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re: Hypothetical for the 49ers. Jimmy G has a great year

Posted on 5/4/21 at 5:15 pm to
Posted by sabes que
Member since Jan 2010
10156 posts
Posted on 5/4/21 at 5:15 pm to
I hear you. But also they have a great record when he is starting. It’s easy to say it’s not because of him, and it’s obviously true to a degree, but when he starts they win games. But yea, you touched on the big issue which is his health. I think they just can’t see him stay healthy, but if he does, it will be interesting.
Posted by RemouladeSawce
Uranus
Member since Sep 2008
14018 posts
Posted on 5/4/21 at 5:16 pm to
quote:

Jimmy G has already won an NFC championship and is younger(I believe) and has more upside that Alex Smith at that time
Jimmy was older at time of first NFCCG and had about just about the best possible upbringing as a QB. Smith had about the worst possible. They both have/had the same consistent ceiling - Top 10-15.
quote:

It just seems like a harder sell to the fans though
The fans are ready to move on. They've over coming that close (2011, 2012, 2013, 2019) and the QB letting them down when it matters most.
Posted by sabes que
Member since Jan 2010
10156 posts
Posted on 5/4/21 at 5:28 pm to
Yea, I know you’re right that their fans are down on him, but winning can heal a lot of wounds. And I know they obviously believe in Lance. But man, in college he basically was asked to run through huge holes and then truck 170 pound db’s that probably run in the 4.8’s. He basically wasn’t asked to pass at all outside of some play action and then throw to a designed guy in most cases. He threw for 2800 yards in 16 games, and yea they won the championship, but they always do. Could he be great? Sure, but you are drafting 100% on potential with him.
Posted by wildtigercat93
Member since Jul 2011
112502 posts
Posted on 5/4/21 at 5:35 pm to
quote:

think they just can’t see him stay healthy, but if he does, it will be interesting.


Not really that interesting they would simply trade him next offseason or keep him for another year if Lance is a train wreck
This post was edited on 5/4/21 at 5:36 pm
Posted by sabes que
Member since Jan 2010
10156 posts
Posted on 5/4/21 at 5:37 pm to
quote:

or keep him for another year if Lance is a train wreck
So that wouldn’t get interesting?
Posted by wildtigercat93
Member since Jul 2011
112502 posts
Posted on 5/4/21 at 6:14 pm to
quote:

So that wouldn’t get interesting?


Not in relation to Jimmy G being good, no.
Posted by sabes que
Member since Jan 2010
10156 posts
Posted on 5/4/21 at 6:21 pm to
How successful Jimmy G is definitely impacts this situation. What if Lance isn’t a train wreck but isn’t great, or what if they were to win the Super Bowl, how good Jimmy G plays does matter, as well as Lance in the preseason and any PT in the regular.
Posted by wildtigercat93
Member since Jul 2011
112502 posts
Posted on 5/4/21 at 6:27 pm to
quote:

How successful Jimmy G is definitely impacts this situation.


Not really. There isn’t a realistic scenario outside of off the field issues for Lance than he isn’t the starter sooner rather than later

quote:

What if Lance isn’t a train wreck but isn’t great, or what if they were to win the Super Bowl,


Then you’ve won a Super Bowl and you have a great problem to have. I don’t think they are too concerned with that possibility either way. Likely get a massive haul for a Super Bowl winning QB and turn the page to Lance. Or trade Lance if they somehow become convinced Jimmy is a top 5 QB.

It’s a pretty simple equation for them, unless Jimmy transforms to a completely different QB overnight, Lance will get the start the minute they think he can handle it.

Play the what if game all you want but, there’s infinitely more interesting and more likely scenarios to ponder about
Posted by sabes que
Member since Jan 2010
10156 posts
Posted on 5/4/21 at 6:31 pm to
You responded as if I used and when I used or. But my point is if they were to have extreme success with Jimmy G, it would be difficult to go away from him and would essentially lose their arse on the Lance trade. So they are essentially betting on Jimmy G to get hurt and Lance to be good(speaking in regards to the trade)
Posted by wildtigercat93
Member since Jul 2011
112502 posts
Posted on 5/4/21 at 6:33 pm to
quote:

So they are essentially betting on Jimmy G to get hurt and Lance to be good(speaking in regards to the trade)


They are betting either Jimmy to get hurt (which I believe he has for literally every season except 1) or for Jimmy to be Jimmy, which is a middle of the road starter (which is a near certainty)

So again their worst case scenario that you’ve built out is that they overpaid for Lance and got a Super Bowl win out of it? Wow poor 49ers
Posted by VADawg
Wherever
Member since Nov 2011
45262 posts
Posted on 5/4/21 at 6:33 pm to
quote:

What happens if Jimmy G stays healthy, has a good statistical year, and they go to the NFC Championship or better.


They might be able to get a 1st for him in the offseason.
Posted by VADawg
Wherever
Member since Nov 2011
45262 posts
Posted on 5/4/21 at 6:37 pm to
quote:

A big problem with the present NFL is even the middle tier quarterbacks get enough money to frick up the cap numbers.


That's because GMs are terrified to make a change. The Browns are next up here. Will they really commit $40M/year to Baker Mayfield and then go back to mediocrity?
Posted by sabes que
Member since Jan 2010
10156 posts
Posted on 5/4/21 at 6:42 pm to
If either Lance weren’t good or Jimmy G doesn’t get hurt(which will mean them winning a lot of games), then they overpaid big time, and lost the trade. How much confidence do you have in Lance being good?
Posted by wildtigercat93
Member since Jul 2011
112502 posts
Posted on 5/4/21 at 6:43 pm to
quote:

That's because GMs are terrified to make a change.


Not really. The salaries are that high because the number of viable starters are so low and there’s always a good number of teams looking or even being desperate for a change

Most if not all of the QBs that sign extensions with their teams, sign at a discounted rate compared to what they would sign for on an open market.
Posted by wildtigercat93
Member since Jul 2011
112502 posts
Posted on 5/4/21 at 6:44 pm to
quote:

If either Lance weren’t good or Jimmy G doesn’t get hurt(which will mean them winning a lot of games), then they overpaid big time, and lost the trade.


But again this scenario you’ve built means they’ve won the Super Bowl. Sounds pretty good to me, you can shite on me all you want about a bad trade if that team ended up winning a SB, who gives a shite

quote:

How much confidence do you have in Lance being good?


Really makes no difference what I think of Lance. 49ers made it clear what they think of him and what they think of Jimmy
Posted by sabes que
Member since Jan 2010
10156 posts
Posted on 5/4/21 at 6:50 pm to
I am not saying both Lance would have to be bad and the 49ers would have to do well for it to be a bad trade. So that’s not what I’m “building”, it’s an either or, and it would have been a bad trade.
Posted by wildtigercat93
Member since Jul 2011
112502 posts
Posted on 5/4/21 at 6:54 pm to
quote:

am not saying both Lance would have to be bad and the 49ers would have to do well for it to be a bad trade. So that’s not what I’m “building”, it’s an either or, and it would have been a bad trade.



As I said previously if Lance is bad, the Jimmy part really has nothing to do with anything

At some point they will turn the page to Lance. That will happen.

I’m not sure what’s particularly interesting about this specific QB possibly not panning out or that trade not panning out vs the other rookie QBs possibly doing the same thing
Posted by YNWA
Member since Nov 2015
6769 posts
Posted on 5/4/21 at 6:55 pm to
Of he takes them to the NFC Championship game then that will be a good bargaining chip for his next contract with another team
Posted by sabes que
Member since Jan 2010
10156 posts
Posted on 5/4/21 at 7:19 pm to
Well they gave up a ton of capital to move up, that combined with having a guy that had you a play or two away from a Super Bowl win makes it a little more interesting that Trevor Lawrence at the Jags, or Zach Wilson at the Jets, etc.
Posted by wildtigercat93
Member since Jul 2011
112502 posts
Posted on 5/4/21 at 7:27 pm to
quote:

Well they gave up a ton of capital to move up, that combined with having a guy that had you a play or two away from a Super Bowl win makes it a little more interesting that Trevor Lawrence at the Jags, or Zach Wilson at the Jets, etc.


Okay but again the Jimmy hypothetical doesn’t really have anything to do with this if it happens

The 49ers coaches and FO are well aware that if Lance doesn’t pan out than they are likely fired. They took a swing.

You’ve basically made a thread that goes “what happens if Tre Lance is a bust?”, which as I stated originally, isn’t that interesting of a hypothetical, we know where that story leads as well
This post was edited on 5/4/21 at 7:28 pm
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