do.
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