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Message
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Posted on 6/17/21 at 11:18 am to wahoocs
quote:
No one is guaranteed a playoff spot yet.
Just based on simple math, remaining schedule, and common sense
Fangraphs currently has the Astros at 79.9% chance of making the playoffs. Broken down as 55.1% of winning the division and 24.7% chance of a wild card spot. I guess they rounded in there somewhere.
They have the Astros at 10.9% chance to win the world series, which is behind the Dodgers and Mets and tied with the White Sox. I assume if the Mets are without DeGrom for a while that will change rapidly as well.
If I'm Astros management, I don't like 55.1% of winning the division. That's too low to coast.
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