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Auburn Program in a decline

Posted on 9/19/08 at 9:52 am
Posted by ctiger69
Member since May 2005
31030 posts
Posted on 9/19/08 at 9:52 am
Since it's clear that Auburn's program is going down faster than a sinking ship. Alabama has owned Auburn in recuriting the last couple of years and this coming year is no different.

LSU should be able to put together a 5-6 game winning streak over the mid-tier Auburn program the same way LSU has beaten Bama the last five years.

LSU vs Alabama will be the new rivarly and it starts this year. These two teams will deicide year in and year out on who goes to Atlanta.
Posted by geauxaddai
Chicago, IL
Member since Jan 2008
2864 posts
Posted on 9/19/08 at 9:57 am to
+1
Posted by roscoethetiger
Charlottesville
Member since Dec 2007
2310 posts
Posted on 9/19/08 at 9:57 am to
I don't think Auburn is in a decline. We beat them last year with a last second touchdown. How can you say that? Stupid comments like this make us look really bad. Wait until after the game to say something like this.
Posted by NJReb
Member since Dec 2005
3649 posts
Posted on 9/19/08 at 10:10 am to
quote:

How can you say that? Stupid comments like this make us look really bad.


It's not a stupid comment. If you look at the historical record, you will find that rarely have Alabama and Auburn both thrived at the same time.

Even though Auburn has done an impressive job of succeeding in a state where most of the population is aligned against them--and even though they have done a great job in out-of-state recruiting, even more impressive when you consider that their geographic location doesn't exactly inspire excitement in a lot of prospects--they still will not be able to prosper if Saban totally dominated recruiting in the state, as he seems to have since coming to Tuscaloosa.

Of course, he is probably cheating in the great Bama tradition--so if he gets caught, that might upset the apple cart, but the way things are going now, Auburn is going to have a hard time keeping itself afloat in the coming years.

LSU would have the same problem if it had a legitimate in-state competitor, the way the Mississippi and Alabama schools do.....
Posted by D Dawg
Member since Nov 2006
231 posts
Posted on 9/19/08 at 10:14 am to
Auburn has never had the state pull the way Bama does. Auburn relies heavily on Georgia and Florida talent for its program. Auburn will never recruit the way UF, LSU, UGA, and Bama are capable of recruiting. However, Tubbs can flat out coach and they will find players to fit their needs. I do not see them falling off the map but Bama will be the better program in 2-3 years unless old Satan bolts again. Then again Bama has shown a propensity to do things illegally so who knows.
Posted by grif82
Member since Aug 2008
8171 posts
Posted on 9/19/08 at 10:18 am to
quote:

Then again Bama has shown a propensity to do things illegally so who knows.

like blow and escallades
Posted by roscoethetiger
Charlottesville
Member since Dec 2007
2310 posts
Posted on 9/19/08 at 10:24 am to
Neither Alabama or Auburn has really been that spectacular recently. Auburn has done slightly better tha Alabama over the recent historical records as you say.
Posted by Rockerbraves
Greatest Nation on Earth
Member since Feb 2007
8015 posts
Posted on 9/19/08 at 10:25 am to
So you think the Tide is turning?

Can't remember the days when Auburn didn't have a decent football program.
Posted by jaxfl tiger
St. Augustine, Florida
Member since Sep 2006
3118 posts
Posted on 9/19/08 at 10:26 am to
quote:

LSU would have the same problem if it had a legitimate in-state competitor, the way the Mississippi and Alabama schools do.....


Yeah, Southern Miss and Miss State have been battling it out for recruits of late.
Posted by NJReb
Member since Dec 2005
3649 posts
Posted on 9/19/08 at 10:34 am to
quote:

Yeah, Southern Miss and Miss State have been battling it out for recruits of late.


MSU signs a few of the top 10 prospects in Mississippi almost every year. It is not enough to make them competitive, but it is enough to prevent Ole Miss from getting the kind of traction it would need to be fully competitive in the SEC. (And though USM rarely signs blue-chippers, they did get Deandre Brown last year, which hurt)

When Vaught was winning, it was because he completely dominated recruiting in the state, the way LSU does in Louisiana now. MSU never got ANYTHING and neither did any out-of-state school.

Ditto with fan support--at one time just about everybody in Mississippi who was not an alumnus of MSU was an Ole Miss fan--as is still the case with LSU in Louisiana and Bama in Alabama.

It just becomes a vicious circle. When you don't have the talent, you can't win....and when you don't win, you can't get the talent....and it is damn hard to break out of that cycle when you have another SEC school operating in a fairly small state. Talented kids leave for out-of-state schools that have a better chance of winning.....and on and on it goes....

Believe me, Auburn could not do much of anything when Bear was at his apex.....and they will go into a tailspin again if Saban continues to dominate in-state recruiting and sticks around....AND assuming boosters don't get caught handing out candy AGAIN......
This post was edited on 9/19/08 at 10:38 am
Posted by TulaneTigerFan
Seattle
Member since Sep 2005
35856 posts
Posted on 9/19/08 at 10:34 am to
quote:

Auburn relies heavily on Georgia and Florida talent for its program. Auburn will never recruit the way UF, LSU, UGA, and Bama are capable of recruiting. However, Tubbs can flat out coach and they will find players to fit their needs.


people say this, but auburn has had a serious decline in talent recently and it only appears to be getting worse with their current recruiting class
Posted by Ghostfacedistiller
BR
Member since Jun 2008
17501 posts
Posted on 9/19/08 at 10:36 am to
We can have this discussion AFTER the game
Posted by guttata
prairieville
Member since Feb 2006
22628 posts
Posted on 9/19/08 at 10:39 am to
I would say that Bama has probably out recruited Auburn over the majority of the last 10 years. Tubbs is just a better coach and Auburn players have more heart and desire than the Bama guys do when it comes to the rivalry.
Posted by NJReb
Member since Dec 2005
3649 posts
Posted on 9/19/08 at 10:40 am to
quote:

people say this, but auburn has had a serious decline in talent recently and it only appears to be getting worse with their current recruiting class


Tubs typically got 40% or so of the top in-state talent before Saban arrived. When Bama was on probation and really in turmoil, he was getting 50% or more.

Since Saban got there, he has hardly gotten any.

That is the core of their problem.

You can make up for a lot of that loss out-of-state, but not all of it. It will catch up with you sooner or later. And if they go, say, 6-6 this year, which is a real possibility given their offensive problems, they will start spiraling downward, which will add to the problems.
Posted by PiscesTiger
Concrete, WA
Member since Feb 2004
53696 posts
Posted on 9/19/08 at 10:43 am to
Auburn was a better program in the mid to late 80's. Bama was the better program in the early to mid 90's. Both were pretty equal in the latter 90's. Auburn has won 7 of the last 8.

Let's see how the '08 Iron Bowl plays out before we jump ahead.
Posted by Port City
Baton Rouge/Shreveport
Member since Jan 2007
3668 posts
Posted on 9/19/08 at 10:46 am to
Rivals Rankings of Auburn Recruiting:

2005 - #13
2006 - #10
2007 - #7
2008 - #20
2009 - currently #15 (I know, way too early to tell)

(Bold indicates years they had better classes than Bama)

Final Record of Auburn (Final Year Ranking)

2004 - 13-0 (#2)
2005 - 9-3 (#14)
2006 - 11-2 (#9)
2007 - 9-4 (#15)
2008 - 3-0 (Yea i know, way too early to tell)

(Bold indicates years they had a better record than Bama)

I swear you guys believe that if you just say something enough times, that it will become truth. Auburn had one bad game offensively against an SEC team and yal are ready to write them off. This is pretty much exactly what they want you to do.
Posted by misey94
Member since Jan 2007
32968 posts
Posted on 9/19/08 at 10:50 am to
I have actually been surprised to see this happen so quickly after Saban took the Bama job. I figured Tubby would be able to compete with him in recruiting for a few years just based on AU's recent success over Bama. If Saban is already out recruiting him, then I see little hope for Auburn staying at the same level they have been over the past 6 years. I think the recruiting disparity had a lot to do with Tubby's decision to rework their offense and make it more exciting. He was trying to make a big splash to stay relevant, and it may be backfiring on him.
Posted by Rollie Fingers
Poster Emeritus
Member since Feb 2008
7427 posts
Posted on 9/19/08 at 10:57 am to
Auburn has never recruited well. I would be surprised if there were a single highly recruited player on their defense. They continue to win games on the field, and until they stop winning games on the field they are not on the decline. This is more Alabama fan nonsense. Everyone is on the decline and have terrible coaches, yet they keep beating Alabama like a drum.
This post was edited on 9/19/08 at 10:59 am
Posted by misey94
Member since Jan 2007
32968 posts
Posted on 9/19/08 at 11:06 am to
Auburn was competitive in recruiting until 2 years ago. This will be their third straight poor recruiting season. I'm sorry, but that will eventually show up in the field. Bobby Johnson is a really good coach, but with marginal talent, he can't even get to six wins. I'm not saying that AU turns into Vandy, but they could easily slip to the mid level of SC, UK, and Arkansas. Within two years, Auburn will be on the same talent level as these programs. Even with better coaching, they will not be able to retain their place in the upper echelon. As much as I hate Bama, you can book it now. They WILL take Auburn's place as the other top program in the West. Auburn, Arkansas, and Ole Miss will fight it out in the middle. Moo U will hit bottom because they have the least amount of talent in the division.
Posted by Port City
Baton Rouge/Shreveport
Member since Jan 2007
3668 posts
Posted on 9/19/08 at 11:10 am to
quote:

Auburn was competitive in recruiting until 2 years ago. This will be their third straight poor recruiting season. I'm sorry, but that will eventually show up in the field. Bobby Johnson is a really good coach, but with marginal talent, he can't even get to six wins. I'm not saying that AU turns into Vandy, but they could easily slip to the mid level of SC, UK, and Arkansas. Within two years, Auburn will be on the same talent level as these programs. Even with better coaching, they will not be able to retain their place in the upper echelon. As much as I hate Bama, you can book it now. They WILL take Auburn's place as the other top program in the West. Auburn, Arkansas, and Ole Miss will fight it out in the middle. Moo U will hit bottom because they have the least amount of talent in the division.


What makes you think their recruiting is going to slip? Their one "bad" year (last year's) still got them ranked #20 and they are currently ranked #15.
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